Wednesday, May 9, 2007

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0759

ACUS11 KWNS 090604
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090604
OKZ000-090730-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0759
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0104 AM CDT WED MAY 09 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 090604Z - 090730Z

ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND/BRIEF TORNADO THREAT ACROSS PARTS OF NCNTRL
OK EARLY THIS MORNING. VERY LIMITED SPATIAL EXTENT TO THE SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT PRECLUDES A WATCH AT THIS TIME.

NONETHELESS...FASCINATING LONG-LIVED MESO-VORTEX CONTINUES ROTATING
NEWD AT ABOUT 25KT TOWARD NCNTRL OK EARLY TODAY. LONGER RADAR LOOPS
SHOW THAT SYSTEM HAS UNDERGONE SEVERAL OCCLUSIONS WITH THE LOW LEVEL
THE CIRCULATION CONTRACTING WITH TIME AS LARGER RAIN SHIELD AROUND
THE CIRCULATION GRADUALLY SHRINKS. MOIST INFLOW INTO THE VORTEX
CONTINUES...AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT/COUPLING SUGGESTS THAT THE
SEVERE POTENTIAL MAY BE MAINTAINED OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO ALONG A
RELATIVELY NARROW TRACK/PATH. GIVEN THAT THIS IS THE ONLY STORM
POSING A SEVERE WIND/BRIEF TORNADO THREAT...A WATCH IS NOT LIKELY.

.CARBIN.. 05/09/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...

36469751 36489716 36239708 35869736 35709746 35749779
36059775

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