SWOD48
SPC AC 160837
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0237 AM CST TUE NOV 16 2010
VALID 191200Z - 241200Z
THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS BEGIN THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD WITH A
PROGRESSIVE FLAT UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE ERN STATES ON
FRIDAY/DAY 4. THIS FEATURE MOVES EWD INTO THE ATLANTIC AS SOUTHWEST
FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE CNTRL STATES ON SATURDAY/DAY 5
AND PERSISTS ALL THE WAY THROUGH TUESDAY/DAY 8. IN RESPONSE TO A
BROAD LOW-LEVEL JET ACROSS THE MS VALLEY...LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD
RETURN INTO THE ARKLATEX EARLY IN THE WEEK. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG ANY BOUNDARY THAT CAN ADVANCE SEWD INTO THE MS VALLEY
OR ARKLATEX ON MONDAY OR TUESDAY. HOWEVER...A RELATIVELY DRY
BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD KEEP ANY SEVERE THREAT QUITE LOW THROUGH THE
END OF THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD.
..BROYLES.. 11/16/2010
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