Monday, December 2, 2013

DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 020903
SWOD48
SPC AC 020902

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0302 AM CST MON DEC 02 2013

VALID 051200Z - 101200Z

...DISCUSSION...
LOW PREDICTABILITY CONTINUES WITH THE HANDLING OF INDIVIDUAL
SHORTWAVE IMPULSES EJECTING WITHIN A LONGWAVE TROUGH FROM CNTRL
CANADA TO THE SOUTHWEST. NEVERTHELESS...A MARGINAL SEVERE RISK MAY
DEVELOP ON D4-5 AS A STRONG COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SEWD AND
INTERCEPTS A MODIFYING AIR MASS FROM THE WRN GULF COAST TO THE DEEP
SOUTH. AS ALLUDED TO IN THE D3 DISCUSSION...THE WARM SECTOR SHOULD
ONLY BE WEAKLY UNSTABLE. WITH DEEP-LAYER FLOW GENERALLY PARALLELING
AND INTENSE WINDS LAGGING THE FRONT...ALONG WITH THE PRIMARY SURFACE
CYCLONE WELL-REMOVED FROM THE WARM SECTOR...THE WIDE VARIETY OF
MODEL SIMULATIONS DO NOT APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR ANY AREAS OF ENHANCED
SEVERE RISK.

..GRAMS.. 12/02/2013

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