MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0785

ACUS11 KWNS 232047
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232046
TXZ000-NMZ000-232145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0785
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0346 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN TX...FAR SERN NM

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 214...

VALID 232046Z - 232145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 214
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE WIND/HAIL HAZARDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE
TRANS-PECOS AND POSSIBLY DEVELOP INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS.

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED TSTMS HAVE BEEN SLOW TO MOVE EWD ACROSS THE
PECOS VALLEY WITHIN A WEAK DEEP-LAYER FLOW REGIME.
NEVERTHELESS...WITH LOW-LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW PERSISTING AND CONVECTION
CONTINUING TO INCREASE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN IT APPEARS PROBABLE
THAT A MULTICELL CLUSTER MAY EVENTUALLY EMANATE EWD INTO PARTS OF
THE PERMIAN BASIN. SHOULD THIS OCCUR...35-55 DEG F SURFACE
TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT SPREADS WILL ENHANCE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WIND
GUSTS AMIDST A CONTINUING RISK OF LARGE HAIL.

..GRAMS.. 05/23/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...EPZ...

LAT...LON 32840421 32870349 32600307 31740184 30960146 29920153
29400238 28870306 30050488 31230533 32710463 32840421

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