ACUS01 KWNS 152012
SWODY1
SPC AC 152011
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0311 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012
VALID 152000Z - 161200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS CENTRAL IA/NORTHERN
MO...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FL
PENINSULA...
CORRECTED FOR PROBABILITY GRAPHICS ACROSS FL
...NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
SOMEWHAT HIGHER SEVERE PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN INTRODUCED ACROSS
WESTERN SD BASED ON SHORT-TERM TRENDS/GUIDANCE...BUT OVERALL
SCENARIO REMAINS UNCHANGED FROM PREVIOUS OUTLOOK. SEE SEVERE TSTM
WATCH 395/SUBSEQUENT MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS.
...IA/NORTHERN MO...
IN SPITE OF WEAK LAPSE RATES ALOFT...SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR MAY
EXIST FOR A FEW RELATIVELY LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELLS/BRIEF TORNADO
THREAT ACROSS IA NEAR A WARM FRONT AND AMID AN ENHANCED WIND FIELD
ON THE PERIPHERY OF A REMNANT MCV. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS/HAIL ARE
POSSIBLE AS WELL...PERHAPS ESPECIALLY IN A MORE UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN IA/NORTHERN MO. SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1174
FOR ADDITIONAL METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.
...SOUTH FL...
A CATEGORICAL SLIGHT RISK HAS BEEN ADDED TO SOUTH FL. SEE SEVERE
TSTM WATCH 396 AND MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1173 FOR METEOROLOGICAL
DISCUSSION.
...ELSEWHERE...
LITTLE OR NO CHANGES IN OTHER AREAS...SEE PRIOR DISCUSSION BELOW
AND/OR SUBSEQUENT MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS.
..GUYER.. 06/15/2012
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1123 AM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012/
...NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
WEAK CYCLONIC FLOW IS PRESENT THIS MORNING OVER MOST OF THE WESTERN
CONUS...WITH THE BAND OF STRONGEST WINDS EXTENDING ACROSS MT/ID/WY
INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. RELATIVELY STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL
WINDS OVER THE HIGH PLAINS WILL MAINTAIN 50S TO LOWER 60S DEWPOINTS
FROM KS/CO NORTHWARD...WHERE ONLY WEAK CAPPING IS EXPECTED. THIS
SHOULD RESULT IN SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF EASTERN CO/WY SPREADING INTO PORTIONS OF
SD/NEB/KS DURING THE EVENING. VERTICAL SHEAR IS STRONGEST ACROSS
NORTHEAST WY/WESTERN SD...AND WEAKENS WITH SOUTHWARD EXTENT. A FEW
SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE BLACK HILLS REGION WITH LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE. A MIXTURE OF SUPERCELL/MULTICELL
STRUCTURES ARE MORE LIKELY FARTHER SOUTH INTO CO/KS WHERE LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. HIGH LCL HEIGHTS AND
LIMITED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ARE EXPECTED TO LIMIT THE TORNADO THREAT
ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED SPIN-UP IS POSSIBLE.
..SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF TX WILL MAINTAIN AMPLE
MOISTURE FOR SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NM AND
WEST TX. FULL SUNSHINE AND DEWPOINTS IN THE MID/UPPER 50S WILL
RESULT IN UNCAPPED MLCAPE VALUES OF AROUND 1500 J/KG. VERTICAL
SHEAR IS QUITE WEAK WITH STORMS LIKELY TO REMAIN DISORGANIZED.
HOWEVER...STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
STRONGER STORMS.
...EAST TX...
REMNANT MCVS FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION ARE CURRENTLY OVER SOUTHERN
OK/NORTH CENTRAL TX. THESE MESOSCALE FEATURES WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN
THROUGH THE DAY...BUT MAY RESULT IN RE-DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. DEWPOINTS ACROSS EAST TX ARE IN THE MID 70S WITH
HIGH CAPE VALUES EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON. LARGE SCALE SUPPORT
FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION IS WEAK AND AREAL COVERAGE OF STORMS
REMAINS UNCERTAIN. THEREFORE WILL MAINTAIN ONLY LOW SEVERE
PROBABILITIES. NEVERTHELESS...THOSE STORMS THAT FORM MAY POSE A
RISK FOR LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL.
...UPPER MIDWEST...
ANOTHER REMNANT MCV IS PRESENT OVER WESTERN IA. THIS SYSTEM WILL
DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD TODAY AND IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN
RE-DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS. MID AND HIGH CLOUDS ARE WIDESPREAD
AHEAD OF THE MCV...WHICH SHOULD LIMIT DAYTIME HEATING AND
DESTABILIZATION. THEREFORE WILL MAINTAIN ONLY LOW SEVERE
PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.
...FL PENINSULA...
STRONG HEATING IS OCCURRING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA WHERE
AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS PRESENT. SUFFICIENT WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
WILL HELP TO ENHANCE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS
/ESPECIALLY THE WEST COAST/ WHERE A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE. NORTHERLY COMPONENT TO LOW LEVEL WINDS IS SLOWLY
ADVECTING DRIER AIR INTO REGION WHICH MAY TEND TO LIMIT THE OVERALL
SEVERE THREAT. THEREFORE WILL MAINTAIN ONLY LOW SEVERE PROBS FOR
TODAY.
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Friday, June 15, 2012
KTBW [152009]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KTBW 152009
LSRTBW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
409 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0408 PM HAIL APOLLO BEACH 27.77N 82.41W
06/15/2012 E0.70 INCH HILLSBOROUGH FL TRAINED SPOTTER
A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED DIME SIZE HAIL IN APOLLO
BEACH.
&&
$$
COLSON
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LSRTBW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
409 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0408 PM HAIL APOLLO BEACH 27.77N 82.41W
06/15/2012 E0.70 INCH HILLSBOROUGH FL TRAINED SPOTTER
A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED DIME SIZE HAIL IN APOLLO
BEACH.
