MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0943

ACUS11 KWNS 030231
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030231
TXZ000-NMZ000-030330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0943
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0931 PM CDT SUN JUN 02 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH CENTRAL/SERN NM AND FAR W TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 272...

VALID 030231Z - 030330Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 272
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...ISOLATED SVR TSTMS WILL CONT ACROSS REMAINING VALID
PORTIONS OF WW 272 BUT THAT THREAT WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH AFT 04Z.

DISCUSSION...CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW FROM INTENSE TSTMS ACROSS FAR W TX
HAS SURGED NWD AND SUBSTANTIALLY STABILIZED THE BOUNDARY LAYER
ACROSS MUCH OF THE SRN TWO-THIRDS OF WW 272. STILL...POCKETS OF
SUFFICIENT MLCAPE /1500-2000 J/KG/ REMAIN TO SUPPORT A CONTINUED SVR
THREAT WITH TSTMS FROM W OF KMRF NWD TO NEAR KGDP FOR ANOTHER COUPLE
OF HOURS.

TO THE N...A MORE DEEPLY-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER HAS BEGUN TO SLOWLY
COOL...BUT MAY STILL SUPPORT TSTMS CONGEALING INTO A SEWD-MOVING
CLUSTER ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL/SERN NM THRU 04Z WITH A THREAT FOR STG
WIND GUSTS AND HAIL. WITH TIME AND EWD EXTENT...INCREASING CINH
SHOULD RESULT IN A DIMINISHING THREAT FOR SVR.

..BUNTING/KERR.. 06/03/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...

LAT...LON 29980277 29270349 29650445 30660496 31540603 31980647
32670669 34870612 34900566 34890503 34700394 32030352
29980279 29980277

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