Thursday, October 24, 2013

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 250045
SWODY1
SPC AC 250042

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0742 PM CDT THU OCT 24 2013

VALID 250100Z - 251200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SWRN U.S...

MID LEVEL TROUGH IS PROGRESSING ACROSS THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY
THIS EVENING WITH PRIMARY REGION OF MOIST ASCENT NOW LOCATED FROM
SWRN UT...SEWD INTO WCNTRL NM. SCT HIGH BASED...AND ELEVATED
CONVECTION ARE NOTED ALONG THIS CORRIDOR WITH THE GREATEST
CONCENTRATION OF LIGHTNING NOTED WITH TSTM ACTIVITY FROM APACHE
COUNTY AZ INTO NRN SOCORRO COUNTY NM. 00Z SOUNDINGS FROM THIS REGION
EXHIBIT VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES THROUGH 6KM...AND COMBINED WITH
MEAGER MOISTURE...SUFFICIENT CAPE FOR WEAK THUNDERSTORMS. ASCENT
WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE 4-CORNERS REGION INTO THE SRN ROCKIES LATER
TONIGHT AND THIS MAY SUPPORT A FEW STORMS SPREADING A BIT DOWNSTREAM
BEFORE LOSING THEIR LIGHTNING.

..DARROW.. 10/25/2013

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