KDLH [080244]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 080244
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
844 PM CST WED NOV 07 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM SNOW 10 NE GRAND MARAIS 47.86N 90.19W
11/07/2007 M3.0 INCH COOK MN TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED AT TROUT LAKE RESORT

&&

$$

STEWART

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 080051
SWODY1
SPC AC 080049

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0649 PM CST WED NOV 07 2007

VALID 080100Z - 081200Z

..NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE ERN 2/3 OF THE CONUS THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...WHILE A RIDGE PREVAILS OVER THE WEST.

WITH RELATIVELY COOL/STABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE E OF THE ROCKIES IN THE
WAKE OF THE PRIOR COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...AND LARGE-SCALE SUBSIDENCE
PREVAILING ACROSS THE WEST...THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.

.GOSS.. 11/08/2007

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 071902
SWODY1
SPC AC 071900

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 PM CST WED NOV 07 2007

VALID 072000Z - 081200Z

..NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
OBSERVATIONAL DATA INDICATE THAT THE LARGE COLD CENTRAL/EASTERN U.S.
SURFACE RIDGE IS BEGINNING TO WEAKEN...MUCH AS PROGGED BY
MODELS...AND ITS HIGH CENTER IS FORECAST TO SHIFT FROM THE OZARK
PLATEAU INTO THE LEE OF THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS BY 12Z THURSDAY.
AS THIS OCCURS...A WEAK SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL COMMENCE ACROSS
THE WESTERN GULF COAST REGION. HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE
RETURN IS NOT IMMINENT. AND...ALTHOUGH THE PRIMARY EMBEDDED IMPULSE
CONTINUES TO LIFT AWAY FROM THE NORTHEAST STATES...MODELS INDICATE
THAT HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER TROUGHING WILL PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE
EASTERN U.S. THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS PERIOD AND BEYOND. THIS
WILL MAINTAIN DRY/STABLE THERMODYNAMIC STRATIFICATION EAST OF THE
ROCKIES...WITH THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL ALSO NEGLIGIBLE BENEATH
LARGE-SCALE RIDGING ACROSS THE WEST.

.KERR.. 11/07/2007

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 071712
SWODY2
SPC AC 071710

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1110 AM CST WED NOV 07 2007

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

..NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
MODELS ARE SUGGESTIVE THAT THE UPPER FLOW WILL REMAIN RATHER HIGHLY
AMPLIFIED ACROSS THE U.S. THROUGH AT LEAST THIS FORECAST PERIOD...
WITH A LARGE-SCALE TROUGH ENCOMPASSING MOST AREAS FROM THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC. HOWEVER...THE EXIT REGION OF A VERY STRONG ZONAL PACIFIC
JET IS PROGGED TO NOSE TOWARD PACIFIC NORTHWEST COASTAL AREAS. THIS
LIKELY WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY THE PROGRESSION OF A SIGNIFICANT
NORTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE IMPULSE...AND A DEEP LOW/MID-LEVEL
CYCLONE....INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA COASTAL AREAS BY EARLY FRIDAY. AT
THE SAME TIME...A PREVIOUSLY CUT OFF LOW IS FORECAST TO SHIFT
EASTWARD WITHIN THE WEAKER SOUTHERN STREAM...TOWARD SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA COASTAL AREAS.

..PACIFIC NORTHWEST...
IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEEP SURFACE LOW TO THE NORTHWEST...MODELS
INDICATE THAT A STRENGTHENING ONSHORE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL DEVELOP
THURSDAY EVENING TO THE WEST OF THE NORTHERN OREGON/WASHINGTON
CASCADES. AS THIS OCCURS...OROGRAPHIC FORCING MAY ENHANCE LIFT
ALONG AN INLAND ADVANCING FRONTAL ZONE. AND...THIS COULD CONTRIBUTE
TO WEAK CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS...
THOUGH...SUGGEST THAT LAPSE RATES WILL GENERALLY NOT STEEPEN
SUBSTANTIALLY TO SUPPORT A RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS MEETING MINIMUM
10% PROBABILITY THRESHOLD. HOWEVER...LOCALIZED POCKETS OF
DEVELOPING CAPE...WITHIN FAVORABLY COLD MID-LEVELS FOR CHARGE
SEPARATION AND CLOUD ELECTRIFICATION...COULD YIELD AN OCCASIONAL
ISOLATED CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKE.

