Tuesday, March 11, 2014

DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 110658
SWODY3
SPC AC 110657

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0157 AM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014

VALID 131200Z - 141200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NRN AZ/NM...

SIGNIFICANT MID-LEVEL SHORT-WAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO SETTLE SWD
ACROSS THE INTERIOR WEST EVENTUALLY STALLING OVER AZ DURING THE DAY3
PERIOD. VERY COOL MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES...MINUS 24C AT
500MB...WILL OVERSPREAD THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF AZ DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS VERY STEEP LAPSE
RATES WILL MATERIALIZE WITH SFC-4KM VALUES IN EXCESS OF 8 C/KM.
WHILE PW IS EXPECTED TO BE SCANT FOR TSTMS...VERY COLD COLUMN SHOULD
ALLOW DEEP ENOUGH CONVECTION FOR AT LEAST A FEW LIGHTNING
STRIKES...PRIMARILY DURING THE PEAK OF THE DIURNAL HEATING CYCLE.

..DARROW.. 03/11/2014

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