Monday, March 10, 2014

DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 100824
SWOD48
SPC AC 100823

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0323 AM CDT MON MAR 10 2014

VALID 131200Z - 181200Z

...DISCUSSION...
MEAN LONG-WAVE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO HOLD ACROSS THE WRN U.S. DURING
THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD WHILE SEVERAL STRONG SHORT-WAVE TROUGHS WILL
DIG SEWD IN VARYING FORMS/SPEEDS ALONG/EAST OF THE ROCKIES. BOTH
THE ECMWF AND GFS AGREE MODIFYING INFLUENCE OF MARITIME AIR MASS
WILL STRUGGLE TO ADVANCE INLAND AS A PROPENSITY FOR OFFSHORE FLOW IS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. LATE THIS WEEKEND SELY LOW LEVEL
TRAJECTORIES MAY ALLOW MOISTURE/WEAK INSTABILITY TO RETURN TO
PORTIONS OF TX. AT THAT TIME DEEP CONVECTION MAY ULTIMATELY EVOLVE
ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS IF SHORT-WAVE DEPICTED BY MODELS MATERIALIZES.

..DARROW.. 03/10/2014

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