Saturday, October 19, 2013

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 191621
SWODY1
SPC AC 191619

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1119 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013

VALID 191630Z - 201200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

CYCLONIC FLOW IS PRESENT ACROSS MOST OF THE NATION TODAY...WITH THE
PRIMARY SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN
OCCURRING OVER THE GULF...AND OTHER STORMS ARE EXPECTED LATER TODAY
OVER PARTS OF FL. A STRONG STORM CAPABLE OF GUSTY WINDS CANNOT BE
RULED OUT THIS AFTERNOON OVER SOUTH FL...BUT ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS
ARE NOT ANTICIPATED. OTHER ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER LAKE MI AND WESTERN LOWER MI WHERE WARM WATER TEMPERATURES WILL
RESULT IN STEEP LAPSE RATES AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY.

..HART/LEITMAN.. 10/19/2013

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