&&
$$
COLSON
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KCYS [152003]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 152003
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
203 PM MDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0159 PM HAIL 1 SW LARAMIE 41.30N 105.60W
06/15/2012 E0.25 INCH ALBANY WY TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
MWEILAND
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
203 PM MDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0159 PM HAIL 1 SW LARAMIE 41.30N 105.60W
06/15/2012 E0.25 INCH ALBANY WY TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
MWEILAND
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 152002
SWODY1
SPC AC 152000
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012
VALID 152000Z - 161200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS CENTRAL IA/NORTHERN
MO...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FL
PENINSULA...
...NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
SOMEWHAT HIGHER SEVERE PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN INTRODUCED ACROSS
WESTERN SD BASED ON SHORT-TERM TRENDS/GUIDANCE...BUT OVERALL
SCENARIO REMAINS UNCHANGED FROM PREVIOUS OUTLOOK. SEE SEVERE TSTM
WATCH 395/SUBSEQUENT MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS.
...IA/NORTHERN MO...
IN SPITE OF WEAK LAPSE RATES ALOFT...SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR MAY
EXIST FOR A FEW RELATIVELY LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELLS/BRIEF TORNADO
THREAT ACROSS IA NEAR A WARM FRONT AND AMID AN ENHANCED WIND FIELD
ON THE PERIPHERY OF A REMNANT MCV. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS/HAIL ARE
POSSIBLE AS WELL...PERHAPS ESPECIALLY IN A MORE UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN IA/NORTHERN MO. SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1174
FOR ADDITIONAL METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.
...SOUTH FL...
A CATEGORICAL SLIGHT RISK HAS BEEN ADDED TO SOUTH FL. SEE SEVERE
TSTM WATCH 396 AND MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1173 FOR METEOROLOGICAL
DISCUSSION.
...ELSEWHERE...
LITTLE OR NO CHANGES IN OTHER AREAS...SEE PRIOR DISCUSSION BELOW
AND/OR SUBSEQUENT MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS.
..GUYER.. 06/15/2012
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1123 AM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012/
...NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
WEAK CYCLONIC FLOW IS PRESENT THIS MORNING OVER MOST OF THE WESTERN
CONUS...WITH THE BAND OF STRONGEST WINDS EXTENDING ACROSS MT/ID/WY
INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. RELATIVELY STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL
WINDS OVER THE HIGH PLAINS WILL MAINTAIN 50S TO LOWER 60S DEWPOINTS
FROM KS/CO NORTHWARD...WHERE ONLY WEAK CAPPING IS EXPECTED. THIS
SHOULD RESULT IN SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF EASTERN CO/WY SPREADING INTO PORTIONS OF
SD/NEB/KS DURING THE EVENING. VERTICAL SHEAR IS STRONGEST ACROSS
NORTHEAST WY/WESTERN SD...AND WEAKENS WITH SOUTHWARD EXTENT. A FEW
SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE BLACK HILLS REGION WITH LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE. A MIXTURE OF SUPERCELL/MULTICELL
STRUCTURES ARE MORE LIKELY FARTHER SOUTH INTO CO/KS WHERE LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. HIGH LCL HEIGHTS AND
LIMITED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ARE EXPECTED TO LIMIT THE TORNADO THREAT
ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED SPIN-UP IS POSSIBLE.
..SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF TX WILL MAINTAIN AMPLE
MOISTURE FOR SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NM AND
WEST TX. FULL SUNSHINE AND DEWPOINTS IN THE MID/UPPER 50S WILL
RESULT IN UNCAPPED MLCAPE VALUES OF AROUND 1500 J/KG. VERTICAL
SHEAR IS QUITE WEAK WITH STORMS LIKELY TO REMAIN DISORGANIZED.
HOWEVER...STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
STRONGER STORMS.
...EAST TX...
REMNANT MCVS FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION ARE CURRENTLY OVER SOUTHERN
OK/NORTH CENTRAL TX. THESE MESOSCALE FEATURES WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN
THROUGH THE DAY...BUT MAY RESULT IN RE-DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. DEWPOINTS ACROSS EAST TX ARE IN THE MID 70S WITH
HIGH CAPE VALUES EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON. LARGE SCALE SUPPORT
FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION IS WEAK AND AREAL COVERAGE OF STORMS
REMAINS UNCERTAIN. THEREFORE WILL MAINTAIN ONLY LOW SEVERE
PROBABILITIES. NEVERTHELESS...THOSE STORMS THAT FORM MAY POSE A
RISK FOR LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL.
...UPPER MIDWEST...
ANOTHER REMNANT MCV IS PRESENT OVER WESTERN IA. THIS SYSTEM WILL
DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD TODAY AND IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN
RE-DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS. MID AND HIGH CLOUDS ARE WIDESPREAD
AHEAD OF THE MCV...WHICH SHOULD LIMIT DAYTIME HEATING AND
DESTABILIZATION. THEREFORE WILL MAINTAIN ONLY LOW SEVERE
PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.
...FL PENINSULA...
STRONG HEATING IS OCCURRING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA WHERE
AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS PRESENT. SUFFICIENT WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
WILL HELP TO ENHANCE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS
/ESPECIALLY THE WEST COAST/ WHERE A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE. NORTHERLY COMPONENT TO LOW LEVEL WINDS IS SLOWLY
ADVECTING DRIER AIR INTO REGION WHICH MAY TEND TO LIMIT THE OVERALL
SEVERE THREAT. THEREFORE WILL MAINTAIN ONLY LOW SEVERE PROBS FOR
TODAY.
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SWODY1
SPC AC 152000
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012
VALID 152000Z - 161200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS CENTRAL IA/NORTHERN
MO...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FL
PENINSULA...
...NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
SOMEWHAT HIGHER SEVERE PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN INTRODUCED ACROSS
WESTERN SD BASED ON SHORT-TERM TRENDS/GUIDANCE...BUT OVERALL
SCENARIO REMAINS UNCHANGED FROM PREVIOUS OUTLOOK. SEE SEVERE TSTM
WATCH 395/SUBSEQUENT MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS.
...IA/NORTHERN MO...
IN SPITE OF WEAK LAPSE RATES ALOFT...SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR MAY
EXIST FOR A FEW RELATIVELY LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELLS/BRIEF TORNADO
THREAT ACROSS IA NEAR A WARM FRONT AND AMID AN ENHANCED WIND FIELD
ON THE PERIPHERY OF A REMNANT MCV. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS/HAIL ARE
POSSIBLE AS WELL...PERHAPS ESPECIALLY IN A MORE UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN IA/NORTHERN MO. SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1174
FOR ADDITIONAL METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.
...SOUTH FL...
A CATEGORICAL SLIGHT RISK HAS BEEN ADDED TO SOUTH FL. SEE SEVERE
TSTM WATCH 396 AND MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1173 FOR METEOROLOGICAL
DISCUSSION.
...ELSEWHERE...
LITTLE OR NO CHANGES IN OTHER AREAS...SEE PRIOR DISCUSSION BELOW
AND/OR SUBSEQUENT MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS.
..GUYER.. 06/15/2012
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1123 AM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012/
...NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
WEAK CYCLONIC FLOW IS PRESENT THIS MORNING OVER MOST OF THE WESTERN
CONUS...WITH THE BAND OF STRONGEST WINDS EXTENDING ACROSS MT/ID/WY
INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. RELATIVELY STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL
WINDS OVER THE HIGH PLAINS WILL MAINTAIN 50S TO LOWER 60S DEWPOINTS
FROM KS/CO NORTHWARD...WHERE ONLY WEAK CAPPING IS EXPECTED. THIS
SHOULD RESULT IN SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF EASTERN CO/WY SPREADING INTO PORTIONS OF
SD/NEB/KS DURING THE EVENING. VERTICAL SHEAR IS STRONGEST ACROSS
NORTHEAST WY/WESTERN SD...AND WEAKENS WITH SOUTHWARD EXTENT. A FEW
SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE BLACK HILLS REGION WITH LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE. A MIXTURE OF SUPERCELL/MULTICELL
STRUCTURES ARE MORE LIKELY FARTHER SOUTH INTO CO/KS WHERE LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. HIGH LCL HEIGHTS AND
LIMITED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ARE EXPECTED TO LIMIT THE TORNADO THREAT
ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED SPIN-UP IS POSSIBLE.
..SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF TX WILL MAINTAIN AMPLE
MOISTURE FOR SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NM AND
WEST TX. FULL SUNSHINE AND DEWPOINTS IN THE MID/UPPER 50S WILL
RESULT IN UNCAPPED MLCAPE VALUES OF AROUND 1500 J/KG. VERTICAL
SHEAR IS QUITE WEAK WITH STORMS LIKELY TO REMAIN DISORGANIZED.
HOWEVER...STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
STRONGER STORMS.
...EAST TX...
REMNANT MCVS FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION ARE CURRENTLY OVER SOUTHERN
OK/NORTH CENTRAL TX. THESE MESOSCALE FEATURES WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN
THROUGH THE DAY...BUT MAY RESULT IN RE-DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. DEWPOINTS ACROSS EAST TX ARE IN THE MID 70S WITH
HIGH CAPE VALUES EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON. LARGE SCALE SUPPORT
FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION IS WEAK AND AREAL COVERAGE OF STORMS
REMAINS UNCERTAIN. THEREFORE WILL MAINTAIN ONLY LOW SEVERE
PROBABILITIES. NEVERTHELESS...THOSE STORMS THAT FORM MAY POSE A
RISK FOR LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL.
...UPPER MIDWEST...
ANOTHER REMNANT MCV IS PRESENT OVER WESTERN IA. THIS SYSTEM WILL
DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD TODAY AND IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN
RE-DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS. MID AND HIGH CLOUDS ARE WIDESPREAD
AHEAD OF THE MCV...WHICH SHOULD LIMIT DAYTIME HEATING AND
DESTABILIZATION. THEREFORE WILL MAINTAIN ONLY LOW SEVERE
PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.
...FL PENINSULA...
STRONG HEATING IS OCCURRING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA WHERE
AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS PRESENT. SUFFICIENT WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
WILL HELP TO ENHANCE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS
/ESPECIALLY THE WEST COAST/ WHERE A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE. NORTHERLY COMPONENT TO LOW LEVEL WINDS IS SLOWLY
ADVECTING DRIER AIR INTO REGION WHICH MAY TEND TO LIMIT THE OVERALL
SEVERE THREAT. THEREFORE WILL MAINTAIN ONLY LOW SEVERE PROBS FOR
TODAY.
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KTBW [151959]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KTBW 151959
LSRTBW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
359 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0346 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 2 WNW MACDILL AIR FORCE 27.86N 82.55W
06/15/2012 M45 MPH HILLSBOROUGH FL MESONET
THE PORTS STATION AT OLD PORT TAMPA MEASURED A WIND GUST
OF 39 KNOTS.
0344 PM MARINE TSTM WIND MACDILL AIR FORCE BASE 27.85N 82.52W
06/15/2012 M44 MPH HILLSBOROUGH FL AWOS
THE AWOS AT MACDILL AIR FORCE BASE MEASURED A WIND GUST
OF 38 KNOTS.
&&
$$
COLSON
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LSRTBW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
359 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0346 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 2 WNW MACDILL AIR FORCE 27.86N 82.55W
06/15/2012 M45 MPH HILLSBOROUGH FL MESONET
THE PORTS STATION AT OLD PORT TAMPA MEASURED A WIND GUST
OF 39 KNOTS.
0344 PM MARINE TSTM WIND MACDILL AIR FORCE BASE 27.85N 82.52W
06/15/2012 M44 MPH HILLSBOROUGH FL AWOS
THE AWOS AT MACDILL AIR FORCE BASE MEASURED A WIND GUST
OF 38 KNOTS.
&&
$$
COLSON
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KMFL [151956]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KMFL 151956
LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
356 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0350 PM HAIL LION COUNTRY SAFARI 26.71N 80.36W
06/15/2012 M0.75 INCH PALM BEACH FL TRAINED SPOTTER
PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT LION COUNTY SAFARI.
0352 PM HAIL LOOP ROAD EDUCATION CEN 25.75N 80.97W
06/15/2012 M0.88 INCH MAINLAND MONROE FL TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER REPORTED NICKEL SIZED HAIL.
&&
$$
RIVERA
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LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
356 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0350 PM HAIL LION COUNTRY SAFARI 26.71N 80.36W
06/15/2012 M0.75 INCH PALM BEACH FL TRAINED SPOTTER
PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT LION COUNTY SAFARI.
0352 PM HAIL LOOP ROAD EDUCATION CEN 25.75N 80.97W
06/15/2012 M0.88 INCH MAINLAND MONROE FL TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER REPORTED NICKEL SIZED HAIL.
&&
$$
RIVERA
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KMFL [151954]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KMFL 151954
LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
354 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0330 PM HAIL POMPANO BEACH 26.23N 80.12W
06/15/2012 E0.88 INCH BROWARD FL TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER REPORTED DIME AND NICKEL SIZED HAIL NEAR ATLANTIC
BLVD AND DIXIE HWY.
&&
$$
RIVERA
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LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
354 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0330 PM HAIL POMPANO BEACH 26.23N 80.12W
06/15/2012 E0.88 INCH BROWARD FL TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER REPORTED DIME AND NICKEL SIZED HAIL NEAR ATLANTIC
BLVD AND DIXIE HWY.
&&
$$
RIVERA
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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 396
WWUS20 KWNS 151953
SEL6
SPC WW 151953
FLZ000-CWZ000-160100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 396
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
355 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTH FLORIDA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 355 PM UNTIL 900
PM EDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF
SARASOTA FLORIDA TO 45 MILES SOUTH OF MIAMI FLORIDA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 395...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FL
PENINSULA...MAINLY IN VICINITY OF SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE ZONES.
AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AND SUFFICIENT WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT WILL PROMOTE ORGANIZED MULTICELL OR BRIEF SUPERCELL STORM
STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27020.
...HART
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SEL6
SPC WW 151953
FLZ000-CWZ000-160100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 396
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
355 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTH FLORIDA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 355 PM UNTIL 900
PM EDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF
SARASOTA FLORIDA TO 45 MILES SOUTH OF MIAMI FLORIDA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 395...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FL
PENINSULA...MAINLY IN VICINITY OF SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE ZONES.
AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AND SUFFICIENT WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT WILL PROMOTE ORGANIZED MULTICELL OR BRIEF SUPERCELL STORM
STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27020.
...HART
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KMFL [151946]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KMFL 151946
LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
346 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0330 PM HAIL MIAMI LAKES 25.91N 80.31W
06/15/2012 E0.50 INCH MIAMI-DADE FL PUBLIC
PUBLIC REPORTED MARBLE SIZED HAIL NEAR 57 AVE AND THE
PALMETTO.
&&
$$
RIVERA
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LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
346 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0330 PM HAIL MIAMI LAKES 25.91N 80.31W
06/15/2012 E0.50 INCH MIAMI-DADE FL PUBLIC
PUBLIC REPORTED MARBLE SIZED HAIL NEAR 57 AVE AND THE
PALMETTO.
&&
$$
RIVERA
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KMFL [151944]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KMFL 151944
LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
344 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0342 PM HAIL OAKLAND PARK 26.17N 80.14W
06/15/2012 E1.00 INCH BROWARD FL TRAINED SPOTTER
TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED QUARTER SIZED HAIL NEAR I-95 AND
OAKLAND PARK BLVD.
&&
$$
RIVERA
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LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
344 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0342 PM HAIL OAKLAND PARK 26.17N 80.14W
06/15/2012 E1.00 INCH BROWARD FL TRAINED SPOTTER
TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED QUARTER SIZED HAIL NEAR I-95 AND
OAKLAND PARK BLVD.
&&
$$
RIVERA
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1174
ACUS11 KWNS 151938
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151937
IAZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-152130-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1174
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0237 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN MO THROUGH SRN IA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 151937Z - 152130Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...CONVECTION DEVELOPING OVER NWRN MO MAY POSE A MARGINAL
THREAT FOR ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS. A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO ALSO
CANNOT BE RULED OUT AS ACTIVITY SHIFTS NWD INTO SRN IA. OVERALL
THREAT DOES NOT APPEAR SUFFICIENT FOR A WW AT THIS TIME...BUT A
SMALL AREA IN SRN IA MIGHT BE UPGRADED TO SLIGHT RISK ON THE 20Z
UPDATE.
DISCUSSION...CONVECTION...MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF SHOWERS HAVE
INCREASED OVER NWRN MO ALONG LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AXES ASSOCIATED
WITH A COMPACT NEWD MOVING VORT MAX. AT THE SURFACE...A WARM FRONT
EXTENDS FROM A WEAK SFC LOW IN EXTREME SERN NEB EWD INTO SRN IA.
DESPITE TEMPERATURES HAVING WARMED INTO THE UPPER 80S ALONG WITH LOW
60S DEWPOINTS...INSTABILITY REMAINS MARGINAL WITH MLCAPE GENERALLY
BELOW 500 J/KG DUE TO POOR MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES RESULTING IN
RELATIVELY WEAK UPDRAFTS. THIS IS CONFIRMED BY LACK OF LIGHTNING
ACTIVITY WITH CONVECTION DEVELOPING SO FAR. SOUTH OF WARM
FRONT...VERTICAL SHEAR IS WEAK. HOWEVER...ELY NEAR SFC WINDS VEERING
WITH HEIGHT NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT IS CONTRIBUTING TO STRONGER LOW
LEVEL SHEAR OVER SRN IA...AND A MODEST THREAT FOR A BRIEF TORNADO OR
TWO MAY EXIST AS STORMS LIFT NWD AND INTERACT WITH THIS BOUNDARY.
OVERALL THREAT APPEARS LIMITED PRIMARILY BY A MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT.
..DIAL/HART.. 06/15/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...DVN...DMX...EAX...OAX...
LAT...LON 41189240 40139304 39339374 39479483 41229533 41879296
41189240
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151937
IAZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-152130-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1174
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0237 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN MO THROUGH SRN IA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 151937Z - 152130Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...CONVECTION DEVELOPING OVER NWRN MO MAY POSE A MARGINAL
THREAT FOR ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS. A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO ALSO
CANNOT BE RULED OUT AS ACTIVITY SHIFTS NWD INTO SRN IA. OVERALL
THREAT DOES NOT APPEAR SUFFICIENT FOR A WW AT THIS TIME...BUT A
SMALL AREA IN SRN IA MIGHT BE UPGRADED TO SLIGHT RISK ON THE 20Z
UPDATE.
DISCUSSION...CONVECTION...MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF SHOWERS HAVE
INCREASED OVER NWRN MO ALONG LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AXES ASSOCIATED
WITH A COMPACT NEWD MOVING VORT MAX. AT THE SURFACE...A WARM FRONT
EXTENDS FROM A WEAK SFC LOW IN EXTREME SERN NEB EWD INTO SRN IA.
DESPITE TEMPERATURES HAVING WARMED INTO THE UPPER 80S ALONG WITH LOW
60S DEWPOINTS...INSTABILITY REMAINS MARGINAL WITH MLCAPE GENERALLY
BELOW 500 J/KG DUE TO POOR MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES RESULTING IN
RELATIVELY WEAK UPDRAFTS. THIS IS CONFIRMED BY LACK OF LIGHTNING
ACTIVITY WITH CONVECTION DEVELOPING SO FAR. SOUTH OF WARM
FRONT...VERTICAL SHEAR IS WEAK. HOWEVER...ELY NEAR SFC WINDS VEERING
WITH HEIGHT NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT IS CONTRIBUTING TO STRONGER LOW
LEVEL SHEAR OVER SRN IA...AND A MODEST THREAT FOR A BRIEF TORNADO OR
TWO MAY EXIST AS STORMS LIFT NWD AND INTERACT WITH THIS BOUNDARY.
OVERALL THREAT APPEARS LIMITED PRIMARILY BY A MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT.
..DIAL/HART.. 06/15/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...DVN...DMX...EAX...OAX...
LAT...LON 41189240 40139304 39339374 39479483 41229533 41879296
41189240
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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 395
WWUS20 KWNS 151935
SEL5
SPC WW 151935
COZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-160300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 395
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 PM MDT FRI JUN 15 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST COLORADO
NEBRASKA PANHANDLE
WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
EASTERN WYOMING
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 135 PM UNTIL 900
PM MDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 90 MILES NORTH OF
RAPID CITY SOUTH DAKOTA TO 45 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF COLORADO
SPRINGS COLORADO. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORMING OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF CENTRAL CO INTO SOUTHERN WY. OTHER STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP SOON OVER WESTERN SD. SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR IS
PRESENT ACROSS THIS REGION FOR SOME CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AND A
RISK OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL IN THE STRONGER STORMS.
EFFECTIVE SHEAR VALUES OVER SD ARE MORE SIGNIFICANT...AND WILL POSE
A GREATER RISK OF SUPERCELLS AND MORE WIDESPREAD HAIL/WIND.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27025.
...HART
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SEL5
SPC WW 151935
COZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-160300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 395
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 PM MDT FRI JUN 15 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST COLORADO
NEBRASKA PANHANDLE
WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
EASTERN WYOMING
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 135 PM UNTIL 900
PM MDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 90 MILES NORTH OF
RAPID CITY SOUTH DAKOTA TO 45 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF COLORADO
SPRINGS COLORADO. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORMING OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF CENTRAL CO INTO SOUTHERN WY. OTHER STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP SOON OVER WESTERN SD. SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR IS
PRESENT ACROSS THIS REGION FOR SOME CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AND A
RISK OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL IN THE STRONGER STORMS.
EFFECTIVE SHEAR VALUES OVER SD ARE MORE SIGNIFICANT...AND WILL POSE
A GREATER RISK OF SUPERCELLS AND MORE WIDESPREAD HAIL/WIND.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27025.
...HART
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KMFL [151928]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KMFL 151928
LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
328 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0327 PM HAIL POMPANO BEACH 26.23N 80.12W
06/15/2012 E0.25 INCH BROWARD FL PUBLIC
PUBLIC REPORTED PEA SIZED HAIL NEAR I-95 AND ATLANTIC
BLVD.
&&
$$
RIVERA
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LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
328 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0327 PM HAIL POMPANO BEACH 26.23N 80.12W
06/15/2012 E0.25 INCH BROWARD FL PUBLIC
PUBLIC REPORTED PEA SIZED HAIL NEAR I-95 AND ATLANTIC
BLVD.
