Monday, October 21, 2013

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 211248
SWODY1
SPC AC 211245

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0745 AM CDT MON OCT 21 2013

VALID 211300Z - 221200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
THE PATTERN OF AN ERN CONUS TROUGH AND GREAT BASIN RIDGE WILL
CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS. THE PRIMARY EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE
TROUGH WILL CROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES TODAY...WHILE AN UPSTREAM
SPEED MAX PROGRESSES SSEWD OVER THE NRN PLAINS. A WEAKER TRAILING
WAVE WILL MOVE SEWD OVER MO/AR/OK/TX...PRECEDED BY A SLOWLY
WEAKENING FRONTAL SEGMENT ACROSS AR/TX/LA.

A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE MIDLEVEL COLD CORE
CROSSES THE STILL RELATIVELY WARM UPPER GREAT LAKES. A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS S AND E TX...THOUGH THE
GREATER THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE THIS MORNING WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OVER
THE NW GULF...WITHIN THE TROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME AND IN ADVANCE OF A
WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING EWD FROM THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY.
OTHERWISE...MAINLY DIURNAL STORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ACROSS N FL
ALONG THE STALLED FRONT...AND FARTHER S INTO CENTRAL/S FL IN
ASSOCIATION WITH SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS.

..THOMPSON/GARNER.. 10/21/2013

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