SWODY1
SPC AC 040531
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1231 AM CDT FRI NOV 04 2011
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE TN VALLEY WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE CAROLINAS EARLY FRIDAY. ACCOMPANYING SURFACE LOW WILL BE
NEAR THE SERN NC/NERN SC COAST WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SWWD
ALONG THE COAST INTO NRN FL. THE WARM SECTOR WILL MOVE OFFSHORE
EARLY FRIDAY.
...ERN CAROLINAS...
BAND OF PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION FROM CNTRL NC SWD THROUGH ERN SC WILL
ADVANCE TO THE COAST BY 12Z. STRONGEST LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND LARGEST
HODOGRAPHS WILL EXIST NORTH OF RETREATING WARM FRONT AND EAST OF SFC
LOW OVER ERN NC. THIS ZONE WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT REMOVED FROM
RESERVOIR OF WEAK INSTABILITY LEFT IN SMALL WARM SECTOR WHERE MUCAPE
SHOULD REMAIN AOB 500 J/KG. GIVEN THAT INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY BE
ROOTED ABOVE A STABLE SURFACE LAYER ALONG WITH TENDENCY FOR THE LLJ
AND WARM SECTOR TO SHIFT OFFSHORE SHORTLY AFTER 12Z...ANY SEVERE
THREAT SHOULD REMAIN VERY LIMITED.
..DIAL/ROGERS.. 11/04/2011
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