Sunday, November 24, 2013

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 250055
SWODY1
SPC AC 250052

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0652 PM CST SUN NOV 24 2013

VALID 250100Z - 251200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...WEST-CENTRAL/SOUTH-CENTRAL TX...
THE CLOSED UPPER LOW CENTERED NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS AREA THIS
EVENING WILL CONTINUE A SLOW EASTWARD PROGRESSION TONIGHT...WITH
DOWNSTREAM HEIGHT FALLS INCREASINGLY INFLUENCING THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. AIDED BY A WARM ADVECTION/ISENTROPIC ASCENT REGIME...WIDELY
SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO OCCUR/MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST-CENTRAL/SOUTH-CENTRAL TX. WITH THE
00Z DEL RIO TX OBSERVED SOUNDING INDICATING 400+ J/KG MUCAPE BASED
AROUND 800 MB...SUFFICIENT LAPSE RATES/ELEVATED INSTABILITY ATOP A
COLD/STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL
FOR ISOLATED/EMBEDDED TSTMS TONIGHT.

..GUYER.. 11/25/2013

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