KTAE [110347]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTAE 110347
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1147 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 NNW BOSTON 30.84N 83.80W
10/10/2011 M5.91 INCH THOMAS GA TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL OF 5.91 INCHES THROUGH ABOUT 930 PM EDT

1049 PM HEAVY RAIN SSW THOMASVILLE MUNICIP 30.83N 83.98W
10/10/2011 M3.25 INCH THOMAS GA MESONET

CWOP SITE DW2427 REPORTED 3.25 INCHES OF RAIN BETWEEN 544
AM EDT AND 1049 PM EDT.

&&

$$

DVD

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KDDC [110149]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 110149
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
848 PM CDT MON OCT 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0450 AM TSTM WND DMG 4 WNW COPELAND 37.57N 100.69W
10/08/2011 HASKELL KS PUBLIC

A BARN WAS DESTROYED.

&&

$$

MRUSSELL

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KMFR [110128]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 110128
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
628 PM PDT MON OCT 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 WSW OBRIEN 42.06N 123.73W
10/10/2011 M1.00 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL.

&&

$$

DW

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KSJT [110105]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KSJT 110105
LSRSJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
803 PM CDT MON OCT 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0737 PM FLASH FLOOD SONORA 30.57N 100.64W
10/08/2011 SUTTON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

THE SUTTON COUNTY SHERIFF OFFICE REPORTED FLOODING OF
SEVERAL ROADS IN SUTTON COUNTY. BARRICADES WERE BEING
PLACED AT THE FLOODED LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

1018 PM FLASH FLOOD BROWNWOOD 31.71N 98.99W
10/08/2011 BROWN TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

BROWN COUNTY LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED WIDESPREAD STREET
FLOODING IN BROWNWOOD...WITH NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED IN
BROWN COUNTY.

1210 AM FLASH FLOOD SAN SABA 31.20N 98.72W
10/09/2011 SAN SABA TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

THE SAN SABA COUNTY SHERIFF OFFICE REPORTED FLOODING ON
CHINA CREEK ROAD IN THE TOWN OF SAN SABA. IN
ADDITION...A LOW WATER CROSSING WAS FLOODED ON HIGHWAY
190.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1100273 SJT1100271 SJT1100272

$$

19

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KSJT [110102]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSJT 110102
LSRSJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
802 PM CDT MON OCT 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0737 PM FLASH FLOOD SONORA 30.57N 100.64W
10/08/2011 SUTTON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

THE SUTTON COUNTY SHERIFF OFFICE REPORTED FLOODING OF
SEVERAL ROADS IN SUTTON COUNTY. BARRICADES WERE BEING
PLACED AT THE FLOODED LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1100273

$$

19

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 110050
SWODY1
SPC AC 110049

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0749 PM CDT MON OCT 10 2011

VALID 110100Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS COASTAL PORTIONS OF
GA/SC...

...FAR NORTHEAST FL AND COASTAL PORTIONS OF GA/CAROLINAS...
WITH A SURFACE LOW REMAINING CENTERED OVER NORTH FL...LOW POTENTIAL
FOR A TORNADO/GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE MAINLY FOR IMMEDIATE COASTAL
AREAS OF GA/CAROLINAS THROUGH TONIGHT. WITH A FEW MINI-SUPERCELLS
POSSIBLE...THIS SCENARIO IS ATTRIBUTABLE TO STRONG EASTERLIES/AMPLE
HODOGRAPH CURVATURE WITHIN THE LOWEST 2-3 KM AS PER THE 00Z
CHARLESTON SC OBSERVED SOUNDING...IN CONJUNCTION WITH A CONTINUED
NEAR-COASTAL SPREAD OF A MARITIME/WEAK SURFACE-BASED BUOYANCY
AIRMASS THROUGH TONIGHT.

..GUYER.. 10/11/2011

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KJAX [110020]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 110020
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
820 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM FLOOD MANOR 31.10N 82.57W
10/10/2011 WARE GA PUBLIC

MINOR FLOODING WAS REPORTED ON ROADS NEAR MANOR. PUBLIC
REPORTED RELAYED THROUGH EMA OFFICE.

&&

$$

ARS

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KJAX [102309]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS52 KJAX 102309
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
707 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0125 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PALM COAST 29.57N 81.21W
10/09/2011 FLAGLER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN REPORTED ON PANORAMA DRIVE AND RICKENBACHER
DRIVER IN PALM COAST.

