Tuesday, November 27, 2012

DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 270745
SWODY3
SPC AC 270743

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0143 AM CST TUE NOV 27 2012

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
QUASI-ZONAL UPPER-LEVEL FLOW REGIME EXPECTED OVER MOST OF THE CONUS
ON THU. A LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL PROGRESS EWD FROM THE
ROCKIES ACROSS THE PLAINS. A LARGE-SCALE TROUGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED
OVER THE NERN PACIFIC WITH A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES EJECTING NEWD TO
THE PACIFIC NW. ISOLATED TSTM POTENTIAL SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE
EDGES OF THE CONUS IN TWO AREAS.

ALONG PARTS OF THE TX GULF COAST...A WEAK LOW-LEVEL WARM THETA-E
ADVECTION REGIME SHOULD AID IN MODEST DESTABILIZATION/FORCING BY THU
AFTERNOON...WITH GREATER CONVECTIVE PROBABILITIES LIKELY REMAINING
OFFSHORE. WHILE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE PACIFIC NW COAST...STRONG
FORCING FOR ASCENT COULD OVERCOME MEAGER BUOYANCY TO YIELD SPORADIC
LIGHTNING STRIKES THU AFTERNOON/NIGHT.

..GRAMS.. 11/27/2012

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