Friday, October 26, 2007

DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 260821
SWOD48
SPC AC 260820

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0320 AM CDT FRI OCT 26 2007

VALID 291200Z - 031200Z

..SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS LOW THROUGH NEXT WEEK...
THE MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT RATHER LARGE
VARIABILITY IN THE UPPER FLOW EVOLUTION BEYOND THIS
WEEKEND...PARTICULARLY INTO THE LATTER PORTION OF NEXT WEEK.
HOWEVER...THERE IS GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT THE PATTERN WILL FAVOR
SURFACE RIDGING ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES...AND LOW PRESSURE OVER
THE CARIBBEAN/SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO. THIS SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY
CHANCE OF A SIGNIFICANT RETURN FLOW OF MOISTURE INTO THE
CENTRAL/EASTERN STATES. THE SEVERE THREAT MAY NOT BE NON-EXISTENT
ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TOWARD THE END OF
THE PERIOD...DEPENDING UPON THE CHARACTER OF THE TROPICAL
DEVELOPMENT. BUT...THIS IS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN AT THE PRESENT TIME.

.KERR.. 10/26/2007

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