0500 PM HIGH SURF 4 NNW JACKSONVILLE BEAC 30.33N 81.40W
10/09/2011 DUVAL FL PUBLIC

SURF ESTIMATED AT 7 TO 9 FEET IN THE ATLANTIC BEACH AREA.

0530 PM HIGH SURF 1 N VILANO BEACH 29.95N 81.30W
10/09/2011 ST. JOHNS FL COUNTY OFFICIAL

SURF WAS ESTIMATED AT 8 TO 10 FEET AND MODERATE BEACH
EROSION HAS OCCURRED.

0715 PM NON-TSTM WND GST PALM COAST 29.57N 81.21W
10/09/2011 E50.00 MPH FLAGLER FL TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED GUSTS TO 50 MPH OFF BUNKER VIEW LANE IN
PALM COAST. REPORTED VIA EMA OFFICE.

0759 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SE ST. AUGUSTINE 29.86N 81.26W
10/09/2011 M51.00 MPH ST. JOHNS FL C-MAN STATION

THE ST AUGUSTINE CMAN STATION REPORTED GUSTS TO 51 MPH.

0900 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 NE BUNNELL 29.51N 81.20W
10/09/2011 FLAGLER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

FLAGLER COUNTY STAFF REPORTED A GREENHOUSE DESTROYED AT
87 PIEDMONT DRIVE IN PALM COAST. TIME IS ESTIMATED AND
REPORT WAS RELAYED BY EMERGENCY MANAGER.

0900 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 4 SE ST. AUGUSTINE 29.86N 81.26W
10/09/2011 M42.00 MPH ST. JOHNS FL C-MAN STATION

SUSTAINED WINDS MEASURED AT 42 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 49 MPH.

0909 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ST. AUGUSTINE 29.89N 81.31W
10/09/2011 M49.00 MPH ST. JOHNS FL AWOS

WIND GUSTS WERE MEASURED AT 49 MPH AT THE ST AUGUSTINE
AIRPORT.

0942 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG FLAGLER BEACH 29.47N 81.13W
10/09/2011 FLAGLER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

MULTIPLE REPORTS OF WINDS OF 40-50 MPH WITH SCATTERED
POWER OUTAGES AND TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY.

1130 PM NON-TSTM WND GST FLAGLER BEACH 29.47N 81.13W
10/09/2011 M54.00 MPH FLAGLER FL TRAINED SPOTTER

SKYWARN SPOTTER IN FLAGLER BEACH MEASURED A 54 MPH WIND
GUST. RELAYED BY EMERGENCY MANAGER.

1254 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 NNW ST. AUGUSTINE 29.97N 81.35W
10/10/2011 M50.00 MPH ST. JOHNS FL AWOS

WIND GUSTS OF 50 MPH WERE MEASURED AT THE ST AUGUSTINE
AIRPORT.

0149 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MAYPORT 30.38N 81.41W
10/10/2011 M50.00 MPH DUVAL FL ASOS

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WERE MEASURED AT THE MAYPORT NAVAL
STATION.

0230 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 NE BUNNELL 29.49N 81.23W
10/10/2011 FLAGLER FL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

FIRE RESCUE REPORTED TREE DOWN ON HOUSE WITH ROOF DAMAGED
AT 2 ESPERANTO DRIVE. RELAYED BY EMERGENCY MANAGER.

0230 AM NON-TSTM WND GST PALM COAST 29.57N 81.21W
10/10/2011 E60.00 MPH FLAGLER FL TRAINED SPOTTER

MULTIPLE SKYWARN SPOTTERS REPORTED ESTIMATED 50 TO 60 MPH
WIND GUSTS COUNTYWIDE AND WAS ASSOCIATED WITH SCATTERED
POWER OUTAGES. RELAYED BY EMERGENCY MANAGER.

0235 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG PALM COAST 29.57N 81.21W
10/10/2011 FLAGLER FL 911 CALL CENTER

FLAGLER COUNTY DISPATCH HAD MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES AND
POWER LINES DOWN COUNTYWIDE. RELAYED BY EMERGENCY
MANAGER.

0245 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BUNNELL 29.47N 81.26W
10/10/2011 M45.00 MPH FLAGLER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

FLAGER EOC REPORTED MEASURED WIND GUST TO 45 MPH.

0304 AM NON-TSTM WND GST FLAGLER BEACH 29.47N 81.13W
10/10/2011 M44.00 MPH FLAGLER FL TRAINED SPOTTER

SKYWARN SPOTTER REPORTED MEASURED WIND GUST TO 44 MPH AT
FLAGLER BEACH.

0315 AM TORNADO 5 W FRUIT COVE 30.09N 81.70W
10/10/2011 F1 CLAY FL NWS STORM SURVEY

EF-1 TORNADO DAMAGE AT 5917 ORCHARD POND DR ON FLEMING
ISLAND. HOME DAMAGED WITH TREES BLOWN DOWN OR DAMAGED.
ROOF/WALL WAS PULLED BACK ABOUT 1/8 OF AN INCH. SIDING
AND FLASHING WERE RIPPED OFF THE HOUSE AND THE FENCE WAS
COMPLETELY REMOVED WITH PIECES THROWN SEVERAL YARDS.
PIECES OF THE SIDING AND FENCE ARE IN THE TREES. STORM
SURVEY ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS AT 80 MPH WITH THE TORNADO
WHICH CAME ONSHORE FROM THE ST JOHNS RIVER NEAR HEAD RD
AND CROSSED PINE AVE INTO THE HARVEST BEND SUBDIVISION.

0330 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 W LAWTEY 30.05N 82.12W
10/10/2011 BRADFORD FL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE LIMB WENT THROUGH A ROOF OF AN OCCUPIED RESIDENCE ON
COUNTY ROAD 225 NEAR NW 51 LANE.

0356 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 WSW ANDALUSIA 29.46N 81.52W
10/10/2011 PUTNAM FL EMERGENCY MNGR

HIGH WINDS TOPPLED A TREE ONTO A RESIDENCE AT 582 OLD
U.S. HIGHWAY 17...CRESCENT CITY.

0420 AM TSTM WND DMG OCALA 29.19N 82.13W
10/10/2011 MARION FL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

ONE TREE FELL ON A HOUSE AT 1471 NE 71ST LANE.

0420 AM TORNADO 3 NNW MAYPORT 30.42N 81.43W
10/10/2011 DUVAL FL PARK/FOREST SRVC

PARK OFFICIAL REPORTED POSSIBLE TORNADO WITH SEVERAL
TREES DOWN BLOCKING FORT GEORGE ROAD AND PALMETTO ROAD. A
MOBILE HOME SUSTAINED MINOR DAMAGE WITH AWNING TORN OFF.

0420 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG OCALA 29.19N 82.13W
10/10/2011 MARION FL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

A TREE IS DOWN ON A VEHICLE WITH ENTRAPMENT AT 4491 NW
27TH AVENUE.

0430 AM TSTM WND DMG OCALA 29.19N 82.13W
10/10/2011 MARION FL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

MULTIPLE TREES AND POWER LINES ARE DOWN FROM THE NORTH
END OF OCALA BETWEEN HIGHWAY 329 TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF
THE OKLAWAHA RIVER AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 225A.

0440 AM LIGHTNING 2 WNW STARKE 29.96N 82.14W
10/10/2011 BRADFORD FL TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED SMALL BRUSH FIRE STARTED BY
LIGHTNING.

0500 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 WSW AMELIA CITY 30.58N 81.52W
10/10/2011 NASSAU FL 911 CALL CENTER

TREES WERE REPORTED DOWN AT OLD NASSAUVILLE ROAD.

0525 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 E STARKE 29.95N 82.08W
10/10/2011 BRADFORD FL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE DOWN BLOCKING STATE ROAD 230 NEAR VALLEY ROAD.

0530 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 E LAWTEY 30.05N 82.05W
10/10/2011 BRADFORD FL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE BLOCKING COUNTY ROAD 225 NEAR LAKE STREET.

0550 AM TSTM WND DMG 5 NW STARKE 30.00N 82.17W
10/10/2011 BRADFORD FL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE DOWN IN ROADWAY ON NW 203RD WAY.

0627 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 NNE ARLINGTON 30.41N 81.57W
10/10/2011 M54.00 MPH DUVAL FL UTILITY COMPANY

NORTHSIDE GENERATING PLANT OFF HECKSCHER DRIVE IN
JACKSONVILLE REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 45 MPH
WITH A PEAK GUST OF 54 MPH AT 627 AM EDT. RELAYED BY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

0638 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 S RAIFORD 30.02N 82.23W
10/10/2011 BRADFORD FL TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED ONE TREE BLOWN DOWN.

0640 AM TSTM WND DMG 5 E BROOKER 29.89N 82.25W
10/10/2011 BRADFORD FL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE DOWN IN ROADWAY ON SW 113TH AVE IN RIVERBEND
ESTATES.

0745 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 NW STARKE 29.96N 82.12W
10/10/2011 BRADFORD FL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE LIMB DOWN ON POWER LINES ON NORTH EPPERSON ST.

0800 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG PALM COAST 29.57N 81.21W
10/10/2011 FLAGLER FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLAGLER COUNTY LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTING MULTIPLE TREES
AND POWER LINES DOWN COUNTYWIDE. DELAYED REPORT AS FOLKS
FINDING DAMAGE WHEN WAKING UP. RELAYED BY EMERGENCY
MANAGER.

0805 AM COASTAL FLOOD ST. AUGUSTINE 29.89N 81.31W
10/10/2011 ST. JOHNS FL BROADCAST MEDIA

MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WAS REPORTED ALONG THE BAYFRONT.

0900 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 WNW NEWBERRY 29.67N 82.67W
10/10/2011 M4.01 INCH GILCHRIST FL COCORAHS

RAINFALL PAST 24 HOURS AS MEASURED BY COCORAHS OBSERVER
OF 4.01 INCHES.

0907 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES 3 E PALM COAST 29.57N 81.16W
10/10/2011 FLAGLER FL TRAINED SPOTTER

WATER OVER TOP OF SEAWALL IN EAST PALM COAST...RELAYED BY
EMERGENCY MANAGER.

0920 AM COASTAL FLOOD 3 S DOWNTOWN JACKSONVIL 30.29N 81.66W
10/10/2011 DUVAL FL NWS STORM SURVEY

FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL AND COASTAL FLOODING
REPORTED AT LASALLE AND PALM AVES. IN SAN MARCO AREA OF
JACKSONVILLE. FLOODING IN LANGDON PARK WITH WATER 6
INCHES BELOW TOP OF SEAWALL ALONG RIVER RD.

0500 PM HEAVY RAIN OCALA 29.19N 82.13W
10/10/2011 M4.21 INCH MARION FL CO-OP OBSERVER

RAINFALL MEASURED AT 4.21 INCHES PAST 24 HOURS ENDING AT
5 PM...WITH 48 HOUR TOTAL OF 6.31 INCHES.

&&

$$

ARS

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KJAX [102116]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 102116
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
516 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 WSW AMELIA CITY 30.58N 81.52W
10/10/2011 NASSAU FL 911 CALL CENTER

TREES WERE REPORTED DOWN AT OLD NASSAUVILLE ROAD.

&&

$$

ARS

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KMFL [102054]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 102054
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
453 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0412 PM FLOOD FORT LAUDERDALE 26.12N 80.15W
10/10/2011 BROWARD FL PUBLIC

A MEMBER OF THE PUBLIC REPORTED FLOODING NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF ANDREWS AVENUE AND 17TH STREET IN
DOWNTOWN FORT LAUDERDALE. REPORTER STATED WATER WAS ABOUT
ANKLE-DEEP.

&&

$$

ROSS

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KJAX [102053]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 102053
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
452 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 AM TORNADO 3 NNW MAYPORT 30.42N 81.43W
10/10/2011 DUVAL FL PARK/FOREST SRVC

PARK OFFICIAL REPORTED POSSIBLE TORNADO WITH SEVERAL
TREES DOWN BLOCKING FORT GEORGE ROAD AND PALMETTO ROAD. A
MOBILE HOME SUSTAINED MINOR DAMAGE WITH AWNING TORN OFF.

&&

$$

ARS

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KMFR [102002]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 102002
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
101 PM PDT MON OCT 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 SE HARBOR 42.00N 124.20W
10/10/2011 M1.75 INCH DEL NORTE CA TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL.

&&

$$

DW

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KCHS [101945]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 101945
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
345 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0240 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 SW SAVANNAH 32.03N 81.11W
10/10/2011 CHATHAM GA BROADCAST MEDIA

TREE DOWN ON A HOUSE NEAR 73RD STREET AND WHITE BLUFF
ROAD. POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO THE HOUSE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1100991

$$

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 101942
SWODY1
SPC AC 101941

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0241 PM CDT MON OCT 10 2011

VALID 102000Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND ADJACENT GEORGIA COASTAL
AREAS...

...20Z OUTLOOK UPDATE...SOUTH ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS...
AS THE LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO
MIGRATE NORTH NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AWAY FROM THE
WEAKENING SURFACE LOW CENTER OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA...LOW TORNADIC
POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH FURTHER LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. CLOCKWISE CURVED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS HAVE ALREADY
DECREASED CONSIDERABLY IN SIZE...WHERE THE BOUNDARY LAYER HAS BECOME
MOIST AND WEAKLY UNSTABLE NEAR THE SURFACE LOW ACROSS NORTHERN
FLORIDA AND ADJACENT SOUTHERN GEORGIA. SIMILAR TRENDS IN LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING NORTHWARD INTO
CENTRAL GEORGIA....WHERE LINGERING STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER CONDITIONS
WILL PROBABLY ALSO CONTINUE TO PRECLUDE A SUBSTANTIVE SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT.

MODELS DO SUGGEST THAT MODESTLY STRONG /30-40+ KT/ EAST
SOUTHEASTERLY 850 MB FLOW MAY PERSIST ACROSS SOUTH CAROLINA COASTAL
AREAS INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THROUGH MUCH OF THE REMAINDER
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS WILL MAINTAIN SIZABLE CLOCKWISE CURVED
LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS...AND PERHAPS ENOUGH OF A TORNADO THREAT TO
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SLIGHT RISK SEVERE PROBABILITIES...MAINLY WHERE
BOUNDARY LAYER INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN MOST FAVORABLE...NEAR
IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS.

..KERR.. 10/10/2011

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1123 AM CDT MON OCT 10 2011/

...SERN ATLANTIC COAST...

HYBRID-TYPE SURFACE LOW S OF VLD WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS
WWD TODAY BEFORE TURNING SWWD AND MOVING TO OFF THE FL PNHDL COAST
TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...SECONDARY LOW FORMATION IS FORECAST OFF THE
NERN FL COAST TONIGHT WITH THIS FEATURE DEVELOPING NNEWD ALONG
COASTAL FRONT SITUATED ALONG THE SC SHELF WATERS.

WWD MOTION OF PRIMARY LOW WILL MAINTAIN A WEDGE OF HIGHER THETA-E
AIR INTO INTERIOR SECTIONS OF SRN GA/NRN FL WHERE MLCAPE MAY
APPROACH 500-1000 J/KG. HOWEVER...THE STRONGER LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND
ISALLOBARIC FORCING WILL BECOME PROGRESSIVELY DISPLACED TO THE W OF
INSTABILITY AXIS...SUGGESTING A GRADUAL DECREASE IN TORNADO
POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON.

FARTHER N ALONG THE SC COAST...NELY LOW-LEVEL TRAJECTORIES WILL
LIKELY BE MAINTAINED WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE REMAINING
QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE SHELF WATERS THROUGH THE PEAK OF THE
DIURNAL HEATING CYCLE. THIS BOUNDARY MAY ATTEMPT TO PIVOT SLIGHTLY
INLAND TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF SECONDARY SURFACE LOW...SUGGESTING AT
LEAST A LOW PROBABILITY RISK FOR A BRIEF TORNADO/WATERSPOUT.

FOR ADDITIONAL NEAR-TERM GUIDANCE...SEE MCD 2246.

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KMFR [101932]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 101932
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1232 PM PDT MON OCT 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1231 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 N CAVE JUNCTION 42.19N 123.65W
10/10/2011 M0.46 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR ACCUMULATION

&&

$$

BUNKER

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KCHS [101838]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 101838
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
238 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WINDSOR FOREST 31.98N 81.13W
10/10/2011 CHATHAM GA BROADCAST MEDIA

LARGE TREE DOWN AT HOLLAND AVE AND WHITE BLUFF ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1100990

$$

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KMFR [101813]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 101813
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1113 AM PDT MON OCT 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 ESE BROOKINGS 42.05N 124.26W
10/10/2011 M2.00 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

17 HOUR TOTAL FROM 6PM THROUGH 11AM.....

&&

$$

BUNKER

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KJAX [101731]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KJAX 101731
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
131 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 AM TORNADO 5 W FRUIT COVE 30.09N 81.70W
10/10/2011 F1 CLAY FL NWS STORM SURVEY

EF-1 TORNADO DAMAGE AT 5917 ORCHARD POND DR ON FLEMING
ISLAND. HOME DAMAGED WITH TREES BLOWN DOWN OR DAMAGED.
ROOF/WALL WAS PULLED BACK ABOUT 1/8 OF AN INCH. SIDING
AND FLASHING WERE RIPPED OFF THE HOUSE AND THE FENCE WAS
COMPLETELY REMOVED WITH PIECES THROWN SEVERAL YARDS.
PIECES OF THE SIDING AND FENCE ARE IN THE TREES. STORM
SURVEY ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS AT 80 MPH WITH THE TORNADO
WHICH CAME ONSHORE FROM THE ST JOHNS RIVER NEAR HEAD RD
AND CROSSED PINE AVE INTO THE HARVEST BEND SUBDIVISION.

&&

$$

JHESS

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 101723
SWODY2
SPC AC 101722

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1222 PM CDT MON OCT 10 2011

VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG MID LATITUDE PACIFIC JET...NOW NOSING INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST...APPEARS LIKELY TO CONTINUE TO PROGRESS INLAND DURING
THIS FORECAST PERIOD. AS THIS OCCURS...MODELS INDICATE AT LEAST
SOME AMPLIFICATION TO THE UPPER FLOW...WITH A RIDGE AXIS BUILDING
ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST...NORTH OF AN EXPANDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH
CENTER. DOWNSTREAM...A SERIES OF SHORT WAVE IMPULSES EMERGING FROM
THE JET ARE PROGGED TO CONTRIBUTE TO THE EVOLUTION OF A DIGGING
UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS...WITHIN
BROADER-SCALE CYCLONIC MID/UPPER FLOW ENCOMPASSING MUCH OF THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS LATTER REGIME WILL CONTINUE
TO INCLUDE A COUPLE OF IMPULSES COMPRISING LARGER-SCALE
TROUGHING...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LIFTING NORTHWARD OUT OF THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND SOUTH ATLANTIC COAST STATES...GENERALLY
ALONG AND EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS.

...SOUTHEAST...
GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTIVE THAT HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AIR...
CHARACTERIZED BY PRECIPITABLE WATER AT OR ABOVE 2 INCHES...WILL
GRADUALLY BECOME CONFINED TO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC TUESDAY...AS A DRY
SLOT BEGINS TO DEVELOP AND WRAP AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A BROAD
LOW/MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO BE ACCOMPANIED BY DIMINISHING CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL...THOUGH ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY MAY REMAIN A POSSIBILITY OVER INLAND AREAS...PARTICULARLY
DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS.

...PLAINS/MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...
A LINGERING MOIST BAND AHEAD OF A WIND SHIFT OVER THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION MAY REMAIN A
FOCUS FOR LOW THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES TUESDAY. HOWEVER...
STRONGER SURFACE HEATING AND STEEPER LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED TO THE VICINITY OF A DEVELOPING SURFACE
TROUGH/COLD FRONT ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS IS WHERE
STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW /30-40+ KT AT 850 MB BY LATE
TUE EVE/ ASSOCIATED WITH THE DIGGING UPPER TROUGH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED
BY SUFFICIENT MOISTENING AND SUBSEQUENT DESTABILIZATION FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. IF THIS OCCURS...THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES MAY BECOME
CONDUCIVE TO SOME POTENTIAL FOR HAIL AND LOCALIZED STRONG WIND
GUSTS...PERHAPS APPROACHING...OR BRIEFLY EXCEEDING...SEVERE LIMITS.

..KERR.. 10/10/2011

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch - Number 865

WWUS20 KWNS 101703
SEL5
SPC WW 101703
FLZ000-GAZ000-CWZ000-101700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH - NUMBER 865
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
103 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 865 ISSUED AT 425 AM EDT FOR PORTIONS OF

FLORIDA
GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS

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