&&
$$
RIVERA
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KMFL [151922]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KMFL 151922
LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
322 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0246 PM TSTM WND GST BOCA RATON 26.36N 80.10W
06/15/2012 M53.00 MPH PALM BEACH FL ASOS
ASOS MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 46 KTS/53 MPH AT BCT
AIRPORT.
&&
$$
RIVERA
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LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
322 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0246 PM TSTM WND GST BOCA RATON 26.36N 80.10W
06/15/2012 M53.00 MPH PALM BEACH FL ASOS
ASOS MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 46 KTS/53 MPH AT BCT
AIRPORT.
&&
$$
RIVERA
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KJAN [151922]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KJAN 151922
LSRJAN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
222 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0215 PM HAIL 5 NE FLOWOOD 32.37N 90.05W
06/15/2012 E0.25 INCH RANKIN MS NWS EMPLOYEE
PEA SIZED HAIL REPORTED FIVE MILES SOUTHWEST OF OLD FANIN
ROAD.
&&
$$
MME
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LSRJAN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
222 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0215 PM HAIL 5 NE FLOWOOD 32.37N 90.05W
06/15/2012 E0.25 INCH RANKIN MS NWS EMPLOYEE
PEA SIZED HAIL REPORTED FIVE MILES SOUTHWEST OF OLD FANIN
ROAD.
&&
$$
MME
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1173
ACUS11 KWNS 151911
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151911
FLZ000-152015-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1173
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0211 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN FL
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 151911Z - 152015Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE WIND/HAIL WILL EXIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
AS THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ALONG THE SEA-BREEZE ACROSS SRN FL.
ISOLATED NATURE OF THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE THE
NEED FOR A WW.
DISCUSSION...AMPLE INSTABILITY AND INCREASED CONVERGENCE ALONG
MULTIPLE MESOSCALE BOUNDARIES WILL LEAD TO AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS SRN FL. WWD/SWWD PROGRESSING CONFLUENCE
BAND /LOCATED ROUGHLY ALONG A LINE FROM VDF SEWD TO BCT/ WILL LIKELY
INTERSECT THE W COAST SEA-BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON...ENHANCING SURFACE
CONVERGENCE AND AIDING IN THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. 18Z MESOANALYSIS
DEPICTED MLCAPE AOA 1500 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR VALUES NEAR 25 KTS
ACROSS MUCH OF SRN FL. THIS SUGGESTS BRIEFLY ORGANIZED MULTICELLS
WITH AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR SEVERE HAIL/WIND. ISOLATED NATURE OF THE
SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW.
..MOSIER/HART.. 06/15/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...MFL...TBW...
LAT...LON 25288077 25648128 26158171 26908226 27498248 27718225
27748182 27608157 27028087 26458003 25488037 25288077
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151911
FLZ000-152015-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1173
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0211 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN FL
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 151911Z - 152015Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE WIND/HAIL WILL EXIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
AS THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ALONG THE SEA-BREEZE ACROSS SRN FL.
ISOLATED NATURE OF THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE THE
NEED FOR A WW.
DISCUSSION...AMPLE INSTABILITY AND INCREASED CONVERGENCE ALONG
MULTIPLE MESOSCALE BOUNDARIES WILL LEAD TO AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS SRN FL. WWD/SWWD PROGRESSING CONFLUENCE
BAND /LOCATED ROUGHLY ALONG A LINE FROM VDF SEWD TO BCT/ WILL LIKELY
INTERSECT THE W COAST SEA-BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON...ENHANCING SURFACE
CONVERGENCE AND AIDING IN THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. 18Z MESOANALYSIS
DEPICTED MLCAPE AOA 1500 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR VALUES NEAR 25 KTS
ACROSS MUCH OF SRN FL. THIS SUGGESTS BRIEFLY ORGANIZED MULTICELLS
WITH AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR SEVERE HAIL/WIND. ISOLATED NATURE OF THE
SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW.
..MOSIER/HART.. 06/15/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...MFL...TBW...
LAT...LON 25288077 25648128 26158171 26908226 27498248 27718225
27748182 27608157 27028087 26458003 25488037 25288077
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KMPX [151909]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS53 KMPX 151909
LSRMPX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
209 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0844 PM FLASH FLOOD NERSTRAND 44.34N 93.06W
06/14/2012 RICE MN DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
HIGHWAY 246 CLOSED AT COUNTY ROAD 26 DUE TO HIGH WATER.
0844 PM FLASH FLOOD WASTEDO 44.40N 92.85W
06/14/2012 GOODHUE MN DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
HIGHWAY 52 CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.
0846 PM FLASH FLOOD STANTON 44.47N 93.02W
06/14/2012 GOODHUE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
HIGHWAY 19 CLOSED BETWEEN STANTON AND NORTHFIELD DUE TO
HIGH WATER.
1155 PM HEAVY RAIN RED WING 44.58N 92.60W
06/14/2012 E6.75 INCH GOODHUE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
FELL BETWEEN 1630 AND 2330 CDT.
1205 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SW CANNON FALLS 44.50N 92.93W
06/15/2012 M8.83 INCH GOODHUE MN CO-OP OBSERVER
UPDATED FROM 8.41 INCHES REPORTED EARLIER.
0500 AM HEAVY RAIN GOODHUE 44.40N 92.62W
06/15/2012 M4.43 INCH GOODHUE MN CO-OP OBSERVER
0527 AM FLOOD CANNON FALLS 44.52N 92.90W
06/15/2012 GOODHUE MN LAW ENFORCEMENT
HIGHWAY 20...CANNON FALLS BLVD CLOSED IN TOWN AMD SOME
HOME EVACUATIONS DUE TO RISING WATER.
0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 SSW DUNDAS 44.39N 93.23W
06/15/2012 M6.02 INCH RICE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HR TOTAL.
0600 AM HEAVY RAIN KENYON 44.27N 92.99W
06/15/2012 M4.54 INCH GOODHUE MN COCORAHS
0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NNW RED WING 44.61N 92.61W
06/15/2012 M6.37 INCH GOODHUE MN CO-OP OBSERVER
LOCK AND DAM 3...24 HR TOTAL.
0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 E NERSTRAND 44.34N 92.98W
06/15/2012 M5.13 INCH GOODHUE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HR TOTAL.
0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SE NORTHFIELD 44.44N 93.15W
06/15/2012 M5.51 INCH RICE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HOUR TOTAL.
0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 E OWATONNA 44.09N 93.20W
06/15/2012 M4.18 INCH STEELE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HR TOTAL.
0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 ENE OWATONNA 44.09N 93.21W
06/15/2012 M4.10 INCH STEELE MN COCORAHS
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 6 S RED WING 44.50N 92.60W
06/15/2012 M5.80 INCH GOODHUE MN COCORAHS
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 SSE NORTHFIELD 44.39N 93.11W
06/15/2012 M6.40 INCH RICE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION DISTRICT PRECIP OBSERVER
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 11 SW RED WING 44.46N 92.74W
06/15/2012 M6.10 INCH GOODHUE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION DISTRICT PRECIP OBSERVER
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NE FARIBAULT 44.35N 93.19W
06/15/2012 M4.50 INCH RICE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION DISTRICT PRECIP OBSERVER
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 SE RED WING 44.54N 92.54W
06/15/2012 M6.52 INCH GOODHUE MN COCORAHS
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 ESE NORTHFIELD 44.45N 93.15W
06/15/2012 M7.13 INCH RICE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION DISTRICT PRECIP OBSERVER
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NNW STANTON 44.49N 93.03W
06/15/2012 M8.40 INCH GOODHUE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION DISTRICT PRECIP OBSERVER
&&
$$
MKM
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LSRMPX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
209 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0844 PM FLASH FLOOD NERSTRAND 44.34N 93.06W
06/14/2012 RICE MN DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
HIGHWAY 246 CLOSED AT COUNTY ROAD 26 DUE TO HIGH WATER.
0844 PM FLASH FLOOD WASTEDO 44.40N 92.85W
06/14/2012 GOODHUE MN DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
HIGHWAY 52 CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.
0846 PM FLASH FLOOD STANTON 44.47N 93.02W
06/14/2012 GOODHUE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
HIGHWAY 19 CLOSED BETWEEN STANTON AND NORTHFIELD DUE TO
HIGH WATER.
1155 PM HEAVY RAIN RED WING 44.58N 92.60W
06/14/2012 E6.75 INCH GOODHUE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
FELL BETWEEN 1630 AND 2330 CDT.
1205 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SW CANNON FALLS 44.50N 92.93W
06/15/2012 M8.83 INCH GOODHUE MN CO-OP OBSERVER
UPDATED FROM 8.41 INCHES REPORTED EARLIER.
0500 AM HEAVY RAIN GOODHUE 44.40N 92.62W
06/15/2012 M4.43 INCH GOODHUE MN CO-OP OBSERVER
0527 AM FLOOD CANNON FALLS 44.52N 92.90W
06/15/2012 GOODHUE MN LAW ENFORCEMENT
HIGHWAY 20...CANNON FALLS BLVD CLOSED IN TOWN AMD SOME
HOME EVACUATIONS DUE TO RISING WATER.
0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 SSW DUNDAS 44.39N 93.23W
06/15/2012 M6.02 INCH RICE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HR TOTAL.
0600 AM HEAVY RAIN KENYON 44.27N 92.99W
06/15/2012 M4.54 INCH GOODHUE MN COCORAHS
0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NNW RED WING 44.61N 92.61W
06/15/2012 M6.37 INCH GOODHUE MN CO-OP OBSERVER
LOCK AND DAM 3...24 HR TOTAL.
0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 E NERSTRAND 44.34N 92.98W
06/15/2012 M5.13 INCH GOODHUE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HR TOTAL.
0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SE NORTHFIELD 44.44N 93.15W
06/15/2012 M5.51 INCH RICE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HOUR TOTAL.
0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 E OWATONNA 44.09N 93.20W
06/15/2012 M4.18 INCH STEELE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HR TOTAL.
0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 ENE OWATONNA 44.09N 93.21W
06/15/2012 M4.10 INCH STEELE MN COCORAHS
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 6 S RED WING 44.50N 92.60W
06/15/2012 M5.80 INCH GOODHUE MN COCORAHS
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 SSE NORTHFIELD 44.39N 93.11W
06/15/2012 M6.40 INCH RICE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION DISTRICT PRECIP OBSERVER
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 11 SW RED WING 44.46N 92.74W
06/15/2012 M6.10 INCH GOODHUE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION DISTRICT PRECIP OBSERVER
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NE FARIBAULT 44.35N 93.19W
06/15/2012 M4.50 INCH RICE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION DISTRICT PRECIP OBSERVER
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 SE RED WING 44.54N 92.54W
06/15/2012 M6.52 INCH GOODHUE MN COCORAHS
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 ESE NORTHFIELD 44.45N 93.15W
06/15/2012 M7.13 INCH RICE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION DISTRICT PRECIP OBSERVER
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NNW STANTON 44.49N 93.03W
06/15/2012 M8.40 INCH GOODHUE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION DISTRICT PRECIP OBSERVER
&&
$$
MKM
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KMPX [151903]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KMPX 151903
LSRMPX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
203 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 ESE NORTHFIELD 44.45N 93.15W
06/15/2012 M7.13 INCH RICE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION DISTRICT PRECIP OBSERVER
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 11 SW RED WING 44.46N 92.74W
06/15/2012 M6.10 INCH GOODHUE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION DISTRICT PRECIP OBSERVER
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NE FARIBAULT 44.35N 93.19W
06/15/2012 M4.50 INCH RICE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION DISTRICT PRECIP OBSERVER
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NNW STANTON 44.49N 93.03W
06/15/2012 M8.40 INCH GOODHUE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION DISTRICT PRECIP OBSERVER
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 SSE NORTHFIELD 44.39N 93.11W
06/15/2012 M6.40 INCH RICE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION DISTRICT PRECIP OBSERVER
&&
$$
MKM
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LSRMPX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
203 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 ESE NORTHFIELD 44.45N 93.15W
06/15/2012 M7.13 INCH RICE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION DISTRICT PRECIP OBSERVER
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 11 SW RED WING 44.46N 92.74W
06/15/2012 M6.10 INCH GOODHUE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION DISTRICT PRECIP OBSERVER
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NE FARIBAULT 44.35N 93.19W
06/15/2012 M4.50 INCH RICE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION DISTRICT PRECIP OBSERVER
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NNW STANTON 44.49N 93.03W
06/15/2012 M8.40 INCH GOODHUE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION DISTRICT PRECIP OBSERVER
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 SSE NORTHFIELD 44.39N 93.11W
06/15/2012 M6.40 INCH RICE MN TRAINED SPOTTER
SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION DISTRICT PRECIP OBSERVER
&&
$$
MKM
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1172
ACUS11 KWNS 151855
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151854
NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-152030-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1172
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0154 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN WY...WRN NEB AND ERN CO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 151854Z - 152030Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT
SUMMARY...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND POSE AN ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL THREAT AS THEY ADVANCE EWD THROUGH THE
HIGH PLAINS OF SERN WY...ERN CO AND WRN NEB. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH WILL PROBABLY BE REQUIRED BY 20Z.
DISCUSSION...EARLY THIS AFTERNOON THE ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO
DESTABILIZE OVER THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS WHERE STEEP LAPSE RATES HAVE
ADVECTED ABOVE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S DEWPOINTS. TEMPERATURES CLIMBING
THROUGH THE 80S WILL PROMOTE LARGE TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINTS SPREADS AND
INVERTED-V BOUNDARY LAYERS. STORMS NOW DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN WILL LIKELY INTENSIFY AS THEY MOVE EWD AND INTERCEPT WRN
EDGE OF GREATER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WHERE MLCAPE
RANGES FROM 1000-2000 J/KG. ACTIVITY IS FORMING WITHIN A WEAK SHEAR
ENVIRONMENT WITH WEAK SHORTWAVE RIDGING ALOFT. HIGH BASED MULTICELLS
SHOULD BE THE DOMINANT STORM MODE...AND SOME OF THE STORMS MAY
EVENTUALLY GROW UPSCALE INTO LINE SEGMENTS AS INDIVIDUAL COLD POOLS
BEGIN TO CONSOLIDATE. DESPITE THE WEAK SHEAR...STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES...MODERATE INSTABILITY AND INVERTED-V BOUNDARY LAYERS WILL
PROMOTE A THREAT OF ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
..DIAL/HART.. 06/15/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...
LAT...LON 38780436 41030442 42560422 42950335 42360246 40090211
37410244 37390388 38780436
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151854
NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-152030-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1172
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0154 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN WY...WRN NEB AND ERN CO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 151854Z - 152030Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT
SUMMARY...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND POSE AN ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL THREAT AS THEY ADVANCE EWD THROUGH THE
HIGH PLAINS OF SERN WY...ERN CO AND WRN NEB. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH WILL PROBABLY BE REQUIRED BY 20Z.
DISCUSSION...EARLY THIS AFTERNOON THE ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO
DESTABILIZE OVER THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS WHERE STEEP LAPSE RATES HAVE
ADVECTED ABOVE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S DEWPOINTS. TEMPERATURES CLIMBING
THROUGH THE 80S WILL PROMOTE LARGE TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINTS SPREADS AND
INVERTED-V BOUNDARY LAYERS. STORMS NOW DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN WILL LIKELY INTENSIFY AS THEY MOVE EWD AND INTERCEPT WRN
EDGE OF GREATER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WHERE MLCAPE
RANGES FROM 1000-2000 J/KG. ACTIVITY IS FORMING WITHIN A WEAK SHEAR
ENVIRONMENT WITH WEAK SHORTWAVE RIDGING ALOFT. HIGH BASED MULTICELLS
SHOULD BE THE DOMINANT STORM MODE...AND SOME OF THE STORMS MAY
EVENTUALLY GROW UPSCALE INTO LINE SEGMENTS AS INDIVIDUAL COLD POOLS
BEGIN TO CONSOLIDATE. DESPITE THE WEAK SHEAR...STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES...MODERATE INSTABILITY AND INVERTED-V BOUNDARY LAYERS WILL
PROMOTE A THREAT OF ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
..DIAL/HART.. 06/15/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...
LAT...LON 38780436 41030442 42560422 42950335 42360246 40090211
37410244 37390388 38780436
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KMFL [151855]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KMFL 151855
LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
255 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0244 PM HAIL DELRAY BEACH 26.46N 80.09W
06/15/2012 E0.50 INCH PALM BEACH FL TRAINED SPOTTER
TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED MARBLE SIZED HAIL NEAR DELRAY
BEACH.
&&
$$
RIVERA
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LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
255 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0244 PM HAIL DELRAY BEACH 26.46N 80.09W
06/15/2012 E0.50 INCH PALM BEACH FL TRAINED SPOTTER
TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED MARBLE SIZED HAIL NEAR DELRAY
BEACH.
&&
$$
RIVERA
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