Sunday, January 12, 2014

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 130025
SWODY1
SPC AC 130022

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0622 PM CST SUN JAN 12 2014

VALID 130100Z - 131200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN TX INTO SWRN LA...
A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NEWD OUT OF NRN MEXICO
AND ACROSS SRN TX TONIGHT...LOSING AMPLITUDE ACROSS THE SABINE RIVER
VALLEY BY 12Z MONDAY. LIFT AND MOISTENING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
FEATURE WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS...WITH
ISOLATED WEAK THUNDERSTORMS AS WELL. 00Z SOUNDINGS FROM SRN TX SHOW
MOIST MIDLEVELS WITH SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS...BUT TOO WEAK FOR ANY SEVERE THREAT FAVORABLE WIND
SHEAR PROFILES.

AN INCREASE IN STORMS AND LIGHTNING COVERAGE COULD OCCUR LATE IN THE
PERIOD ACROSS SERN TX/SWRN LA AND OVER THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO AS
LAPSE RATES STEEPEN ALOFT.

..JEWELL.. 01/13/2014

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