Thursday, August 14, 2008

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2086

ACUS11 KWNS 140827
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140826
KSZ000-OKZ000-141000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2086
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0326 AM CDT THU AUG 14 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/S KS AND N OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 827...

VALID 140826Z - 141000Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 827
CONTINUES.

BOW ECHO THAT PRODUCED A HEALTHY SWATH OF SVR WIND GUSTS ACROSS NW/C
KS EARLY THIS MORNING APPEARS TO HAVE PEAKED AND SHOULD GRADUALLY
DIMINISH THROUGH 10Z. ICT 88D SHOWS THAT THE COLD POOL WAS
BEGINNING TO OUTRUN THE LINEAR STORMS. THE BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY
FORCE ADDITIONAL UPDRAFTS ATOP THE COLD POOL WITH OTHER STORMS
FORMING DOWNSTREAM TOWARD NC/NE OK WITHIN THE WEAK WARM ADVECTION
REGIME. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A DISCONTINUOUS FORWARD PROPAGATING
SYSTEM INTO SC KS AND POSSIBLY N OK BY SUNRISE. EXTRAPOLATION
SUGGESTS THAT THE STORMS WILL REACH THE KICT METRO AREA BETWEEN
09-10Z.

STORMS WILL STILL BE CAPABLE OF STRONG AND POSSIBLY DMGG WIND GUSTS
ACROSS CNTRL/SC KS...BUT A DIMINISHING SVR THREAT IS EXPECTED AS THE
STORMS REACH N OK. AS SUCH...AN ADDITIONAL WW DOWNSTREAM INTO N OK
IS UNLIKELY ATTM.

..RACY.. 08/14/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...

37539924 37769969 38869967 39279846 39129743 38309686
36789641 36649759 37079885

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