SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161900
COZ000-UTZ000-162100-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0511
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0200 PM CDT MON APR 16 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SRN UT AND WRN CO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 161900Z - 162100Z
LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE CENTER OF AN UPR LOW OVER NWRN
AZ WITH SEVERAL SHORTWAVE TROUGHS SPINNING AROUND THE LOW IN THE GRT
BASIN REGION. ONE SUCH IMPULSE WAS MOVING NWWD VCNTY THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION AND HAS BEEN IMPETUS FOR INCREASING TSTMS OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF ECNTRL/SERN UT AND WRN CO. H5 TEMPERATURES AROUND
MINUS 20 DEG C...HEATING AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT WILL CONTINUE TO BE
FAVORABLE FOR TSTMS THROUGH EARLY EVE. TSTMS WILL MOVE OFF THE
HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE WNW AND GIVEN DEEP...RELATIVELY DRY SUB-CLOUD
LAYER...SVR/DAMAGING WINDS MAY OCCUR ALONG WITH HAIL IN THE STRONGER
STORMS.
.RACY.. 04/16/2007
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...GJT...SLC...
39391207 39640930 38030844 37320960 37491236
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