.KERR.. 11/07/2007

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 071626
SWODY1
SPC AC 071625

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1025 AM CST WED NOV 07 2007

VALID 071630Z - 081200Z

..NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
.EVANS/GRAMS.. 11/07/2007

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 071615
SWODY1
SPC AC 071612

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1012 AM CST WED NOV 07 2007

VALID 071630Z - 081200Z

..NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
.EVANS/GRAMS.. 11/07/2007

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 071250
SWODY1
SPC AC 071248

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0648 AM CST WED NOV 07 2007

VALID 071300Z - 081200Z

..NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
BROAD TROUGH WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CNTRL AND ERN U.S...DOWNSTREAM
FROM TANDEM UPR LOW/RIDGE OVER THE CA COASTAL WATERS AND AZ/NM.
DEEP GRT LKS SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN AS IT CONTINUES E INTO SE
CANADA...WHILE UPSTREAM IMPULSE NOW IN MANITOBA CONTINUES SE TO THE
UPR GRT LKS WITH MINIMAL AMPLIFICATION.

RECENT INVASION OF CP AIR OVER THE CNTRL AND ERN STATES WILL LIMIT
POTENTIAL FOR TSTMS OVER MUCH OF THE NATION. LINGERING LK EFFECT
SHOWERS SHOULD WEAKEN TODAY...WITH DRY AND/OR SUBSIDENT CONDITIONS
LIMITING THUNDER THREAT ELSEWHERE.

.CORFIDI/CROSBIE.. 11/07/2007

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KAPX [071218]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 071218
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
718 AM EST WED NOV 07 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 11 N LAKE CITY 44.49N 85.21W
11/07/2007 M1.5 INCH MISSAUKEE MI TRAINED SPOTTER

12 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM.

&&

$$

JZ

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 070857
SWOD48
SPC AC 070856

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0256 AM CST WED NOV 07 2007

VALID 101200Z - 151200Z

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE CONSISTENT WITH DEVELOPING A PLAINS
LOW-LEVEL JET EARLY IN THE PERIOD AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH DEEPENS
ACROSS THE ROCKIES THIS WEEKEND. IN RESPONSE...LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
SHOULD INCREASE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND MS VALLEY REGION AS A SFC
LOW AND COLD FRONT MOVE SEWD INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THIS FRONT IN THE PLAINS
AND MS VALLEY ASSOCIATED WITH LARGE-SCALE ASCENT WITH THE
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. HOWEVER...THE GFS AND ECMWF HANDLE THE SYSTEM
SLIGHTLY DIFFERENT WITH THE GFS SOLUTION DEEPER AND THE ECMWF
SOLUTION FASTER. THIS PRESENTS UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING THE LOCATION
AND DAY OF GREATEST STORM COVERAGE. IN ADDITION...THE GFS KEEPS THE
STRONGER INSTABILITY OFF THE TX COAST WITH ONLY MINIMAL INSTABILITY
FORECAST IN THE SABINE RIVER VALLEY. FOR THIS REASON...THE THREAT
FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS UNCLEAR ATTM.

.BROYLES.. 11/07/2007

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 070728
SWODY3
SPC AC 070726

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0126 AM CST WED NOV 07 2007

VALID 091200Z - 101200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES THURSDAY NIGHT WILL MOVE EWD
INTO THE PLAINS STATES FRIDAY AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVES INTO
THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. AT THE SFC...A LEE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO
DEVELOP IN THE HIGH PLAINS AND THIS WILL BRING SLY FLOW TO THE SRN
AND CNTRL PLAINS ALLOWING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE TO RETURN NWD FRIDAY
AND FRIDAY NIGHT. SOME INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP NEAR THE
CNTRL TX COAST AND THIS MAY RESULT IN A FEW THUNDERSTORMS LATE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON OR FRIDAY EVENING. HOWEVER...LARGE-SCALE ASCENT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE AND WEAK LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE
SHOULD KEEP THE ACTIVITY VERY ISOLATED AND ORGANIZED CONVECTION IS
NOT EXPECTED ATTM.

.BROYLES.. 11/07/2007

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 070555
SWODY2
SPC AC 070554

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1154 PM CST TUE NOV 06 2007

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

..NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE TONIGHT ACROSS THE CONUS
FROM THE NRN PLAINS SEWD INTO THE MS VALLEY. AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
OVER THE WEST COAST IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY EWD INTO THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION THURSDAY. AT THE SFC...A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER
THE SERN U.S. WILL WEAKEN...ALLOWING SLY FLOW TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
SRN PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY. THIS WILL RESULT IN RISING SFC
DEWPOINTS IN THE TX COASTAL PLAINS. HOWEVER...FORCING WITH THE
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN WEAK AND INSTABILITY IS NOT FORECAST
TO INCREASE ALONG THE MOIST AXIS. THIS ALONG WITH VERY WEAK
CONVERGENCE WILL MAKE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT UNLIKELY ACROSS TX.
ELSEWHERE...THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
THE CONUS.

