Monday, October 8, 2012

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 080545
SWODY1
SPC AC 080543

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1243 AM CDT MON OCT 08 2012

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE LOWER TO MID MS VALLEY WILL LIFT NEWD
INTO THE SRN APPALACHIAN MTNS TODAY. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT
LOCATED FROM THE COAST OF SC SWWD INTO THE FL PANHANDLE WILL ADVANCE
STEADILY SEWD TODAY AWAY FROM THE COAST. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY
DEVELOP IN THE POST-FRONTAL AIRMASS ACROSS THE CAROLINAS AND SE GA
AS SFC TEMPS WARM AND THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST. THE CONVECTION IS NOT EXPECTED TO REACH SEVERE LIMITS MAINLY
DUE TO WEAK INSTABILITY WITH SFC DEWPOINTS FROM THE MID 40S TO MID
50S F. FURTHER TO THE SOUTH...POCKETS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY SHOULD
PERSIST ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA TODAY AS SCATTERED STORMS INITIATE
DUE TO SFC HEATING. WIND SHEAR PROFILES ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA
SHOULD REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK KEEPING THE STORMS UNORGANIZED.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CONUS...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED
TODAY OR TONIGHT.

..BROYLES/COHEN.. 10/08/2012

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