DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 040630
SWODY2
SPC AC 040628

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1228 AM CST TUE FEB 04 2014

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A FAST-MOVING AND BROAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH SHOULD DAMPEN AS IT
PROGRESSES FROM THE MIDWEST ACROSS SRN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH WED
EVENING. AN INITIAL CYCLONE WILL FILL OVER PA WHILE SECONDARY
CYCLOGENESIS OCCURS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST. SURFACE WARM FRONT
SHOULD BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE COASTAL PLAIN OF THE
CAROLINAS...EVENTUALLY BEING OVERTAKEN BY A COLD FRONT PUSHING EWD
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST.

...COASTAL PLAIN OF THE CAROLINAS...
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE SUBSTANTIALLY AS A WARM FRONT
ADVANCES INLAND FROM THE S ATLANTIC COAST BEFORE STALLING. GUIDANCE
IS RATHER CONSISTENT WITH THE DEPICTION OF 62-65 DEG F SURFACE DEW
POINTS INTO THE COASTAL PLAIN BY LATE MORNING WED. MODEST SURFACE
HEATING OVER THE WARM SECTOR SHOULD YIELD WEAK BUOYANCY...JUXTAPOSED
WITH VERY STRONG 45-60 KT 850 MB WINDS. THE REGION SHOULD BE GLANCED
BY WEAK MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS AS THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH SHIFTS E/NEWD
ACROSS THE NRN APPALACHIANS. ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE APPEARS
MODEST...AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO MIGHT FORM NEAR MIDDAY WITHIN A
MARGINAL SUPERCELL ENVIRONMENT. DURING THE AFTERNOON...LOW-LEVEL
WINDS WILL VEER WITH SHRINKING HODOGRAPH CURVATURE...LIMITING
DURATION OF ANY DAMAGING WIND/TORNADO RISK.

..GRAMS.. 02/04/2014

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