SWODY3
SPC AC 160805
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0205 AM CST SAT JAN 16 2010
VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
...SYNOPSIS...
QUASI-ZONAL PROGRESSIVE REGIME WITH A VERY ACTIVE SRN STREAM WILL
CHARACTERIZE THE UPPER PATTER OVER THE U.S. MONDAY. ANOTHER IN A
SERIES OF IMPULSES NORTH OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET WILL MOVE INTO
THE WRN STATES MONDAY AFTERNOON ACCOMPANIED BY A COLD FRONT.
...CNTRL AND SRN CA COASTAL AREAS...
WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL LIKELY DEVELOP EARLY MONDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER
CNTRL AND NRN CA WITHIN ZONE OF UPPER DIVERGENCE AND LIFT NORTH OF
STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET. CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE DURING
THE DAY AS STEEPER MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ATTENDING THE UPPER TROUGH
MOVE INLAND. THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL LIKELY BE HIGHER IN COASTAL
AREAS WHERE ONSHORE FLOW WILL MAINTAIN HIGHER DEWPOINTS BENEATH THE
STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES. GIVEN FORECAST 60+ KT LOW LEVEL
JET ATTENDING THE UPPER TROUGH...A MODEST THREAT FOR CONVECTIVELY
ENHANCED ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL EXIST...ESPECIALLY WITH
CONVECTION DEVELOPING IN VICINITY OF FRONTAL ZONE.
..DIAL.. 01/16/2010
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