Wednesday, December 25, 2013

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 251236
SWODY1
SPC AC 251233

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0633 AM CST WED DEC 25 2013

VALID 251300Z - 261200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN CENTERED ALONG THE WEST COAST...WHILE
TROUGHING EAST OF THE ROCKIES UNDERGOES AMPLIFICATION AS A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH...CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER SASKATCHEWAN...DIGS SEWD REACHING
LOWER MI AND THE OH VALLEY BY 12Z THU. THIS PATTERN WILL TEND TO
MAINTAIN AN AIR MASS GENERALLY HOSTILE TO DEEP MOIST CONVECTION.

...S FL...
TRENDS IN LOW LEVEL FLOW PRIOR TO 13Z PER AREA VWP DATA INDICATED
WINDS ARE BECOMING MORE ELY. THIS TREND IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST AS A
SURFACE HIGH CENTERED OVER THE ERN STATES SHIFTS OFFSHORE TODAY...
SUPPORTING AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE OVER S FL. WHILE SHOWERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE...THE POTENTIAL FOR TSTMS IN THIS ENVIRONMENT SHOULD REMAIN
QUITE LOW /LESS THAN 10 PERCENT/...GIVEN WEAK LAPSE RATES...WEAK
INSTABILITY AND THE LACK OF FORCING FOR ASCENT TO SUSTAIN UPDRAFTS.

..PETERS/MOSIER.. 12/25/2013

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