Thursday, December 19, 2013

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 191607
SWODY1
SPC AC 191605

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1005 AM CST THU DEC 19 2013

VALID 191630Z - 201200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTHERN CA...
A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS DIGGING SOUTHWARD ALONG THE CENTRAL
CA COAST. THE POCKET OF COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES WILL OVERSPREAD PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CA THIS
AFTERNOON...PROVIDING POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER
CELLS...BUT NO ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

...AZ...
LATER THIS EVENING...INCREASING LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL
SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF AZ...WHERE ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...ARKLATEX...
INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL EVENTUALLY LEAD TO VERY WEAK CAPE
OVER PARTS OF THE ARKLATEX REGION LATE TONIGHT. HOWEVER...IT
APPEARS THAT ANY ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY WAIT
UNTIL AFTER 12Z FRI.

OTHERWISE...DRY/STABLE CONDITIONS SHOULD PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY.

..HART/GARNER.. 12/19/2013

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

No comments: