Monday, October 21, 2013

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 220102
SWODY1
SPC AC 220100

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT MON OCT 21 2013

VALID 220100Z - 221200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...DISCUSSION...
VIRTUALLY NIL SEVERE TSTM POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE CONUS THE
REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. NEAR A SOUTHEASTWARD ADVANCING
FRONT...ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE TONIGHT
MAINLY ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL/EAST TX AND THE UPPER TX COAST INTO
PARTS OF THE ARKLATEX. WHILE SUFFICIENT MOISTURE/INSTABILITY MAY
ALLOW FOR A FEW STRONGER STORMS YET THIS EVENING...THE OVERALL
SEVERE POTENTIAL IS LOW.

ELSEWHERE...A FEW TSTMS MAY REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EASTERN FL
PENINSULA THIS EVENING. ADDITIONALLY...A COUPLE OF LIGHTNING STRIKES
MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION...BUT THE
OVERALL POTENTIAL SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED WITHIN A LOW-TOPPED/MARGINAL
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT FOR CHARGE SEPARATION.

..GUYER.. 10/22/2013

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