Saturday, June 8, 2013

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0997

ACUS11 KWNS 082004
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082003
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-082100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0997
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0303 PM CDT SAT JUN 08 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...TX PANHANDLE TO CNTRL KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 082003Z - 082100Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE TX PANHANDLE INTO CNTRL KS BY 21Z.

DISCUSSION...MID LEVEL SPEED MAX IS DIGGING SEWD ACROSS THE CNTRL
HIGH PLAINS INTO NWRN KS AND ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS IS
EXPECTED TO ADVANCE INTO CNTRL KS SHORTLY AFTER 09/00Z. STRONG
HEATING ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS HAS CONTRIBUTED TO A DEEPENING
BOUNDARY LAYER SUCH THAT INHIBITION HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY ALONG
ADVANCING COLD FRONT. OVER THE LAST HOUR OR SO A FEW HIGH BASED
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE WRN OK PANHANDLE AND LARGE
SCALE FORCING IS CONTRIBUTING TO RECENT ISOLATED TSTM OVER SRN ROOKS
COUNTY IN KS. CONVECTION SHOULD GRADUALLY DEEPEN ALONG THE
ADVANCING COLD FRONT WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLY SHEARED FOR
SUPERCELLS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE
STRONGEST STORMS AS THEY SPREAD/DEVELOP SEWD.

..DARROW/CORFIDI.. 06/08/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON 35600291 37590070 38949961 38559845 35169998 34450188
35600291

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