Tuesday, October 11, 2011

DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 110900
SWOD48
SPC AC 110900

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0400 AM CDT TUE OCT 11 2011

VALID 141200Z - 191200Z

...DISCUSSION...


MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH EVOLUTION OF SYNOPTIC PATTERN
THROUGH ABOUT DAY 5...BUT SUBSEQUENTLY BECOME SOMEWHAT DISPERSIVE.
UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN DOMINANT FEATURE OVER THE ERN HALF OF THE
U.S. INTO DAY 5...BUT SHOULD BEGIN TO DEAMPLIFY AND MOVE OFFSHORE BY
DAY 6. THIS PATTERN WILL PROMOTE OFFSHORE FLOW AND STABLE CONDITIONS
INLAND DAY 4-6. THEREAFTER PREDICTABILITY IS LOW.

..DIAL.. 10/11/2011

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