Tuesday, August 24, 2010

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 240526
SWODY2
SPC AC 240525

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1225 AM CDT TUE AUG 24 2010

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

UPPER RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ANCHORED NEAR THE 4-CORNERS
REGION DURING THE DAY2 PERIOD WITH A SIGNIFICANT UPPER TROUGH
REINFORCED OVER THE GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY. THIS FLOW REGIME WILL
ENSURE HIGHER PWAT/INSTABILITY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN SHUNTED NEAR THE
GULF COAST AND ACROSS PARTS OF THE SWRN U.S. BENEATH THE UPPER HIGH.
AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS VERTICAL SHEAR WILL REMAIN QUITE WEAK WITHIN
THE AFOREMENTIONED UNSTABLE REGIONS AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS DO
NOT FAVOR ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS. FOR THIS REASON IT APPEARS DIURNAL
HEATING WILL PROVE INSTRUMENTAL IN THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG A
WEAK SFC BOUNDARY ACROSS SRN GA/NRN FL. ALTHOUGH A FEW STORMS MAY
ULTIMATELY PROVE ROBUST IN NATURE...SHEAR/THERMODYNAMIC CONDITIONS
APPEAR TOO WEAK TO WARRANT A SEVERE RISK AT THIS TIME.
LIKEWISE...GUSTY WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST STORMS ACROSS THE
LOWER DESERT REGIONS OF AZ AND THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY
WEDNESDAY...HOWEVER ACTIVITY DOES NOT APPEAR TO WARRANT SEVERE
PROBS...AT LEAST FROM A DAY2 PERSPECTIVE.

..DARROW.. 08/24/2010

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

No comments: