Thursday, October 24, 2013

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 240546
SWODY1
SPC AC 240543

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1243 AM CDT THU OCT 24 2013

VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SWRN U.S...

PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH ALONG THE SRN CA COAST/NRN BAJA SHOULD
TRANSLATE INTO THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY BY 25/00Z. COOLING AT MID
LEVELS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS TROUGH SHOULD STEEPEN LAPSE RATES
SUCH THAT WEAK CONVECTION SHOULD EVOLVE DURING THE PEAK OF THE
DIURNAL HEATING CYCLE. ALTHOUGH PW VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE QUITE
MARGINAL...ON THE ORDER OF .50 INCHES...MUCAPE COULD APPROACH 150
J/KG BY MID AFTERNOON AND THIS MAY SUPPORT CLOUD DEPTHS SUFFICIENT
FOR LIGHTNING DISCHARGE.

..DARROW/PETERS.. 10/24/2013

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

No comments: