SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150215
GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-150415-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2382
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0815 PM CST FRI NOV 14 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SERN MS/PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NRN
AL/NWRN GA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 150215Z - 150415Z
STORMS CONTINUE SPREADING EWD ACROSS ERN MS AND W CENTRAL/NWRN AL.
AN ASSOCIATED/MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY LINGER OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS.
A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY EWD
ACROSS PARTS OF ERN MS/NRN AND WRN AL ATTM...BENEATH THE AXIS OF A
COMPACT SHORT-WAVE TROUGH CROSSING THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION.
EVENING BMX /BIRMINGHAM AL/ RAOB REVEALED A MARGINALLY-UNSTABLE BUT
FAVORABLY-SHEARED ENVIRONMENT...AND THE LATEST BMX VWP ALSO DEPICTS
A PERSISTENTLY-FAVORABLE WIND FIELD WITH HEIGHT.
STORMS HAVE THUS FAR REMAINED SUB-SEVERE...AND SHOULD GENERALLY
CONTINUE TO DO SO OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...UNTIL THE TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS
EWD INTO GA...A LOW-END SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO LINGER.
GREATEST THREAT SHOULD EXIST ACROSS NERN AL AND INTO ADJACENT NWRN
GA...INVOF A SMALL UPPER CIRCULATION CENTER REVEALED BY WV IMAGERY
WITHIN THE BROADER SHORT-WAVE TROUGH.
..GOSS.. 11/15/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX...HUN...MOB...JAN...
LAT...LON 34648629 34888548 34378491 33558492 32238611 31408850
31658918 33448772 34648629
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