Saturday, November 24, 2012

DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 240956
SWOD48
SPC AC 240956

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0356 AM CST SAT NOV 24 2012

VALID 271200Z - 021200Z

...DISCUSSION...
BASED ON 00Z ECMWF/GEFS GUIDANCE...A RELATIVELY PROGRESSIVE LARGE
SCALE PATTERN IS LIKELY TO PERSIST DURING THE PERIOD WITH A TREND
TOWARD A MORE ZONAL REGIME THROUGH THE MIDDLE/LATTER PART OF THE
WEEK. FOR DAY 4/TUESDAY...TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST PART OF THE CONUS ALONG AN EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ADVANCING
COLD FRONT...BUT ORGANIZED SEVERE TSTMS ARE NOT CURRENTLY EXPECTED.

THEREAFTER...AN INCREASINGLY ZONAL LONGWAVE PATTERN AND THE EXPECTED
PREVALENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE/STABLE CONDITIONS EAST OF THE ROCKIES
WILL LIKELY YIELD A QUIET PATTERN WITH RESPECT TO DEEP CONVECTION
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD /MID TO LATE WEEK/.

..GUYER.. 11/24/2012

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