Wednesday, October 15, 2008

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 160054
SWODY1
SPC AC 160051

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0751 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2008

VALID 160100Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SERN TX TO LOWER OH VALLEY...

NARROW BAND OF WEAK...MOSTLY SHALLOW CONVECTION EXTENDS ALONG
ADVANCING COLD FRONT FROM IND...SWWD INTO AR BEFORE BECOMING A
BROADER ZONE OF PRECIPITATION WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
OVER SERN TX. THIS ACTIVITY IS GRADUALLY WEAKENING WITHIN MARGINAL
WARM ADVECTION ZONE ...ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST OF AR WHERE INSTABILITY
IS MEAGER AT BEST. IT APPEARS THE GREATEST CONCENTRATION OF DEEP
CONVECTION TONIGHT...WITH LIGHTNING...WILL REMAIN CONCENTRATED AHEAD
OF THE COLD FRONT FROM SRN AR TOWARD THE UPPER TX COAST WHERE
BUOYANCY HAS YET TO BE OVERTURNED.

..DARROW.. 10/16/2008

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