ACUS02 KWNS 290434
SWODY2
SPC AC 290433
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1133 PM CDT SUN OCT 28 2012
VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...NEW ENGLAND...
REMNANTS OF SANDY ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS CENTER OF CIRCULATION
BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH ACROSS PA INTO NY TUESDAY. ALONG THE FAR ERN
PERIPHERY OF THIS SYSTEM A PLUME OF HIGHER THETA AIR WILL OVERSPREAD
MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND DUE TO MORE FAVORABLE TRAJECTORIES OFF ATLANTIC.
AS 50S BOUNDARY LAYER DEW POINTS SPREAD ACROSS THIS REGION AND
WARMER/MORE STABLE CIRCULATION CENTER MOVES TOWARD THE UPPER OH
VALLEY...LAPSE RATES SHOULD STEEPEN SUCH THAT SFC PARCELS SHOULD
FREELY CONVECT WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S. SBCAPE COULD
APPROACH 400-500 J/KG WITHIN A STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT...ONE
CERTAINLY CAPABLE OF SUSTAINING ORGANIZED ROTATING UPDRAFTS. THERE
IS SOME CONCERN THAT LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELLS COULD DEVELOP ACROSS
PARTS OF SRN NEW ENGLAND AND LOW PROBABILITIES WILL BE ADDED TO
ACCOUNT FOR AT LEAST AN ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL AND PERHAPS
EVEN A TORNADO OR TWO.
..DARROW.. 10/29/2012
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