Saturday, October 18, 2008

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 181558
SWODY1
SPC AC 181555

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1055 AM CDT SAT OCT 18 2008

VALID 181630Z - 191200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...PACIFIC NW INTO THE NRN INTERMOUNTAIN W...
SW-NE ORIENTED BAROCLINIC ZONE SHOULD SETTLE INTO WRN MT THROUGH
SWRN ORE THIS AFTERNOON. WEAK HEIGHT FALLS WILL CONTINUE TO
OVERSPREAD THIS ZONE DOWNSTREAM OF MID-LEVEL IMPULSE SHIFTING EWD
ACROSS THE PACIFIC NW. INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN LIMITED ALONG THIS
AXIS BUT MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED TSTMS DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.

...OUTER BANKS OF NC...
MID-LEVEL COOLING WILL BE MOST PRONOUNCED THIS EVENING AS SHORT WAVE
TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE CNTRL/SRN APPALACHIANS PROGRESSES EWD.
THIS SHOULD STEEPEN LAPSE RATES AND ALLOW FOR CHARGE SEPARATION WITH
PERHAPS A FEW ELEVATED TSTMS. MUCH HIGHER TSTM PROBABILITIES WILL
REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE AS CYCLOGENESIS OCCURS ALONG REMNANT FRONTAL
ZONE OVER THE GULF STREAM.

..GRAMS.. 10/18/2008

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