SWODY3
SPC AC 140536
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1236 AM CDT MON APR 14 2008
VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
..SYNOPSIS...
WRN UPPER TROUGH -- CENTERED OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AT THE
START OF THE PERIOD -- IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE PROGRESSING EWD THIS
PERIOD...AND IS EXPECTED TO EXTEND FROM THE NRN PLAINS TO THE SRN
ROCKIES BY 17/12Z. MEANWHILE...ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE
MOVING SEWD ACROSS THE PLAINS...WITH LEE CYCLOGENESIS FORECAST TO
OCCUR ALONG THE FRONT INVOF THE SRN HIGH PLAINS DURING THE
AFTERNOON. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD...THE FRONT SHOULD STRETCH FROM
THE UPPER GREAT LAKES SWWD TO A LOW IN WRN OK/WRN N TX...AND THEN ON
SWWD ACROSS FAR W TX.
MEAGER BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE COMBINED WITH STRONG CAPPING IS
EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE ANY WARM-SECTOR STORMS THIS PERIOD.
THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP N OF THE FRONT ACROSS KS -- WITHIN ZONE OF
WARM ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH INTENSIFYING LOW-LEVEL JET. WHILE
FAIRLY STEEP LAPSE RATES ALOFT AND MID-LEVEL SWLYS NEAR 50 KT MAY
SUPPORT A FEW STRONGER ELEVATED STORMS...ATTM HAIL THREAT APPEARS
SUFFICIENTLY MARGINAL TO PRECLUDE THE INTRODUCTION OF A 5% SEVERE
AREA THIS FORECAST.
.GOSS/COOK.. 04/14/2008
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment