Wednesday, November 20, 2013

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 210058
SWODY1
SPC AC 210055

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0655 PM CST WED NOV 20 2013

VALID 210100Z - 211200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...DISCUSSION...
LOW-LEVEL WAA OWING TO A SWLY 40 KT LLJ FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU OF
WRN TX INTO CNTRL/ERN OK SHOULD PROMOTE ELEVATED CONVECTION
DEVELOPING TOWARDS THE OZARK PLATEAU OVERNIGHT. PW VALUES IN 00Z
OUN/MAF RAOBS WERE DRIER THAN PROGGED BY 18Z NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS
WITH A MORE STOUT CAPPING INVERSION NOTED IN THE OUN RAOB. GIVEN A
PREDOMINATELY W/SWLY COMPONENT TO FLOW IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...MUCAPE WILL LIKELY REMAIN MEAGER...AOB 500
J/KG...WHERE MUCIN BECOMES MINIMAL. THIS SHOULD RENDER ONLY SMALL
HAIL IN STRONGEST UPDRAFTS.

ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED STORMS OVER PARTS OF NRN IL AND SRN FL SHOULD
DIMINISH THIS EVENING...ALONG WITH SPARSE LIGHTNING STRIKES IN CNTRL
CA AND W-CNTRL NV.

..GRAMS.. 11/21/2013

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

No comments: