Friday, October 25, 2013

DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 250730
SWODY3
SPC AC 250728

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0228 AM CDT FRI OCT 25 2013

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...DISCUSSION...
A SPLIT/QUASI-ZONAL LARGE SCALE FLOW REGIME WILL EXIST OVER THE
MAJORITY OF THE CONUS ON SUNDAY. A WEAKENING SOUTHERN STREAM
MID-LEVEL IMPULSE WILL SPREAD EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE GULF COAST
STATES. MEANWHILE...A SLOW-MOVING UPPER LOW WILL GRADUALLY NEAR
COASTAL SOUTHERN CA...WHILE A MORE CONSEQUENTIAL UPPER TROUGH/POLAR
JET DIGS GENERALLY SOUTHWARD OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.

THE MAIN POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS/EMBEDDED TSTMS ON SUNDAY IS EXPECTED
TO BE ACROSS PARTS OF EAST TX/UPPER TX COAST INTO LA. THIS WILL BE
TIED TO WEAK ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH A SOUTHEAST-MOVING/WEAKENING
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND A RELATIVELY MOIST AIRMASS TO THE
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF A WEAKENING/STALLING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. NO SEVERE
TSTMS ARE EXPECTED GIVEN THE ANTICIPATED LARGE SCALE/MASS FIELD
TRENDS AND ASSOCIATED WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR/BUOYANCY.

..GUYER.. 10/25/2013

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