Wednesday, October 16, 2013

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 170041
SWODY1
SPC AC 170040

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0740 PM CDT WED OCT 16 2013

VALID 170100Z - 171200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...PORTIONS OF SRN LA/MS...
A FEW SHOWERS ALONG A SEWD-MOVING COLD FRONT MAY YET DEEPEN INTO A
TSTM OR TWO TONIGHT. 00Z LCH RAOB SAMPLED A THINLY BUOYANT AIR MASS
NEAR THE FRONT...CHARACTERIZED BY MLCAPE AROUND 750 J/KG. WITH
MINIMAL INFLUENCE FROM A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER KS/OK SHIFTING TO THE
MID-MO VALLEY...WEAK LOWER-LEVEL FLOW/CONVERGENCE SHOULD HINDER ANY
APPRECIABLE INCREASE IN LARGE-SCALE ASCENT. GIVEN POOR DOWNSTREAM
LAPSE RATES /PER 00Z JAN RAOB/...ANY STORM DEVELOPMENT /IF IT OCCURS
AT ALL/ SHOULD BE SHORT-LIVED AND LIMITED IN SPATIAL EXTENT.

..GRAMS.. 10/17/2013

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

No comments: