SWODY1
SPC AC 100036
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0636 PM CST MON JAN 09 2012
VALID 100100Z - 101200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LOW NOW OVER W TX WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD OVER THE STATE
THROUGH MORNING. AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT HAS CLEARED THE TX
COAST...WITH A WEAK SURFACE LOW OVER THE NWRN GULF OF MEXICO.
EXTENDING E FROM THIS LOW WAS A COASTAL WARM FRONT WITH MID TO UPPER
60S DEWPOINTS TO THE S.
...SRN LA/MS...
NUMEROUS STORMS WERE ONGOING FROM SWRN LA INTO THE NWRN GULF OF
MEXICO...NEAR SURFACE LOW/WARM FRONT INTERSECTION AND EXTENDING SWWD
ALONG THE COLD FRONT. OTHER CONVECTIVE RAIN WAS OCCURRING N OF THE
WARM FRONT...COVERING MUCH OF SRN LA. HERE...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
INDICATED VERY MARGINAL SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY DUE TO SUBSTANTIAL
RAIN.
A SWLY LOW LEVEL JET ON THE ORDER OF 20-30 KT WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT
FROM SERN TX INTO LA AS THE UPPER LOW APPROACHES. DEEP LAYER SHEAR
WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE WEATHER...BUT MOST OF THE
INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE. AS SUCH...ANY SEVERE WIND OR BRIEF
TORNADO THREAT SHOULD BE MINIMAL AND CONFINED TO NEAR THE COAST.
HAVE DROPPED THE 15% SEVERE PROBS BUT LOW PROBS FOR ISOLATED SEVERE
REMAINS OVERNIGHT.
..JEWELL.. 01/10/2012
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