Wednesday, February 19, 2014

DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 190929
SWOD48
SPC AC 190928

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0328 AM CST WED FEB 19 2014

VALID 221200Z - 271200Z

...DISCUSSION...
MEDIUM-RANGE MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD LARGE-SCALE AGREEMENT THIS
FORECAST...WITH CONSISTENT MAINTENANCE OF A LARGE-SCALE TROUGH OVER
ROUGHLY THE ERN 3/4 OF NOAM THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS TROUGH WILL
HELP TO MAINTAIN A COLD/DRY CONTINENTAL AIRMASS E OF THE ROCKIES
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

THE SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE ON THE S SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM IS PROGGED
TO OSCILLATE N/S OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND GULF COAST STATES
DURING THE PERIOD. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT SOME CONVECTIVE RISK FROM TX
EWD ACROSS THE GULF COAST TO FL THROUGH AT LEAST PORTIONS OF THE
PERIOD. HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD SEVERE RISK APPEARS UNLIKELY ATTM.

..GOSS.. 02/19/2014

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