Tuesday, September 3, 2013

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1833

ACUS11 KWNS 032009
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032009
UTZ000-IDZ000-NVZ000-032215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1833
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0309 PM CDT TUE SEP 03 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN ID AND NRN UT

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 032009Z - 032215Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NWD ACROSS THE AREA WITH
LOCALLY SEVERE WIND AND MARGINAL HAIL POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...THE LEADING EDGE OF A NWD MOVING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS
LED TO NEW DEVELOPMENT OF VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS FROM NERN NV INTO SRN ID
AND NRN UT. RELATIVELY COOL PROFILES ALOFT...AS WELL AS SUFFICIENT
DEEP LAYER SHEAR SHOULD AID THESE STORMS PRIOR TO SUNSET. CELLULAR
STORM MODE APPEARS MOST LIKELY...WITH SOME CELLS EVENTUALLY BOWING
INTO THIN LINE SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS AS
THEY CONTINUED NWD.

..JEWELL/GOSS.. 09/03/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SLC...PIH...MSO...BOI...LKN...

LAT...LON 41701337 41781413 41801480 41931514 42141549 42811570
43511552 44261456 44381387 44211260 43821176 43171144
42531133 41671151 41271180 40921207 41071259 41701337

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