Friday, December 27, 2013

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 280035
SWODY1
SPC AC 280032

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0632 PM CST FRI DEC 27 2013

VALID 280100Z - 281200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

A WARM-CONVEYOR-BELT AIR STREAM WILL STRENGTHEN OVERNIGHT ACROSS
CNTRL AND ERN PARTS OF THE GULF OF MEXICO IN RESPONSE TO THE GRADUAL
INTENSIFICATION OF A MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER TX INTO NRN MEXICO.
WHILE THIS WILL ENHANCE THE POLEWARD FLUX OF AN INCREASINGLY MOIST
AIR MASS TOWARD THE CNTRL/ERN GULF COAST...ANY TSTM ACTIVITY WILL
REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE OVER THE CNTRL GULF.

OVER SOUTH FL...00Z MIAMI AND KEY WEST SOUNDINGS SHOW THE PRESENCE
OF A MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT. HOWEVER...WEAK
LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG A STALLED SURFACE FRONT AND THE ABSENCE
OF ANY LARGE-SCALE FORCING MECHANISMS WILL LIMIT TSTM PROBABILITIES
TO LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.

..MEAD.. 12/28/2013

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

No comments: