MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0782

ACUS11 KWNS 110242
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110242
TXZ000-110345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0782
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0942 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...S-CNTRL/DEEP SOUTH TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 273...

VALID 110242Z - 110345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 273 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE SVR THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS WW273. THE MAIN THREAT IS
EVOLVING TOWARD DMGG WINDS...THOUGH LARGE HAIL AND PERHAPS A TORNADO
OR TWO WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...SFC MESOANALYSIS AT 02Z INDICATES THAT AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM THE TX/MEXICO BORDER SOUTH OF LAREDO
TO NEAR VICTORIA TO THE PALACIOS AREA. THE WRN EXTENT OF THE
BOUNDARY IS BEGINNING TO EXHIBIT SWD MOTION. THIS WILL CONTINUE AS
COLD POOLS ELONGATE ALONG THE BOUNDARY FROM WEBB TO SAN PATRICIO
COUNTIES AND CONVECTION PROPAGATES ESEWD INTO THE STRONGLY UNSTABLE
AIR MASS OVER PARTS OF DEEP SOUTH TX -- E.G. MLCAPE VALUES OF
2000-3000 J/KG PER CORPUS CHRISTI AND BROWNSVILLE 00Z RAOBS. THIS
WILL SUPPORT A THREAT FOR SVR WINDS INTO THE SRN PARTS OF THE WW
AREA WITH BOWING LINE SEGMENTS...WHILE EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES
MAY SUPPORT A THREAT FOR SVR HAIL AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO GIVEN
250 M2/S2 OF 0-1-KM SRH PER CORPUS CHRISTI VWP DATA. THIS THREAT
WILL LIKELY EXTEND TOWARD THE LOWER/MIDDLE TX COAST WITH
TIME...WHERE CONTINUED DESTABILIZATION IS SUPPORTED BY THE LOW-LEVEL
WAA REGIME IN PLACE AMIDST APPRECIABLE LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR.

FARTHER NORTH ACROSS THE WW AREA...A WIND-SHIFT AXIS EXTENDS FROM 15
MILES ESE OF LAREDO NNEWD TO 35 MILES WSW OF TEMPLE. THE POSITION OF
THIS FEATURE IS BEING MODIFIED BY A QLCS ACROSS NRN SECTIONS OF THE
WW AREA. DEEP MERIDIONAL FLOW PER FORT HOOD VWP DATA SHOULD PROVIDE
AMPLE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND WAA AHEAD OF THE
QLCS...YIELDING MODEST DESTABILIZATION OF THE LEADING AIR MASS. THIS
COULD SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR CONTINUED FORWARD-PROPAGATION DURING
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. DMGG WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS A WEAK/BRIEF TORNADO
WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERNS WITH THIS ACTIVITY...PARTICULARLY IF THE
NEAR-SFC LAYER CAN MODIFY/DESTABILIZE WITH TIME. THE WIND SHIFT AXIS
WILL DENOTE THE WRN EXTENT OF THE SVR THREAT.

..COHEN.. 05/11/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...BRO...

LAT...LON 29409585 28759588 27989676 27339725 26689759 26669848
26789947 27319958 28309903 30259835 31099770 31079707
30499634 29409585

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KEWX [110239]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 110239
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
939 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0905 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 W HUTTO 30.55N 97.56W
05/10/2012 E2.24 INCH WILLIAMSON TX TRAINED SPOTTER

2.00 TO 2.24 INCHES IN ABOUT 20 MINUTES.


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200327

$$

PM

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KCRP [110238]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 110238
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
938 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0921 PM HAIL MATHIS 28.09N 97.82W
05/10/2012 M1.00 INCH SAN PATRICIO TX EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

DVOGELSA

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KEWX [110237]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 110237
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
937 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 W DRIFTWOOD 30.11N 98.09W
05/10/2012 HAYS TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SEVERAL ROADS IN AND AROUND DRIFTWOOD CLOSED DUE TO
FLOODING... INCLUDING PARTS OF HIGHWAY 12.


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200326

$$

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KABR [110225]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 110225
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
925 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0806 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 S BULLHEAD 45.62N 101.08W
05/10/2012 M58 MPH CORSON SD MESONET


&&

EVENT NUMBER ABR1200123

$$

KG

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KCRP [110224]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 110224
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
924 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0850 PM HAIL 2 NE FANNIN 28.71N 97.19W
05/10/2012 E0.88 INCH GOLIAD TX TRAINED SPOTTER

0921 PM HAIL MATHIS 28.09N 97.82W
05/10/2012 E0.88 INCH SAN PATRICIO TX AMATEUR RADIO


&&

$$

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KABR [110222]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 110222
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
921 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0859 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 N VIVIAN 44.12N 100.29W
05/10/2012 M59 MPH LYMAN SD MESONET


&&

EVENT NUMBER ABR1200122

$$

KG

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KEWX [110209]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 110209
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
908 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0901 PM TSTM WND GST 1 E HUTTO 30.55N 97.53W
05/10/2012 E58 MPH WILLIAMSON TX TRAINED SPOTTER

WINDS GUSTS TO 50 MPH.


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200325

$$

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KCRP [110206]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KCRP 110206
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
906 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0520 AM HAIL 3 WNW ORVIL 27.65N 99.54W
05/10/2012 E0.75 INCH WEBB TX COCORAHS

0615 AM HAIL 14 SSE ENCINAL 27.86N 99.26W
05/10/2012 E0.75 INCH WEBB TX COCORAHS

HAIL FELL FOR 10 MINUTES AT CALLAHAN RANCH

1034 AM TSTM WND DMG SE WOODWARD 28.53N 99.29W
05/10/2012 LA SALLE TX EMERGENCY MNGR

MOBILE HOME FLIPPED NEAR WOODWARD ON RANCH RD 469.
POSSIBLE PEOPLE TRAPPED INSIDE.

1045 AM FLASH FLOOD 5 NW COTULLA 28.49N 99.29W
05/10/2012 LA SALLE TX EMERGENCY MNGR

ALONG FM468 NEAR THE WOODWARD AREA...TWO FEET DEEP WATER
OVER THE ROAD. ROAD IS NOW CLOSED.

1240 PM TORNADO RICARDO 27.42N 97.91W
05/10/2012 KLEBERG TX EMERGENCY MNGR

REPORT OF TORNADO NEAR RICARDO. MAGNITUDE UNKNOWN AT THIS
TIME.

1242 PM HAIL KINGSVILLE 27.51N 97.86W
05/10/2012 E1.00 INCH KLEBERG TX TRAINED SPOTTER

6TH AND KING STREET

1245 PM HAIL KINGSVILLE 27.51N 97.86W
05/10/2012 E1.00 INCH KLEBERG TX TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL AT KINGSVILLE HIGH SCHOOL

1245 PM HAIL KINGSVILLE 27.51N 97.86W
05/10/2012 E1.00 INCH KLEBERG TX BROADCAST MEDIA

WEST SIDE OF KINGSVILLE

1252 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 12 S TILDEN 28.28N 98.54W
05/10/2012 MCMULLEN TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

DEPUTIES REPORTING FUNNEL CLOUD AND MONITORING

1252 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 10 ESE KINGSVILLE 27.45N 97.71W
05/10/2012 KLEBERG TX NWS EMPLOYEE

1252 PM FLASH FLOOD KINGSVILLE 27.51N 97.86W
05/10/2012 KLEBERG TX TRAINED SPOTTER

SOME INTERSECTIONS IN KINGSVILLE BECOMING IMPASSABLE.
WATER COMING UP OVER AREAS OF KING STREET.

0130 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 10 NNW THREE RIVERS 28.60N 98.24W
05/10/2012 LIVE OAK TX PUBLIC

LARGE RAPIDLY ROTATING WALL CLOUD...BETWEEN 130 AND 145
PM CDT

0135 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 10 SE BISHOP 27.49N 97.67W
05/10/2012 KLEBERG TX NWS EMPLOYEE

ROTATING STORM...STILL NO CONFIRMATION IF FUNNEL HAS
REACHED THE GROUND

0148 PM TORNADO 5 SE WHITSETT 28.58N 98.20W
05/10/2012 LIVE OAK TX TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORT OF TORNADO...UNCONFIRMED...MAGNITUDE UNKNOWN.

0151 PM TORNADO 8 NNW RAY POINT 28.58N 98.13W
05/10/2012 LIVE OAK TX TRAINED SPOTTER

SMALL ROPE TORNADO WAS DOWN FOR ABOUT A MINUTE...HAS
LIFTED

0152 PM HAIL 5 W CHAPMAN RANCH 27.58N 97.53W
05/10/2012 E0.50 INCH NUECES TX TRAINED SPOTTER

0152 PM TSTM WND GST 5 W CHAPMAN RANCH 27.58N 97.53W
05/10/2012 E60.00 MPH NUECES TX TRAINED SPOTTER

0155 PM TSTM WND DMG WHITSETT 28.62N 98.28W
05/10/2012 LIVE OAK TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

SHED BLOWN DOWN AND LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN AS WELL.

0206 PM FUNNEL CLOUD CHAPMAN RANCH 27.58N 97.45W
05/10/2012 NUECES TX NWS EMPLOYEE

FUNNEL REPORTED WITHIN A ROTATING STORM

0206 PM HAIL CHAPMAN RANCH 27.58N 97.45W
05/10/2012 M1.00 INCH NUECES TX NWS EMPLOYEE

0216 PM HAIL 2 N CHAPMAN RANCH 27.61N 97.45W
05/10/2012 M1.75 INCH NUECES TX NWS EMPLOYEE

0223 PM HAIL 1 N TILDEN 28.46N 98.54W
05/10/2012 E1.75 INCH MCMULLEN TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

GOLF BALL HAIL NEAR HIGHWAY 16.

0229 PM HAIL 8 SSE CORPUS CHRISTI 27.60N 97.24W
05/10/2012 M1.25 INCH NUECES TX NWS EMPLOYEE

REPORTED BY THE NWS CRP MIC.

0232 PM TORNADO 5 SSW NELL 28.63N 98.09W
05/10/2012 LIVE OAK TX TRAINED SPOTTER

BREIFLY ON GROUND

0248 PM HAIL 10 SE CORPUS CHRISTI 27.60N 97.18W
05/10/2012 E0.75 INCH GMZ250 TX PUBLIC

IN THE FLOUR BLUFF AREA EAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI.

0253 PM TSTM WND DMG CORPUS CHRISTI 27.71N 97.29W
05/10/2012 NUECES TX TRAINED SPOTTER

POWER OUTAGES NEAR SARATOGA AND RODDFIELD STREETS

0257 PM HAIL 10 ESE CC NAS 27.63N 97.13W
05/10/2012 E1.00 INCH GMZ250 TX OTHER FEDERAL

HAIL AT THE CORPUS CHRISTI NAVAL AIR STATION

0300 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 W FLOUR BLUFF 27.66N 97.38W
05/10/2012 M3.53 INCH NUECES TX TRAINED SPOTTER

FELL BETWEEN 2 AND 3 PM CDT. REPORT OF HAIL AS
WELL...SIZE UNKNOWN.

0308 PM WATER SPOUT 5 S CC NAS 27.61N 97.27W
05/10/2012 GMZ230 TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

SIGHTED OVER LAGUNA MADRE BY THE CORPUS CHRISTI POLICE.

0312 PM HAIL 6 ESE CC NAS 27.67N 97.19W
05/10/2012 E1.00 INCH NUECES TX PARK/FOREST SRVC

AT MUSTANG ISLAND STATE PARK

0324 PM HAIL 7 ESE CC NAS 27.65N 97.18W
05/10/2012 M1.25 INCH NUECES TX PARK/FOREST SRVC

LARGER HAIL NOW AT MUSTANG ISLAND STATE PARK.

0450 PM HAIL 10 SW GEORGE WEST 28.23N 98.23W
05/10/2012 E2.75 INCH LIVE OAK TX TRAINED SPOTTER

ISOLATED BASEBALL...MOSTLY GOLF BALL TO HEN EGG SIZE.

0458 PM HAIL 2 SSW GEORGE WEST 28.30N 98.13W
05/10/2012 E0.88 INCH LIVE OAK TX CO-OP OBSERVER

0505 PM HAIL GEORGE WEST 28.33N 98.12W
05/10/2012 E1.00 INCH LIVE OAK TX PUBLIC

AT GARZAS GROCERY IN GEORGE WEST

0548 PM HAIL 4 SW BEEVILLE 28.36N 97.80W
05/10/2012 E1.75 INCH BEE TX TRAINED SPOTTER

MOSTLY NICKEL SIZE WITH SOME LARGER CHUNKS AROUND GOLF
BALL SIZE.

0610 PM HAIL BEEVILLE 28.41N 97.75W
05/10/2012 E1.75 INCH BEE TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

AT THE CENTRAL FIRE STATION IN BEEVILLE

0622 PM FLASH FLOOD BEEVILLE 28.41N 97.75W
05/10/2012 BEE TX AMATEUR RADIO

STREET FLOODING AND ROADS CLOSED AROUND LOW SPOTS IN THE
CITY OF BEEVILLE

0645 PM FLASH FLOOD BEEVILLE 28.41N 97.75W
05/10/2012 BEE TX AMATEUR RADIO

HIGH WATER RESCUE BEING CONDUCTED BY BEEVILLE FIRE
DEPARTMENT. REPORTS OF 2 INCHES OR MORE OF HEAVY RAIN IN
A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

0658 PM TSTM WND GST 2 ESE CLEGG 28.12N 98.26W
05/10/2012 E65.00 MPH LIVE OAK TX TRAINED SPOTTER

0658 PM HAIL 2 ESE CLEGG 28.12N 98.26W
05/10/2012 E1.00 INCH LIVE OAK TX TRAINED SPOTTER

0720 PM TORNADO 8 ESE LOMA ALTA 28.04N 98.39W
05/10/2012 DUVAL TX TRAINED SPOTTER

OR ABOUT 6 MILES SW OF CLEGG

0726 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 18 NNE LAREDO 27.77N 99.37W
05/10/2012 WEBB TX TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER IS AT MILE MARKER 18 ON INTERSTATE 35 WITH FUNNEL
CLOUD JUST TO THE WEST.

0800 PM HAIL CLEGG 28.12N 98.29W
05/10/2012 M1.25 INCH LIVE OAK TX TRAINED SPOTTER

0821 PM TSTM WND GST 30 SW FREER 27.57N 98.96W
05/10/2012 E60.00 MPH WEBB TX TRAINED SPOTTER

0836 PM HAIL 6 SW FREER 27.82N 98.69W
05/10/2012 E1.00 INCH DUVAL TX NWS EMPLOYEE

0855 PM FLASH FLOOD FREER 27.88N 98.62W
05/10/2012 DUVAL TX NWS EMPLOYEE

SIGNIFICANT STREET FLOODING IN THE LOWER LYING AREAS OF
INTERSECTIONS IN FREER.


&&

$$

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KBOU [110203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBOU 110203
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
803 PM MDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0743 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 N GALATEA 38.54N 103.02W
05/10/2012 KIOWA CO PUBLIC

DAMAGE REPORTED BY PUBLIC TO 80FT METAL SHED THAT WAS
DESTROYED


&&

$$

KBOWEN

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KEWX [110202]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 110202
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
902 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0850 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 ESE LEANDER 30.55N 97.82W
05/10/2012 M1.28 INCH WILLIAMSON TX COCORAHS

1.28 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN 20 MINUTES.


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200324

$$

PM

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KEWX [110200]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 110200
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
859 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0846 PM HAIL BALCONES HEIGHTS 29.49N 98.55W
05/10/2012 E0.50 INCH BEXAR TX EMERGENCY MNGR

PEA TO HALF INCH HAIL ALONG WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200323

$$

PM

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KCRP [110157]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KCRP 110157
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
857 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0520 AM HAIL 3 WNW ORVIL 27.65N 99.54W
05/10/2012 E0.75 INCH WEBB TX COCORAHS

0615 AM HAIL 14 SSE ENCINAL 27.86N 99.26W
05/10/2012 E0.75 INCH WEBB TX COCORAHS

HAIL FELL FOR 10 MINUTES AT CALLAHAN RANCH

1034 AM TSTM WND DMG SE WOODWARD 28.53N 99.29W
05/10/2012 LA SALLE TX EMERGENCY MNGR

MOBILE HOME FLIPPED NEAR WOODWARD ON RANCH RD 469.
POSSIBLE PEOPLE TRAPPED INSIDE.

1045 AM FLASH FLOOD 5 NW COTULLA 28.49N 99.29W
05/10/2012 LA SALLE TX EMERGENCY MNGR

ALONG FM468 NEAR THE WOODWARD AREA...TWO FEET DEEP WATER
OVER THE ROAD. ROAD IS NOW CLOSED.

1240 PM TORNADO RICARDO 27.42N 97.91W
05/10/2012 KLEBERG TX EMERGENCY MNGR

REPORT OF TORNADO NEAR RICARDO. MAGNITUDE UNKNOWN AT THIS
TIME.

1242 PM HAIL KINGSVILLE 27.51N 97.86W
05/10/2012 E1.00 INCH KLEBERG TX TRAINED SPOTTER

6TH AND KING STREET

1245 PM HAIL KINGSVILLE 27.51N 97.86W
05/10/2012 E1.00 INCH KLEBERG TX TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL AT KINGSVILLE HIGH SCHOOL

1245 PM HAIL KINGSVILLE 27.51N 97.86W
05/10/2012 E1.00 INCH KLEBERG TX BROADCAST MEDIA

WEST SIDE OF KINGSVILLE

1252 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 12 S TILDEN 28.28N 98.54W
05/10/2012 MCMULLEN TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

DEPUTIES REPORTING FUNNEL CLOUD AND MONITORING

1252 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 10 ESE KINGSVILLE 27.45N 97.71W
05/10/2012 KLEBERG TX NWS EMPLOYEE

1252 PM FLASH FLOOD KINGSVILLE 27.51N 97.86W
05/10/2012 KLEBERG TX TRAINED SPOTTER

SOME INTERSECTIONS IN KINGSVILLE BECOMING IMPASSABLE.
WATER COMING UP OVER AREAS OF KING STREET.

0130 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 10 NNW THREE RIVERS 28.60N 98.24W
05/10/2012 LIVE OAK TX PUBLIC

LARGE RAPIDLY ROTATING WALL CLOUD...BETWEEN 130 AND 145
PM CDT

0135 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 10 SE BISHOP 27.49N 97.67W
05/10/2012 KLEBERG TX NWS EMPLOYEE

ROTATING STORM...STILL NO CONFIRMATION IF FUNNEL HAS
REACHED THE GROUND

0148 PM TORNADO 5 SE WHITSETT 28.58N 98.20W
05/10/2012 LIVE OAK TX TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORT OF TORNADO...UNCONFIRMED...MAGNITUDE UNKNOWN.

0151 PM TORNADO 8 NNW RAY POINT 28.58N 98.13W
05/10/2012 LIVE OAK TX TRAINED SPOTTER

SMALL ROPE TORNADO WAS DOWN FOR ABOUT A MINUTE...HAS
LIFTED

0152 PM HAIL 5 W CHAPMAN RANCH 27.58N 97.53W
05/10/2012 E0.50 INCH NUECES TX TRAINED SPOTTER

0152 PM TSTM WND GST 5 W CHAPMAN RANCH 27.58N 97.53W
05/10/2012 E60.00 MPH NUECES TX TRAINED SPOTTER

0155 PM TSTM WND DMG WHITSETT 28.62N 98.28W
05/10/2012 LIVE OAK TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

SHED BLOWN DOWN AND LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN AS WELL.

0206 PM FUNNEL CLOUD CHAPMAN RANCH 27.58N 97.45W
05/10/2012 NUECES TX NWS EMPLOYEE

FUNNEL REPORTED WITHIN A ROTATING STORM

0206 PM HAIL CHAPMAN RANCH 27.58N 97.45W
05/10/2012 M1.00 INCH NUECES TX NWS EMPLOYEE

0216 PM HAIL 2 N CHAPMAN RANCH 27.61N 97.45W
05/10/2012 M1.75 INCH NUECES TX NWS EMPLOYEE

0223 PM HAIL 1 N TILDEN 28.46N 98.54W
05/10/2012 E1.75 INCH MCMULLEN TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

GOLF BALL HAIL NEAR HIGHWAY 16.

0229 PM HAIL 8 SSE CORPUS CHRISTI 27.60N 97.24W
05/10/2012 M1.25 INCH NUECES TX NWS EMPLOYEE

REPORTED BY THE NWS CRP MIC.

0232 PM TORNADO 5 SSW NELL 28.63N 98.09W
05/10/2012 LIVE OAK TX TRAINED SPOTTER

BREIFLY ON GROUND

0248 PM HAIL 10 SE CORPUS CHRISTI 27.60N 97.18W
05/10/2012 E0.75 INCH GMZ250 TX PUBLIC

IN THE FLOUR BLUFF AREA EAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI.

0253 PM TSTM WND DMG CORPUS CHRISTI 27.71N 97.29W
05/10/2012 NUECES TX TRAINED SPOTTER

POWER OUTAGES NEAR SARATOGA AND RODDFIELD STREETS

0257 PM HAIL 10 ESE CC NAS 27.63N 97.13W
05/10/2012 E1.00 INCH GMZ250 TX OTHER FEDERAL

HAIL AT THE CORPUS CHRISTI NAVAL AIR STATION

0300 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 W FLOUR BLUFF 27.66N 97.38W
05/10/2012 M3.53 INCH NUECES TX TRAINED SPOTTER

FELL BETWEEN 2 AND 3 PM CDT. REPORT OF HAIL AS
WELL...SIZE UNKNOWN.

0308 PM WATER SPOUT 5 S CC NAS 27.61N 97.27W
05/10/2012 GMZ230 TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

SIGHTED OVER LAGUNA MADRE BY THE CORPUS CHRISTI POLICE.

0312 PM HAIL 6 ESE CC NAS 27.67N 97.19W
05/10/2012 E1.00 INCH NUECES TX PARK/FOREST SRVC

AT MUSTANG ISLAND STATE PARK

0324 PM HAIL 7 ESE CC NAS 27.65N 97.18W
05/10/2012 M1.25 INCH NUECES TX PARK/FOREST SRVC

LARGER HAIL NOW AT MUSTANG ISLAND STATE PARK.

0450 PM HAIL 10 SW GEORGE WEST 28.23N 98.23W
05/10/2012 E2.75 INCH LIVE OAK TX TRAINED SPOTTER

ISOLATED BASEBALL...MOSTLY GOLF BALL TO HEN EGG SIZE.

0458 PM HAIL 2 SSW GEORGE WEST 28.30N 98.13W
05/10/2012 E0.88 INCH LIVE OAK TX CO-OP OBSERVER

0505 PM HAIL GEORGE WEST 28.33N 98.12W
05/10/2012 E1.00 INCH LIVE OAK TX PUBLIC

AT GARZAS GROCERY IN GEORGE WEST

0548 PM HAIL 4 SW BEEVILLE 28.36N 97.80W
05/10/2012 E1.75 INCH BEE TX TRAINED SPOTTER

MOSTLY NICKEL SIZE WITH SOME LARGER CHUNKS AROUND GOLF
BALL SIZE.

0610 PM HAIL BEEVILLE 28.41N 97.75W
05/10/2012 E1.75 INCH BEE TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

AT THE CENTRAL FIRE STATION IN BEEVILLE

0622 PM FLASH FLOOD BEEVILLE 28.41N 97.75W
05/10/2012 BEE TX AMATEUR RADIO

STREET FLOODING AND ROADS CLOSED AROUND LOW SPOTS IN THE
CITY OF BEEVILLE

0645 PM FLASH FLOOD BEEVILLE 28.41N 97.75W
05/10/2012 BEE TX AMATEUR RADIO

HIGH WATER RESCUE BEING CONDUCTED BY BEEVILLE FIRE
DEPARTMENT. REPORTS OF 2 INCHES OR MORE OF HEAVY RAIN IN
A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

0720 PM TORNADO 8 ESE LOMA ALTA 28.04N 98.39W
05/10/2012 DUVAL TX TRAINED SPOTTER

OR ABOUT 6 MILES SW OF CLEGG

0726 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 18 NNE LAREDO 27.77N 99.37W
05/10/2012 WEBB TX TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER IS AT MILE MARKER 18 ON INTERSTATE 35 WITH FUNNEL
CLOUD JUST TO THE WEST.

0800 PM HAIL CLEGG 28.12N 98.29W
05/10/2012 M1.25 INCH LIVE OAK TX TRAINED SPOTTER

0821 PM TSTM WND GST 30 SW FREER 27.57N 98.96W
05/10/2012 E60.00 MPH WEBB TX TRAINED SPOTTER

0836 PM HAIL 6 SW FREER 27.82N 98.69W
05/10/2012 E1.00 INCH DUVAL TX NWS EMPLOYEE

0855 PM FLASH FLOOD FREER 27.88N 98.62W
05/10/2012 DUVAL TX NWS EMPLOYEE

SIGNIFICANT STREET FLOODING IN THE LOWER LYING AREAS OF
INTERSECTIONS IN FREER.


&&

$$

DVOGELSA

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KEWX [110156]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 110156
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
856 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0852 PM HAIL 2 NW WINDEMERE 30.48N 97.67W
05/10/2012 M0.88 INCH WILLIAMSON TX AMATEUR RADIO

LOTS OF NICKEL SIZE HAIL NEAR IH35 CAUSING TRAFFIC
PROBLEMS.


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200322

$$

PM

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 101628
SWODY1
SPC AC 101626

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1126 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

VALID 101630Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL AND SRN
TX...

...SYNOPSIS...

A PROGRESSIVE...SPLIT FLOW PATTERN WILL EXIST ACROSS THE CONUS THIS
PERIOD WITH THE PRIMARY FEATURE OF INTEREST BEING SUBTROPICAL BRANCH
UPPER LOW WHICH WILL TRANSLATE FROM NWRN MEXICO INTO CNTRL TX.
WITHIN THE POLAR BRANCH OF WESTERLIES...A TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY FROM
ERN CANADA THROUGH NEW ENGLAND TO THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST...DOWNSTREAM FROM A MIGRATORY SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH
THE CANADIAN PRAIRIE PROVINCES AND NRN PLAINS.

AT THE SURFACE...THE TENDENCY FOR BAROCLINIC ZONE LOCATED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND S-CNTRL TX TO LIFT NWD
AHEAD OF UPPER LOW MAY BE OFFSET BY CONVECTIVE COLD POOL GENERATION
TO THE N...YIELDING LITTLE NET MOVEMENT TO FRONT. THE ERN EXTENSION
OF THIS BOUNDARY OVER THE CNTRL FL PENINSULA WILL...HOWEVER...
CONTINUE SWD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE STATE. ELSEWHERE...A COLD
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE N-CNTRL CONUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL
ADVANCE ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS INTO UPPER MS VALLEY WITH SWRN PORTION
OF BOUNDARY MOVING SWD INTO THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS.

...EDWARDS PLATEAU/CONCHO VALLEY EWD TO THE UPPER TX COAST AND SWD
INTO DEEP S TX TODAY AND TONIGHT...

12Z CRP/BRO/DRT SOUNDINGS SHOWED THE PRESENCE OF A VERY MOIST
ENVIRONMENT /I.E. PW VALUES OF 1.5-2.0 INCHES/ AND STEEP MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES WHICH ARE CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPE VALUES OF 1500-2500
J/KG AS OF MID MORNING. INCREASED DIABATIC WARMING OF BOUNDARY
LAYER COUPLED WITH COOLING MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL SUPPORT
FURTHER DESTABILIZATION THROUGH PEAK OF THE DIURNAL HEATING CYCLE
WITH ENVIRONMENT BECOMING STRONGLY UNSTABLE AT LOCATIONS SOUTH OF
THE FRONT.

REGENERATIVE STRONG-SEVERE TSTM DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH
MUCH OF THE D1 PERIOD AS FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT TO UPPER LOW
EDGES EWD AND INTERACTS WITH THE MOIST...MODERATE-STRONGLY UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT. MORE SPECIFICALLY...A NOTABLE INCREASE IN STORM
COVERAGE AND VIGOR IS ANTICIPATED LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU INTO THE HILL COUNTRY IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A STRONG VORTICITY MAXIMUM ROTATING AROUND
PERIPHERY OF UPPER LOW.

THE EWD PROGRESSION OF MID AND HIGH-LEVEL JET STREAKS ACROSS THE
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY WILL RESULT IN PRONOUNCED VERTICAL VEERING
OF WINDS WITH HEIGHT WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR STEADILY
STRENGTHENING TO 50-60 KT. AS SUCH...THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY SUPPORTIVE OF INTENSE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE
HAIL...TORNADOES...AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. UPSCALE GROWTH INTO ONE
OR MORE FORWARD-PROPAGATING MCSS IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR CORRIDORS OF WIND DAMAGE.

...E-CNTRL/SERN FL PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON...

LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL REMAIN NEGLIGIBLE ACROSS THE
AREA...BUT THE PRESENCE OF DEEP WLY FLOW SHOULD ENHANCE CONVERGENCE
ALONG THE ERN SEA BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON. WHEN COUPLED WITH SWD
ADVANCEMENT OF COLD FRONT...EXPECT WIDELY SCATTERED-SCATTERED TSTM
DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN A THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT
FEATURING MLCAPE OF 1000-2000 J/KG. THIS INSTABILITY WILL ALIGN
WITH AN EWD-DEVELOPING SUBTROPICAL UPPER JET STREAK WITH SETUP
SUPPORTIVE OF MULTICELL AND MARGINAL SUPERCELL STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF
LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS...SOME HAIL...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO.

...NRN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF A RELATIVELY DRY AIR MASS /PER 12Z REGIONAL
SOUNDINGS/...MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATE THAT STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES
AND STRONG DAYTIME HEATING WILL YIELD A MODERATELY UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT BY AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPE APPROACHING 1000 J/KG. A
DEEPENING FRONTAL CIRCULATION WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASING HEIGHT
FALLS/FORCING FOR ASCENT DOWNSTREAM FROM POLAR BRANCH SHORTWAVE
TROUGH TO FOSTER ISOLATED TSTMS BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING.
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL REMAIN MARGINALLY STRONG FOR STORM
ORGANIZATION/SUSTENANCE...BUT THE PRESENCE OF THE STEEP LAPSE RATES
AND DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER MAY PROMOTE LOCALLY STRONG WIND
GUSTS AND PERHAPS SOME HAIL.

..MEAD/BUNTING/LEITMAN.. 05/10/2012

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KEWX [101622]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 101622
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1122 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 AM HAIL 1 W DILLEY 28.67N 99.19W
05/10/2012 E1.75 INCH FRIO TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

REPORTED BY BRISCO UNIT PRISON OFFICIALS


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200290

$$

CVP

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KCHS [101600]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 101600
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1159 AM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0333 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 WSW LADSON 32.98N 80.12W
05/09/2012 CHARLESTON SC 911 CALL CENTER

LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TREE DOWN ON LINCOLNVILLE
ROAD.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200144

$$

DPB

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KCRP [101552]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 101552
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1052 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1034 AM TSTM WND DMG SE WOODWARD 28.53N 99.29W
05/10/2012 LA SALLE TX EMERGENCY MNGR

MOBILE HOME FLIPPED NEAR WOODWARD ON RANCH RD 469.
POSSIBLE PEOPLE TRAPPED INSIDE.


&&

$$

LKEYS

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KCRP [101548]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 101548
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1048 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1045 AM FLASH FLOOD 5 NW COTULLA 28.49N 99.29W
05/10/2012 LA SALLE TX EMERGENCY MNGR

ALONG FM468 NEAR THE WOODWARD AREA...TWO FEET DEEP WATER
OVER THE ROAD. ROAD IS NOW CLOSED.


&&

$$

LKEYS

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KKEY [101542]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...updated

NWUS52 KKEY 101542 AAA
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1140 AM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

UPDATED FOR NEW INFORMATION FOR MARATHON ACTIVITY

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1055 AM WATER SPOUT 11 E ROCK HARBOR 25.08N 80.28W
05/10/2012 GMZ052 FL TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER 200 CALLED IN WITH THE REPORT OF A THIN
WATERSPOUT OUT IN THE VICINITY OF MOLASSES REEF LIGHT.

1058 AM WATER SPOUT 10 SE KEY LARGO 25.00N 80.33W
05/10/2012 GMZ052 FL PUBLIC

CHARTER BOAT CAPTAIN IN THE VICINITY OF SPIEGEL GROVE
WRECK REPORTED A THIN WATERSPOUT IN THE VICINITY OF
MOLASSES REEF LIGHT.

1108 AM WATER SPOUT 8 E MARATHON 24.71N 80.95W
05/10/2012 GMZ043 FL TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER CALLED IN WITH REPORT OF 3 WATERSPOUTS...2 VERY
BIG...ONE THIN...AND A POTENTIAL 4TH SPOUT OFF OF DUCK
KEY. THESE ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS
MOVING EAST. SPOTTER SAID THEY HAD JUST STARTED.

UPDATE - AT 1113 AM SPOTTER CALLED AND SAID VERY BIG SPOUTS
HAD DISSIPATED. DURATION OF EVENT 5 MINUTES.

1123 AM FUNNEL CLOUD 7 E WINDLEY KEY 24.95N 80.49W
05/10/2012 GMZ042 FL PUBLIC

PUBLIC CALLED IN REPORT OF 3 FUNNEL CLOUDS OFF OF
PLANTATION KEY IN THE ATLANTIC OUT BY THE REEF ASSOCIATED
WITH A CLUSTER OF CLOUDS MOVING ENE.


&&

$$

MPARKE

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KKEY [101539]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 101539
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1138 AM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1055 AM WATER SPOUT 11 E ROCK HARBOR 25.08N 80.28W
05/10/2012 GMZ052 FL TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER 200 CALLED IN WITH THE REPORT OF A THIN
WATERSPOUT OUT IN THE VICINITY OF MOLASSES REEF LIGHT.

1058 AM WATER SPOUT 10 SE KEY LARGO 25.00N 80.33W
05/10/2012 GMZ052 FL PUBLIC

CHARTER BOAT CAPTAIN IN THE VICINITY OF SPIEGEL GROVE
WRECK REPORTED A THIN WATERSPOUT IN THE VICINITY OF
MOLASSES REEF LIGHT.

1108 AM WATER SPOUT 8 E MARATHON 24.71N 80.95W
05/10/2012 GMZ043 FL TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER CALLED IN WITH REPORT OF 3 WATERSPOUTS...2 VERY
BIG...ONE THIN...AND A POTENTIAL 4TH SPOUT OFF OF DUCK
KEY. THESE ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS
MOVING EAST. SPOTTER SAID THEY HAD JUST STARTED.

1123 AM FUNNEL CLOUD 7 E WINDLEY KEY 24.95N 80.49W
05/10/2012 GMZ042 FL PUBLIC

PUBLIC CALLED IN REPORT OF 3 FUNNEL CLOUDS OFF OF
PLANTATION KEY IN THE ATLANTIC OUT BY THE REEF ASSOCIATED
WITH A CLUSTER OF CLOUDS MOVING ENE.


&&

$$

MPARKE

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KSJT [101535]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSJT 101535
LSRSJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1035 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1028 AM FLASH FLOOD 12 N BARNHART 31.30N 101.14W
05/10/2012 IRION TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

IRION COUNTY DISPATCH REPORTED THAT RR 2469 WAS
FLOODED.


&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1200154

$$

JMJ

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KSJT [101533]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSJT 101533
LSRSJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1033 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1028 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW BARNHART 31.12N 101.18W
05/10/2012 IRION TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

IRION COUNTY DISPATCH REPORTED THAT HWY 67 WEST OF
BARNHART WAS FLOODED


&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1200153

$$

JMJ

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KMAF [101521]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMAF 101521
LSRMAF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1021 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM FLOOD BIG SPRING 32.25N 101.48W
05/10/2012 HOWARD TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

E 6TH STREET UNDER .5 TO 3 FEET OF WATER.

0755 AM FLOOD IRAAN 30.91N 101.90W
05/10/2012 PECOS TX TRAINED SPOTTER

1.5 FEET OF RUNNING WATER AT 10TH AND 11TH STREET ON
BRANSON.

0817 AM FLOOD E ODESSA 31.85N 102.37W
05/10/2012 ECTOR TX BROADCAST MEDIA

HWY 80 AND COUNTY CLUB. 2 FEET OF MOVING WATER.

0832 AM FLOOD MIDLAND 32.00N 102.08W
05/10/2012 MIDLAND TX BROADCAST MEDIA

PRINCETON AND GARFIELD. WOMAN TRAPPED IN CAR.

0837 AM FLOOD MIDLAND 32.00N 102.08W
05/10/2012 MIDLAND TX BROADCAST MEDIA

SCHARBAUER AND LAMESA. FLOODING IN STREETS.

0903 AM FLOOD SHEFFIELD 30.69N 101.82W
05/10/2012 PECOS TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

RIVER ROSE 2 FEET AND IS RISING ALONG THE PECOS RIVER.
WATER TO CURBS IN CITY.


&&

$$

KAH

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KEWX [101516]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KEWX 101516
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1016 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM HEAVY RAIN 7 ESE EL INDIO 28.48N 100.21W
05/10/2012 M3.20 INCH MAVERICK TX CO-OP OBSERVER

3.20 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN ABOUT A 2 HOUR PERIOD


&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200289

$$

CVP

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KILM [101515]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...correction

NWUS52 KILM 101515
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1116 AM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM TSTM WND DMG 10 ESE JEROME 34.78N 78.56W
05/09/2012 BLADEN NC PUBLIC

TWO TREES DOWN.


&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200088

$$

43

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KEWX [101515]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 101515
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1014 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1005 AM HEAVY RAIN 7 ESE EL INDIO 28.48N 100.21W
05/10/2012 M3.20 INCH MAVERICK TX CO-OP OBSERVER

3.20 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN ABOUT A 2 HOUR PERIOD


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200289

$$

CVP

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KCHS [101509]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 101509
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1108 AM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0347 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 NNW BENNETTS POINT 32.61N 80.48W
05/09/2012 COLLETON SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED ONE TREE DOWN ALONG BENNETTS
POINT ROAD.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200143

$$

DPB

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KEWX [101507]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 101507
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1007 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1003 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 W BIG WELLS 28.57N 99.60W
05/10/2012 M3.10 INCH DIMMIT TX PUBLIC

3.10 INCHES IN ONE HOUR. HEAVY RAIN CONTINUING AT TIME
OF CALL.


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200288

$$

CVP

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KCHS [101502]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 101502
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1101 AM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0325 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NNE GARDENS CORNER 32.64N 80.74W
05/09/2012 BEAUFORT SC 911 CALL CENTER

LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED ONE TREE DOWN ON BIG ESTATE
ROAD.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200142

$$

DPB

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KEWX [101456]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 101456
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
956 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0605 AM TSTM WND GST 5 NNW COMSTOCK 29.76N 101.20W
05/10/2012 E60 MPH VAL VERDE TX COCORAHS


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200287

$$

SBS

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KEWX [101455]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 101455
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
955 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0605 AM HAIL 5 NNW COMSTOCK 29.76N 101.20W
05/10/2012 E1.00 INCH VAL VERDE TX COCORAHS


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200286

$$

SBS

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KKEY [101453]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...updated

NWUS52 KKEY 101453 AAA
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1050 AM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

UPDATED TO INCLUDE DURATION INFORMATION FROM CHARTER BOAT
CAPTAIN REPORT SENT PREVIOUSLY


..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1010 AM WATER SPOUT 5 NE KEY WEST 24.61N 81.72W
05/10/2012 GMZ032 FL NWS EMPLOYEE

OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTED A WATERSPOUT AT LEAST HALF
WAY DOWN.

1012 AM WATER SPOUT 9 E KEY LARGO 25.11N 80.30W
05/10/2012 GMZ042 FL PUBLIC

CHARTER BOAT CAPTAIN VICINITY MOSQUITO BANK REPORTED 1

WATERSPOUT ALL THE WAY TO THE SURFACE AND 1 FUNNEL CLOUD.

1019 AM WATER SPOUT 9 E KEY LARGO 25.11N 80.30W
05/10/2012 GMZ042 FL PUBLIC

CHARTER BOAT CAPTAIN VICINITY OF MOSQUITO BANK CALLED
BACK TO REPORT 3 WATERSPOUTS APPROXIMATELY 2 NAUTICAL
MILES SOUTHEAST OF 25 05N AND 80 23W.

UPDATE - CHARTER BOAT CAPTAIN CALLED BACK AT 1043 AM TO
REPORT THAT WATERSPOUTS WERE NOT TOUCHING THE
SURFACE ANYMORE. DURATION ESTIMATED 31 MINUTES.


&&

$$

MPARKE

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0773

ACUS11 KWNS 101451
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101451
TXZ000-101645-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0773
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0951 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND S TX INCLUDING THE MID AND
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 270...

VALID 101451Z - 101645Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 270
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS CONTINUES FROM
THE TX BIG BEND AREA INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL AND S TX. SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE WW MAY REQUIRE UPGRADE TO TORNADO WATCH LATER THIS
MORNING.

DISCUSSION...LATEST WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWS THE UPPER LOW CONTINUING
TO MAKE SLOW/STEADY EWD PROGRESS TOWARD FAR W TX...WHILE A JET
STREAK S OF THIS FEATURE -- OVER NRN MEXICO -- IS NOSING ACROSS THE
RIO GRANDE VALLEY INTO CENTRAL AND S TX.

ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE COMBINED WITH CONTINUED HEATING
OF A VERY MOIST LOWER TROPOSPHERE STREAMING NWWD ACROSS S TX/THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO FUEL DEVELOPMENT/INTENSIFICATION IN
AND NEAR THE ONGOING WW. WITH THE ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTING
SUPERCELLS...WIND/HAIL THREAT SHOULD EVENTUALLY EXPAND TO INCLUDE
ISOLATED TORNADOES...AS BOUNDARY-LAYER DESTABILIZATION CONTINUES
INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

..GOSS.. 05/10/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...BRO...SJT...MAF...

LAT...LON 25859861 30670168 31080119 30779902 29459762 25869635
25859861

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KKEY [101449]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 101449
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1049 AM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1040 AM WATER SPOUT 8 E ROCK HARBOR 25.08N 80.33W
05/10/2012 GMZ042 FL TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER 200 REPORTED 2 WATERSPOUTS WITH ONE FULLY DOWN
AND THE SECOND OCCASIONALLY TOUCHING SURFACE.


&&

$$

MPARKE

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KKEY [101432]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 101432
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1032 AM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1010 AM WATER SPOUT 5 NE KEY WEST 24.61N 81.72W
05/10/2012 GMZ032 FL NWS EMPLOYEE

OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTED A WATERSPOUT AT LEAST HALF
WAY DOWN.

1012 AM WATER SPOUT 9 E KEY LARGO 25.11N 80.30W
05/10/2012 GMZ042 FL PUBLIC

CHARTER BOAT CAPTAIN VICINITY MOSQUITO BANK REPORTED 1

WATERSPOUT ALL THE WAY TO THE SURFACE AND 1 FUNNEL CLOUD.

1019 AM WATER SPOUT 9 E KEY LARGO 25.11N 80.30W
05/10/2012 GMZ042 FL PUBLIC

CHARTER BOAT CAPTAIN VICINITY OF MOSQUITO BANK CALLED
BACK TO REPORT 3 WATERSPOUTS APPROXIMATELY 2 NAUTICAL
MILES SOUTHEAST OF 25 05N AND 80 23W.


&&

$$

MPARKE

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KCRP [101410]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 101410
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
909 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 AM HAIL 14 SSE ENCINAL 27.86N 99.26W
05/10/2012 E0.75 INCH WEBB TX COCORAHS

HAIL FELL FOR 10 MINUTES AT CALLAHAN RANCH

0520 AM HAIL 3 WNW ORVIL 27.65N 99.54W
05/10/2012 E0.75 INCH WEBB TX COCORAHS


&&

$$

LKEYS

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KILM [101348]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 101348
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
948 AM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0555 PM TSTM WND DMG 10 ESE JEROME 34.78N 78.56W
05/09/2012 BLADEN NC PUBLIC

TWO TREES DOWN.


&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200088

$$

43

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KKEY [101315]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 101315
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
915 AM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0911 AM WATER SPOUT 5 E KEY WEST 24.56N 81.70W
05/10/2012 LOWER KEYS IN MONR FL NWS EMPLOYEE

OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTED A WATERSPOUT SOUTH OF
STOCK ISLAND. SPOUT WAS REPORTED AS ALL THE WAY DOWN TO
THE SURFACE.


&&

$$

MPARKE

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 101300
SWODY1
SPC AC 101258

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0758 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

VALID 101300Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS PARTS OF SRN THROUGH SERN TX...

...SYNOPSIS...
A PROGRESSIVE SPLIT FLOW PATTERN WILL PREVAIL THIS PERIOD...WITH NRN
MEXICO UPR LOW CONTINUING E TO ENE INTO CNTRL TX AS LWR GRT LKS
TROUGH FURTHER AMPLIFIES UPON MOVING E INTO NEW ENGLAND AND THE MID
ATLANTIC. ELSEWHERE...POSITIVE-TILT PACIFIC NW/NRN RCKYS TROUGH
EXPECTED TO REACH THE NRN PLNS BY 12Z FRI.

AT THE SFC...FRONTAL ZONE THAT ENTERED THE LWR RIO GRANDE ON TUE
SHOULD STRENGTHEN AND REDEVELOP NWD INTO S TX LATER TODAY...WHILE
THE ERN PART OF THE SAME BOUNDARY CONTINUES SLOWLY SE ACROSS
CNTRL/SRN FL. THE BOUNDARY...AND ASSOCIATED WAA FIELD...WILL SERVE
AS A FOCUS FOR STRONG TO SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF TX TODAY THROUGH
EARLY FRI...AND ALSO MAY SUPPORT SCTD STRONG STORMS IN FL THIS AFTN.


...S CNTRL INTO S AND SE TX TODAY/TNGT...
COMBINATION OF VERY RICH MOISTURE /PW 1.25 TO 1.75 INCHES WITH UPR
60S TO LOW 70S F DEWPOINTS/...INCREASING WAA/UPR ASCENT WITH
APPROACHING UPR LOW...AND SFC HEATING EXPECTED TO SUPPORT SEVERAL
EPISODES OF STRONG TO SVR TSTMS OVER A LARGE PART OF SRN AND SERN TX
THIS PERIOD.

CURRENT BAND OF SCTD STORMS OVER THE LWR RIO GRANDE VLY LIKELY IS
BEING FOSTERED BY LOW LVL WAA/MOISTURE TRANSPORT ATOP AFOREMENTIONED
SFC FRONT. THE STORMS IN THE SRN PORTION OF THE BAND LIKELY WILL
BECOME MORE NEARLY SFC-BASED AS SFC HEATING DESTABILIZES REGION
LATER THIS MORNING. WITH AMPLE SHEAR ALREADY IN PLACE FOR
SUPERCELLS...SETUP MAY POSE A RISK FOR TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO
LARGE HAIL/LOCALLY DMGG WIND.

LATER TODAY ANOTHER ROUND OF SVR STORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INVOF
THE FRONT AND IN EXIT REGION OF STRENGTHENED S/SSELY LLJ IN THE SRN
HILL COUNTRY AND/OR THE AREA NEAR DEL RIO. WITH DIURNAL
HEATING...STEEP MID LVL LAPSE RATES...AND CONTINUED LOW LVL MOISTURE
INFLOW...STRONG INSTABILITY WILL EXIST ACROSS REGION...WITH SBCAPE
ON THE ORDER OF 2000-2500 J/KG. COUPLED WITH 50+ KT WSWLY DEEP
SHEAR AND INCREASED FORCING FOR ASCENT E OF APPROACHING UPR
LOW...SETUP COULD YIELD A FAIRLY CONCENTRATED AREA OF STRONG TO SVR
SUSTAINED STORMS/SUPERCELLS. THESE COULD PRODUCE VERY LARGE
HAIL...DMGG WIND...AND TORNADOES. OTHER SVR STORMS MAY FORM ON THE
NRN MEXICAN MOUNTAINS AND MOVE E INTO S TX. ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY
COULD EVOLVE INTO A SIZABLE MCS...WITH EMBEDDED FORWARD-PROPAGATING
SEGMENTS EXTENDING A RISK FOR SVR WIND...HAIL...AND POSSIBLY ISOLD
TORNADOES TO THE TX CSTL PLN THIS EVE. PARTS OF S CNTRL TX TO THE
CNTRL TX GULF CST MAY REQUIRE UPGRADE TO MDT RISK AS THE MOST LIKELY
STORM MODE AND AREA OF AFTN STORM DEVELOPMENT BECOME MORE APPARENT.

ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SVR STORMS MAY AFFECT PARTS OF DEEP S TX AND
THE MIDDLE/UPR TX CSTL PLN THROUGH FRI AS LOW LVL MOISTURE CONTINUES
TO FLOW INTO REGION BENEATH FAVORABLE UPR DIFLUENCE.

...SERN FL THIS AFTN...
AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT AND SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES MAY SUPPORT
ISOLD TO WIDELY SCTD TSTMS THIS AFTN...PRIOR TO ONSET OF MORE
STRONGLY SUBSIDENT MID-LVL THIS EVE. RELATIVELY STEEP LOW LVL LAPSE
RATES AND RICH MOISTURE /PW AOA 1.50 INCHES AND SFC DEWPOINTS NEAR
70 F/ MAY FOSTER LOCALLY STRONG/POSSIBLY SVR DOWNDRAFTS AND PERHAPS
HAIL GIVEN 25-30 KT WLY MID LVL FLOW.

...NRN PLNS LATE THIS AFTN/EVE...
LOW-LVL MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE QUITE LIMITED AHEAD OF COLD FRONT
THAT WILL CROSS THE DAKOTAS LATER TODAY/TNGT ATTENDANT TO NRN RCKYS
UPR TROUGH. SFC HEATING WILL NEVERTHELESS DESTABILIZE REGION NEAR
THE FRONT...AND LIKELY WILL CONTRIBUTE TO STORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG
OR...MORE LIKELY...IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FRONT LATE TODAY INTO
TNGT. A CONDITIONAL RISK FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS CANNOT BE RULED OUT
IF SFC-BASED STORMS DO INDEED DEVELOP...GIVEN STEEP PRE FRONTAL LOW
LVL LAPSE RATES AND MODERATE MEAN WIND FIELD.
ATTM...HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IN SUCH A SCENARIO REMAINS TOO LOW TO
WARRANT INCLUSION OF SVR WIND PROBABILITIES.

..CORFIDI/GARNER.. 05/10/2012

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KKEY [101139]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 101139
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
739 AM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0404 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 S BOOT KEY 24.63N 81.11W
05/10/2012 M49 MPH GMZ043 FL C-MAN STATION

43 KNOT WIND GUST


&&

$$

04

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 270

WWUS20 KWNS 101048
SEL0
SPC WW 101048
TXZ000-CWZ000-101800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 270
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
545 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTH CENTRAL AND DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 545 AM UNTIL
100 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF JUNCTION TEXAS TO 5 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...ELEVATED TSTMS...INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS... EXPECTED
TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER THE LWR RIO GRANDE VLY OF TX THROUGH
MIDDAY AS WAA...LOW LVL MOISTURE TRANSPORT...AND UPR DIVERGENCE
INCREASE DOWNSTREAM FROM UPR LOW NOW APPROACHING FROM N CNTRL
MEXICO. DEEP WIND PROFILES...ALREADY ADEQUATE FOR SUPERCELLS...WILL
STRENGTHEN LATER THIS MORNING. COUPLED WITH QUALITY OF MOIST INFLOW
/PW 1.25-1.75 INCHES/ AND THE LIKELIHOOD THAT UPDRAFTS WILL BECOME
MORE NEARLY SFC-BASED WITH TIME...SRN AND PERHAPS CNTRL PARTS OF THE
WATCH MAY REQUIRE UPGRADE TO TORNADO LATER THIS MORNING.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24020.


...CORFIDI

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0772

ACUS11 KWNS 101027
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101027
TXZ000-101230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0772
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0527 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...RIO GRANDE VALLEY

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 101027Z - 101230Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...STORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER MUCH OF THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY THIS MORNING...WITH LARGE HAIL LIKELY.

DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE BEGINNING TO FORM ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY IN RESPONSE TO THE UPPER TROUGH. AREA VWPS AND PROFILERS
INDICATE INCREASING AND BACKING LOW LEVEL FLOW...WHICH WILL HELP TO
BRING MOISTURE NWWD. THE VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT AS WELL AS LONG
HODOGRAPHS WILL FAVOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL.

..JEWELL/CORFIDI.. 05/10/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...BRO...SJT...MAF...

LAT...LON 29800223 30390221 30930027 30199902 29039835 27479800
26799814 26179859 26299904 26909948 27539977 27880003
28580057 29300119 29430144 29800223

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KJAX [100953]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 100953
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
553 AM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0635 PM TSTM WND GST 1 NNE JEKYLL ISLAND 31.05N 81.41W
05/09/2012 M43 MPH GLYNN GA MESONET

A DELAYED REPORT FROM A MESONET STATION WITH A MEASURED
GUST FROM THE WEST AT 43 MPH.


&&

$$

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 100855
SWOD48
SPC AC 100855

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0355 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

VALID 131200Z - 181200Z

...DISCUSSION...
MID-UPPER LOW NOW OVER NWRN MEX SHOULD MOVE ACROSS TX DAYS
2-3...EVOLVING INTO OPEN-WAVE TROUGH. ON DAYS
4-5/13TH-15TH...PHASING OF SRN-STREAM TROUGH WITH AREA OF
GREAT-LAKES HEIGHT FALLS MAY SUPPORT INLAND MOVEMENT OF SFC
FRONTAL-WAVE LOW THAT WILL BE OVER NWRN GULF DAY-3. THIS WILL
INCREASE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL ACROSS PORTIONS MS/AL/GA. ALTHOUGH
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR SHOULD BE MODEST...SUFFICIENT LOW-LEVEL SHEAR MAY
DEVELOP NEAR NEWD-MOVING WARM FRONT...IN COMBINATION WITH RICH
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND LOW LCL...FOR SOME SUPERCELL/TORNADO
POTENTIAL. ATTM RISK APPEARS BELOW 30% CATEGORICAL CRITERIA.
CONSIDERABLE ENSEMBLE AND DETERMINISTIC MODEL SPREAD OCCURS
THEREAFTER...WITH MOST PROGGED PATTERNS YIELDING TOO MUCH
DISPLACEMENT OF FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND STG WINDS ALOFT TO
SUPPORT WELL-ORGANIZED SVR EVENT.

..EDWARDS.. 05/10/2012

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KPSR [100548]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KPSR 100548
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
1046 PM MST WED MAY 09 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0355 PM HAIL 5 E QUEEN CREEK 33.24N 111.56W
05/09/2012 E0.25 INCH PINAL AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

0400 PM DUST STORM 3 S COOLIDGE 32.94N 111.53W
05/09/2012 PINAL AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

VSBY 1 8 MILE

0400 PM DUST STORM 6 NNW CASA GRANDE 32.97N 111.77W
05/09/2012 PINAL AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

ONE EIGHTH MILE VISIBILITY...35 MPH GUSTS

0405 PM DUST STORM 5 NE CASA GRANDE 32.94N 111.67W
05/09/2012 PINAL AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

VSBY 1 4 MILE

0416 PM HAIL QUEEN VALLEY 33.30N 111.29W
05/09/2012 E0.25 INCH PINAL AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

0420 PM HAIL 1 E APACHE JUNCTION 33.40N 111.53W
05/09/2012 E0.25 INCH PINAL AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

0420 PM DUST STORM 5 NE SAN TAN VALLEY 33.23N 111.52W
05/09/2012 PINAL AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

VISIBILITY LESS THAN ONE EIGHTH MILE...GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

0427 PM DUST STORM 4 S GILBERT 33.27N 111.76W
05/09/2012 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

0435 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 E QUEEN CREEK 33.24N 111.56W
05/09/2012 PINAL AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

MOBILE HOMES OFF FOUNDATIONS. POWER LINES DOWN. GERMAIN
AND IRONWOOD.

0437 PM HAIL APACHE JUNCTION 33.41N 111.55W
05/09/2012 E0.25 INCH PINAL AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

0438 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 W GILBERT 33.33N 111.80W
05/09/2012 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

SMALL TREES AND LARGE LIMBS DOWN OVER ROADWAY. RAY AND
COOPER.

0500 PM TSTM WND GST 4 N MARICOPA 33.12N 112.05W
05/09/2012 M58 MPH PINAL AZ OTHER FEDERAL

0515 PM HEAVY RAIN EAST MESA 33.42N 111.69W
05/09/2012 M0.91 INCH MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

MEASURED AT GUADALUPE CHANNEL ALERT SITE. LOCALIZED
STREET FLOODING ON BROADWAY BETWEEN SOSSAMON AND 80TH
STREET.

0615 PM TSTM WND DMG GILA BEND 32.95N 112.69W
05/09/2012 MARICOPA AZ UTILITY COMPANY

TREE DOWNED THAT BLOCKED TRAFFIC ON PIMA RD AND HIGHWAY
85. CONSTRUCTION DEBRIS FROM INTERSTATE 8 AND BYPASS 85
ROUTE STREWN AROUND. MOST OF THE TOWN OF GILA BEND
WITHOUT POWER. ONE POWER LINE SNAPPED DUE TO WIND.
SUSTAINED WINDS OVER 45 MPH. NO ESTIMATE ON WIND GUSTS.

0616 PM DUST STORM GILA BEND 32.95N 112.69W
05/09/2012 MARICOPA AZ MESONET

ZERO VISIBILITY WITH BLOWING DUST AT KGBN. WINDS OF 44
MPH GUSTING TO 56 MPH.


&&

EVENT NUMBER PSR1200083 PSR1200084 PSR1200087 PSR1200085 PSR1200090
PSR1200086 PSR1200088 PSR1200091 PSR1200092 PSR1200089 PSR1200093
PSR1200094 PSR1200095 PSR1200097 PSR1200096

$$

MH

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 100547
SWODY2
SPC AC 100546

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1246 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE MID-UPPER LEVEL PATTERN FCST THROUGH PERIOD...FEATURING
THREE PRIMARY TROUGHS...
1. ERN-CONUS SYNOPTIC TROUGH -- NOW EXTENDING FROM QUE/ONT BORDER
SWD ACROSS SRN APPALACHIANS TO FL COASTAL BEND. SEVERAL SHORTWAVE
TROUGHS OF VARYING AMPLITUDE WILL PIVOT CYCLONICALLY THROUGH THIS
FEATURE...WITH NET EWD MOTION OF MAIN TROUGH TO NRN/WRN NEW ENGLAND
AND COASTAL MID-ATLC REGION BY 11/12Z. THIS TROUGH WILL MOVE
OFFSHORE NRN ATLC COAST AND OVER PORTIONS CANADIAN MARITIMES BY
1200Z.

2. NRN-STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH -- NOW MOVING INLAND PAC NW. FEATURE
SHOULD MOVE ENEWD OBLIQUELY ACROSS CANADIAN BORDER REGION AND NRN
ROCKIES DAY-1. BY START OF PERIOD...POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH SHOULD
EXTEND FROM WRN MB SWD ACROSS MT AND NWRN WY... SHIFTING EWD TO FAR
NWRN ONT AND MN BY END OF PERIOD.

3. SRN-STREAM LOW -- NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY OVER
NWRN MEX -- FCST TO MOVE EWD ACROSS TX BIG-BEND AREA DAY-1...THEN
PIVOT NEWD OVER PORTIONS NW/N-CENTRAL TX BY ABOUT 12/00Z. BY
12/12Z...REMNANTS OF THIS LOW SHOULD BE OVER NE TX...WITH BROADLY
CYCLONIC FLOW FROM PERMIAN BASIN/LOWER PECOS VALLEY REGION ACROSS
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY TO LOWER MS DELTA. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
FILL GRADUALLY THROUGHOUT THIS PROCESS. PROGS ARE NOT AS DIVERGENT
AS BEFORE WITH TRACK/TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM...BUT STILL OFFER
IMPORTANT MESO-ALPHA SCALE DIFFERENCES PARTICULARLY FROM ABOUT
MID-PERIOD ONWARD.

AT SFC...COLD FRONT WAS ANALYZED AT 10/03Z FROM JUST OFFSHORE NC
SWWD ACROSS NRN FL THEN WSWWD OVER NERN THROUGH W-CENTRAL
GULF...BECOMING QUASISTATIONARY AND DIFFUSE INTO MTNS OF NERN MEX.
SECONDARY BAROCLINIC ZONE WAS EVIDENT FROM MIDDLE TX COAT WSWWD
ACROSS RIO GRANDE BETWEEN DRT-LRD. THESE BOUNDARIES SHOULD BLEND
THEN LIFT NWD ACROSS MIDDLE-UPPER TX COAST AS WARM FRONT DAY-2...IN
ADVANCE OF LOW SLOWLY EJECTING OUT OF MEX. INLAND PENETRATION OF
THIS BOUNDARY IS UNCERTAIN...DEPENDING STRONGLY ON TRACK OF
MID-UPPER WAVE AND ON REINFORCEMENT/REALIGNMENT BY ANTECEDENT
CONVECTIVE PROCESSES.

...S-CENTRAL/SE TX...
SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS TSTMS SHOULD OCCUR EPISODICALLY
THROUGH PERIOD...WHERE RICH LOW-LEVEL THETAE KEEPS EFFECTIVE LIFTED
PARCELS SFC-BASED. ISOLATED SVR GUSTS AND HAIL ARE POSSIBLE...AND
THERE IS AT LEAST MRGL/CONDITIONAL TORNADO RISK. RICH LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE WAS ANALYZED INVOF FRONT AND WITHIN ABOUT 200 NM TO ITS
N...WITH INLAND SFC DEW POINTS MID-UPPER 60S F AND 70S OFFSHORE.
FAVORABLE MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PRIMARY FRONTAL
ZONE...THROUGH DAY-1 INTO THIS PERIOD. SVR POTENTIAL APPEARS
GREATEST DURING AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS WHEREVER THIS AIR MASS
EXPERIENCES SUSTAINED/SFC DIABATIC HEATING...YIELDING 1500-2500 J/KG
MLCAPE IN MODIFIED FCST SOUNDINGS. MIDDLE-UPPER TX COASTAL PLAIN
SHOULD RESIDE BENEATH DIFLUENT LEFT-EXIT REGION OF SOMEWHAT
CYCLONICALLY CURVED/SUBTROPICAL JET MAX S-SE OF UPPER LOW...AIDING
LARGE SCALE ASCENT IN WAKE OF EARLIER CONVECTION. MOST FAVORABLE
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR SHOULD OCCUR INVOF WARM FRONT...WHERE BACKED SFC
WINDS WILL YIELD ENLARGED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS. MESOSCALE
DEPENDENCY OF BOTH CONVECTIVE PROCESSES AND FRONTAL POSITION RENDER
OUTLOOK TOO UNCERTAIN FOR CATEGORICAL AREA ATTM.

...WI-KS...
WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE INVOF SFC COLD
FRONT...PRIMARILY DURING AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING WHEN
BOUNDARY-LAYER LAPSE RATES AND BUOYANCY WILL BE MAXIMIZED. MRGL
MOISTURE WILL BE MAIN LIMITING FACTOR FOR CONVECTIVE LONGEVITY AND
FOR SVR POTENTIAL...WITH NEAR-SFC TRAJECTORIES EMANATING FROM
CONTINENTAL ANTICYCLONE THAT FOLLOWS NERN-CONUS TROUGH AND RELATED
FROPA. STILL...RESIDUAL/EVAPOTRANSPIRATIVE CONTRIBUTIONS TO
BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE SHOULD RESULT IN NARROW PREFRONTAL PLUME OF
50S SFC DEW POINTS. VERY ISOLATED STG-SVR GUST CANNOT BE RULED
OUT...SINCE THERE WILL BE SOME SFC-BASED TSTMS ACCESSING
DIABATICALLY HEATED/MIXED PREFRONTAL BOUNDARY LAYER.
HOWEVER...GIVEN VERY WEAK LOW-MIDDLE LEVEL BULK SHEAR FCST OVER
FRONTAL CORRIDOR...ANY SUCH THREAT APPEARS TOO CONDITIONAL/SPARSE
ATTM TO ASSIGN UNCONDITIONAL SVR PROBABILITIES.

..EDWARDS.. 05/10/2012

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KPSR [100459]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 100459
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
959 PM MST WED MAY 09 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 PM TSTM WND DMG GILA BEND 32.95N 112.69W
05/09/2012 MARICOPA AZ UTILITY COMPANY

TREE DOWNED THAT BLOCKED TRAFFIC ON PIMA RD AND HIGHWAY
85. CONSTRUCTION DEBRIS FROM INTERSTATE 8 AND BYPASS 85
ROUTE STREWN AROUND. MOST OF THE TOWN OF GILA BEND
WITHOUT POWER. ONE POWER LINE SNAPPED DUE TO WIND.
SUSTAINED WINDS OVER 45 MPH. NO ESTIMATE ON WIND GUSTS.


&&

EVENT NUMBER PSR1200097

$$

NOLTE

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KBRO [100458]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KBRO 100458
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1158 PM CDT WED MAY 09 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0940 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 NE EDINBURG 26.34N 98.12W
05/09/2012 HIDALGO TX EMERGENCY MNGR

HIIDALGO EM REPORTS TWO MOBILE HOMES DESTROYED AND HOME
UNDER RENOVATION SEVERELY DAMAGED. OUTBUILDINGS AND
OTHER STRUCTURES ALSO DAMAGED NEAR DOOLITTLE. NO
INJURIES.

0946 PM HAIL EDCOUCH 26.29N 97.96W
05/09/2012 E2.75 INCH HIDALGO TX TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED HAIL HAD BUSTED HER WINDOWS IN IN
EDCOUCH. WAS NOT CONFIDENT OF EXACT HAIL SIZE.

0957 PM HAIL 10 NE EDINBURG 26.40N 98.05W
05/09/2012 E0.75 INCH HIDALGO TX PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTS PENNY-SIZE HAIL 10 MILES NE OF EDINBURG
NEAR ELSA AT THE INTERSECTION OF FM 2812 AND VAL VERDE
ROAD.

1033 PM HAIL 15 S SARITA 27.00N 97.80W
05/09/2012 E1.00 INCH KENEDY TX OTHER FEDERAL

BORDER PATROL CHECKPOINT 15 MILES SOUTH OF SARITA
REPORTS PREDOMINANTLY NICKEL-SIZE HAIL WITH EMBEDDED
QUARTER-SIZE HAIL.

1035 PM HAIL SEBASTIAN 26.34N 97.80W
05/09/2012 E4.50 INCH WILLACY TX EMERGENCY MNGR

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS SOFTBALL SIZED HAIL FALLING IN
SEBASTIAN FOR LAST FIVE MINUTES. HAPPENING RIGHT
NOW...FROM WILLACY EM.

1045 PM HAIL 2 S RAYMONDVILLE 26.45N 97.78W
05/09/2012 E1.75 INCH WILLACY TX EMERGENCY MNGR

WILLACY COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS GOLFBALL-SIZE
HAIL 2 MILES SOUTH OF RAYMONDVILLE.


&&

EVENT NUMBER BRO1200105 BRO1200100 BRO1200101 BRO1200103 BRO1200102
BRO1200104

$$

TOMASELLI

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KBRO [100454]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 100454
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1154 PM CDT WED MAY 09 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0940 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 NE EDINBURG 26.34N 98.12W
05/09/2012 HIDALGO TX EMERGENCY MNGR

HIIDALGO EM REPORTS TWO MOBILE HOMES DESTROYED AND HOME
UNDER RENOVATION SEVERELY DAMAGED. OUTBUILDINGS AND
OTHER STRUCTURES ALSO DAMAGED NEAR DOOLITTLE. NO
INJURIES.


&&

EVENT NUMBER BRO1200105

$$

JGG

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 100447
SWODY1
SPC AC 100445

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1145 PM CDT WED MAY 09 2012

VALID 101200Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER S TX...

...SYNOPSIS...
A SPLIT FLOW REGIME IN THE MID/UPPER LEVELS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE
U.S. ON THURSDAY. WITHIN THE NRN STREAM OF THIS REGIME...A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH WILL SHIFT EWD FROM THE NRN ROCKIES TOWARD THE NRN
PLAINS...WHILE A RELATIVELY MORE AMPLIFIED SHORTWAVE TROUGH
DOWNSTREAM MOVES EWD AND REACHES THE EAST COAST BY LATE TONIGHT.
WITHIN THE SRN STREAM...A CLOSED LOW WILL MOVE EWD/ENEWD FROM PARTS
OF NRN MEXICO TO CNTRL TX.

...S TX TODAY INTO TONIGHT...
DCVA/MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS ACCOMPANYING THE AFOREMENTIONED CLOSED
LOW...COMBINED WITH ISENTROPIC ASCENT NORTH OF A WEAK SFC
FRONT...WILL YIELD A THREAT FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE PERIOD. STRENGTHENING MID-LEVEL WLY FLOW IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A SPEED MAX IN THE SRN SEMICIRCLE OF THE CLOSED
LOW...ATOP RELATIVELY BACKED LOW-LEVEL FLOW...WILL SUPPORT
SUFFICIENT DEEP SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
SUPERCELLS. HOWEVER...THERE IS CURRENTLY CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
REGARDING CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION. ONE OR MORE FORWARD-PROPAGATING
CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES MAY EVOLVE FROM POSSIBLE MORNING CONVECTION
OVER SWRN/S-CNTRL TX...AND/OR FROM ADDITIONAL STORMS DEVELOPING OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NRN MEXICO THROUGH THE DAY. DMGG WIND GUSTS
AND SVR HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS WITH THIS ACTIVITY...AS IT
ENCOUNTERS RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND AT LEAST MODEST ESELY/SELY
INFLOW. THIS THREAT WILL EXTEND TOWARD THE MIDDLE/LOWER TX COAST BY
LATE IN THE PERIOD AS A WEAK SFC WAVE DEVELOPS OVER DEEP SOUTH TX.
THE THREAT FOR A TORNADO OR TWO WILL EXIST...GIVEN VERTICALLY
VEERING WIND PROFILES. HOWEVER...UNCERTAINTY REGARDING OVERALL
CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION/MODE TRANSITIONS PRECLUDES THE INCLUSION OF
HIGHER TORNADO PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.

...SERN FL PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON...
SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH SUFFICIENT
ASCENT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS...PRIOR TO THE ARRIVAL OF MORE SUBSIDENT MID-LEVEL
FLOW TONIGHT. STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AMIDST SFC DEWPOINTS IN
THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70 WILL SUPPORT MODERATE TO POSSIBLY STRONG
INSTABILITY SOUTH OF A FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA.
AND...WITH AROUND 30 KT OF MID-LEVEL FLOW OVER THE SRN PERIPHERY OF
THE ERN U.S. SHORTWAVE TROUGH...DEEP SHEAR MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR
CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION WITH AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR DMGG WIND
GUSTS/SVR HAIL.

...NRN PLAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING...
LIMITED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT ATTENDANT TO
THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSING THE NRN ROCKIES/NRN PLAINS MAY
CONTRIBUTE TO MARGINAL DESTABILIZATION INVOF THE FRONT. RELATIVELY
HIGHER CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE SFC FRONT LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. HOWEVER...IN THE ABSENCE OF RICHER LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE...CONVECTIVE INHIBITION FOR SFC-BASED PARCELS ALONG/AHEAD
OF THE FRONT MAY PREVENT THE DEVELOPMENT OF SURFACE-BASED
CONVECTION. SOME CONDITIONAL THREAT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS CANNOT BE
RULED OUT LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING IF SFC-BASED
CONVECTION DEVELOPS...GIVEN STEEP PRE-FRONTAL LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
AND LARGE SFC TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT SPREADS PER FORECAST SOUNDINGS.
THE RELATIVELY GREATER THREAT FOR THIS OCCURRENCE WOULD BE IN CLOSER
PROXIMITY TO THE STRONGER MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS ACROSS ND.
HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IN SFC-BASED CONVECTION/ANY SVR POTENTIAL IS
TOO LOW FOR SVR PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.

..COHEN/DARROW.. 05/10/2012

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KBRO [100436]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KBRO 100436
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1136 PM CDT WED MAY 09 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0946 PM HAIL EDCOUCH 26.29N 97.96W
05/09/2012 E2.75 INCH HIDALGO TX TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED HAIL HAD BUSTED HER WINDOWS IN IN
EDCOUCH. WAS NOT CONFIDENT OF EXACT HAIL SIZE.

0957 PM HAIL 10 NE EDINBURG 26.40N 98.05W
05/09/2012 E0.75 INCH HIDALGO TX PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTS PENNY-SIZE HAIL 10 MILES NE OF EDINBURG
NEAR ELSA AT THE INTERSECTION OF FM 2812 AND VAL VERDE
ROAD.

1033 PM HAIL 15 S SARITA 27.00N 97.80W
05/09/2012 E1.00 INCH KENEDY TX OTHER FEDERAL

BORDER PATROL CHECKPOINT 15 MILES SOUTH OF SARITA
REPORTS PREDOMINANTLY NICKEL-SIZE HAIL WITH EMBEDDED
QUARTER-SIZE HAIL.

1035 PM HAIL SEBASTIAN 26.34N 97.80W
05/09/2012 E4.50 INCH WILLACY TX EMERGENCY MNGR

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS SOFTBALL SIZED HAIL FALLING IN
SEBASTIAN FOR LAST FIVE MINUTES. HAPPENING RIGHT
NOW...FROM WILLACY EM.

1045 PM HAIL 2 S RAYMONDVILLE 26.45N 97.78W
05/09/2012 E1.75 INCH WILLACY TX EMERGENCY MNGR

WILLACY COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS GOLFBALL-SIZE
HAIL 2 MILES SOUTH OF RAYMONDVILLE.


&&

EVENT NUMBER BRO1200100 BRO1200101 BRO1200103 BRO1200102 BRO1200104

$$

TOMASELLI

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