Saturday, July 6, 2013

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1331

ACUS11 KWNS 062046
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062046
WYZ000-MTZ000-UTZ000-IDZ000-NVZ000-062245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1331
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0346 PM CDT SAT JUL 06 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN UT/WY...ERN ID...FAR SWRN MT/NERN NV

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 062046Z - 062245Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...THREATS FOR ISOLATED SEVERE WIND/HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH SCATTERED TSTMS GRADUALLY EVOLVING E/NEWD FROM THE ERN GREAT
BASIN TOWARDS THE CNTRL ROCKIES.

DISCUSSION...SEVERAL AREAS OF TSTM DEVELOPMENT HAVE GRADUALLY
INCREASED ACROSS MAINLY HIGHER TERRAIN. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE
E/NEWD WITHIN MODERATE /GENERALLY 30-35 KT/ MID-LEVEL W/SWLYS
SAMPLED IN AREA VWP DATA. THIS FLOW REGIME IS SUFFICIENT FOR PERHAPS
A FEW MULTICELL CLUSTERS AND BRIEF SUPERCELL STRUCTURES AMIDST WEAK
BUOYANCY. WITH STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...SETUP COULD YIELD A
COUPLE OF SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

..GRAMS/HART.. 07/06/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...RIW...TFX...SLC...PIH...MSO...BOI...LKN...

LAT...LON 45091268 45511122 45210981 43860953 42571060 41411143
40361192 39851264 39791339 39951429 40951458 42661421
44511324 45091268

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