DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 210026
SWODY1
SPC AC 210024

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0724 PM CDT THU MAR 20 2014

VALID 210100Z - 211200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...ND AND NERN SD THROUGH WRN MN...

EARLY THIS EVENING A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM A SFC LOW OVER NCNTRL
ND SWWD THROUGH SWRN SD INTO NRN WY. A WARM FRONT STRETCHES SEWD
FROM THE LOW THROUGH SERN ND AND SWRN MN. SCATTERED MOSTLY SHALLOW
CONVECTION IS OCCURRING IN VICINITY OF THESE BOUNDARIES AS WELL AS
WITHIN POST FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS NWRN ND. ACTIVITY IS DEVELOPING IN
ASSOCIATION WITH DEEPER ASCENT AND COLD AIR ALOFT ATTENDING A
PROGRESSIVE VORTICITY MAXIMUM LOCATED OVER WRN ND. BISMARK 00Z RAOB
SHOWS STEEP LAPSE RATES FROM THE SFC LAYER THROUGH 400 MB...BUT
LIMITED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS RESULTING IN MLCAPE AOB 300 J/KG.
STEEP LAPSE RATES AND WEAK ELEVATED CAPE WILL PERSIST ABOVE THE
STABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER...SUGGESTING ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE DURING THE EVENING AS THE MID-LEVEL VORTICITY
MAXIMUM APPROACHES THE UPPER MS VALLEY AREA.

..DIAL.. 03/21/2014

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.