Tuesday, November 26, 2013

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2047

ACUS11 KWNS 270048
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270048
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-270215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2047
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0648 PM CST TUE NOV 26 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...COASTAL SC/GA/FAR SRN NC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 577...

VALID 270048Z - 270215Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 577 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND A TORNADO OR TWO WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE EVENING ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL PLAIN
ACROSS GA/SC/SRN NC.

DISCUSSION...MOST PROMINENT REFLECTIVITY STRUCTURES AND CG LIGHTNING
STRIKES WERE OBSERVED ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF AN EXTENSIVE
CONVECTIVE SWATH ACROSS THE S ATLANTIC COASTAL PLAIN. 00Z CHS RAOB
SAMPLED THE NEAR-STORM ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY A SATURATED
LOW/MID-LEVEL THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE WITH AN ENLARGED LOW-LEVEL
HODOGRAPH AND 0-1 KM SHEAR NEAR 40 KT. THIS WILL REMAIN SUPPORTIVE
OF RISKS FOR PERIODIC DAMAGING WINDS AND A TORNADO OR TWO. FARTHER
NE...MHX RAOB WAS ALSO SATURATED THROUGHOUT THE TROPOSPHERE BUT
REMOVED FROM THE HIGHER MEAN MIXING RATIOS WITH PARTICULARLY POOR
LAPSE RATES. AS SUCH...NEAR-TERM WIND/TORNADO THREAT WILL LIKELY
REMAIN CONFINED WITHIN WW 577.

..GRAMS.. 11/27/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...JAX...

LAT...LON 33847815 33037930 32218034 31108131 31038159 31118196
31308212 31708198 32308183 33348043 34097923 34457825
34307778 33847815

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