MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1007

ACUS11 KWNS 091844
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 091843
FLZ000-ALZ000-091945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1007
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0143 PM CDT SUN JUN 09 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL FL PANHANDLE / FAR SERN AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 091843Z - 091945Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...ISOLD DMGG WIND THREAT MAY DEVELOP AND AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE CNTRL FL PANHANDLE AND FAR SERN AL OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

DISCUSSION...CURRENT RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS A MCV MOVING NEWD AND
ONSHORE BALDWIN COUNTY AL AS A LINE SEGMENT MOVES NEWD OVER WALTON
COUNTY FL. KEVX VWP SHOWS A LOW LEVEL VEERING WIND PROFILE WITH
30-35 KT FLOW IN THE 1-5 KM LAYER...WHICH IS LIKELY CONTRIBUTING IN
THE DEVELOPMENT/SUSTENANCE OF ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE STRUCTURES.
MOIST LOW LEVELS /LOWER 70S DEWPOINTS/ AND DAYTIME HEATING HAVE
ACTED TO DESTABILIZE THIS REGION...AND PERHAPS FACILITATE A MORE
AMENABLE BOUNDARY LAYER FOR AN ISOLD POCKET OF DMGG WINDS ATTENDANT
WITH THE LINE SEGMENT. THE MAGNITUDE/COVERAGE OF THE EXPECTED
POTENTIAL STRONG/SEVERE STORM THREAT IS FORECAST TO REMAIN LOW
ENOUGH NOT TO WARRANT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

..SMITH/CORFIDI.. 06/09/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...

LAT...LON 30358623 30848631 31228559 30898511 30208524 30048550
30358623

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