.BROYLES.. 11/07/2007

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 070542
SWODY1
SPC AC 070540

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1140 PM CST TUE NOV 06 2007

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

..NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
UPR FLOW REGIME WILL CONTINUE TO FEATURE A BROAD TROUGH ACROSS MOST
OF THE ERN 2/3 OF THE COUNTRY THROUGH THE FCST PD WITH WEAK RIDGING
ACROSS THE DESERT SW. GRTLKS IMPULSE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE TROUGH
WILL TRANSLATE NEWD INTO SERN CANADA BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. AS THIS
OCCURS...A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST
BY WED AFTN...WITH THE UPSTREAM ANTICYCLONE BUILDING EWD FROM THE
MID-MS VLY. ASIDE FROM LINGERING LK EFFECT SHOWERS TO THE LEE OF
LKS ONTARIO/ERIE EARLY IN THE DAY...DRY/STABLE AIR MASS OVER THE
REST OF THE COUNTRY WILL PRECLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR DEEP MOIST
CONVECTION.

.RACY.. 11/07/2007

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 070055
SWODY1
SPC AC 070052

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0652 PM CST TUE NOV 06 2007

VALID 070100Z - 071200Z

..NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..LWR GRTLKS...
SECONDARY COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE QUICKLY EWD THROUGH WRN NY
AND NWRN PA EARLY THIS EVENING. MIXED SYNOPTIC AND LAKE ENHANCED
SHOWERS WILL TRANSITION TO MORE PURELY LAKE EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT
IN WAKE OF THE FRONT. ASIDE FROM AN ISOLD LIGHTNING STRIKE IN THE
HEAVIER SQUALLS OVERNIGHT...EXPECT THAT THE PROBABILITIES FOR TSTMS
HAVE DECREASED BELOW THE 10% THRESHOLD OWING TO THE GRADUALLY
LOWERING EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS.

.RACY.. 11/07/2007

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KDLH [070009]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 070009
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
609 PM CST TUE NOV 06 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM SNOW GILE 46.43N 90.23W
11/06/2007 M6.0 INCH IRON WI TRAINED SPOTTER

TOTAL SNOWFALL FOR THE EVENT

&&

$$

MELDE

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KDLH [062101]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KDLH 062101
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
301 PM CST TUE NOV 06 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0755 AM SNOW GILE 46.43N 90.23W
11/06/2007 M3.0 INCH IRON WI TRAINED SPOTTER

0755 AM SNOW UPSON 46.37N 90.41W
11/06/2007 M2.0 INCH IRON WI TRAINED SPOTTER

0755 AM SNOW BUTTERNUT 46.01N 90.50W
11/06/2007 M0.5 INCH ASHLAND WI TRAINED SPOTTER

0950 AM SNOW 6 NW GLIDDEN 46.20N 90.67W
11/06/2007 E6.0 INCH ASHLAND WI DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

ESTIMATED 4 TO 7 INCHES IN CENTRAL ASHLAND COUNTY

0952 AM SNOW GLIDDEN 46.13N 90.58W
11/06/2007 M2.0 INCH ASHLAND WI TRAINED SPOTTER

0240 PM SNOW MONTREAL 46.43N 90.24W
11/06/2007 M6.0 INCH IRON WI TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

&&

$$

TLONKA

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 061942
SWODY1
SPC AC 061940

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0140 PM CST TUE NOV 06 2007

VALID 062000Z - 071200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION...
WEAK MID-LEVEL IMPULSE PIVOTING AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF
CLOSED LOW IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT EAST OF LAKE ERIE BY 06/21-22Z...
AND NORTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO DURING THE 07/00-03Z TIME FRAME. IN
ITS WAKE...MID-LEVEL SUBSIDENCE/WARMING WILL REDUCE POTENTIAL DEPTH
OF CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...PARTICULARLY INLAND OF WARMER LAKE
WATERS. AS THIS OCCURS...THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES NEAR LOWER
THRESHOLD OF CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK WILL DIMINISH FURTHER.

..ATLANTIC COAST...
NATIONAL LIGHTNING DETECTION NETWORK INDICATES A FEW POSSIBLE CLOUD
TO GROUND STRIKES WITH CONVECTION DEVELOPING NEAR COASTAL MAINE...
IN AN ELEVATED LAYER OF ISENTROPIC ASCENT...NORTH OF WARM FRONT
..AND EAST OF OCCLUDED FRONT. THIS COULD CONTINUE INTO EARLY
EVENING...BUT THE PRIMARY RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO
GENERALLY REMAIN CONFINED AREAS WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR...NEAR THE
GULF STREAM...EAST OF NORTHERN/MID ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS THROUGH
MID EVENING.

.KERR.. 11/06/2007

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KMKX [061908]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 061908
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
108 PM CST TUE NOV 06 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1245 PM NON-TSTM WND GST JANESVILLE 42.68N 89.02W
11/06/2007 M46 MPH ROCK WI AWOS

&&

$$

GD

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KILN [061820]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 061820
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
120 PM EST TUE NOV 06 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0324 PM HAIL 2 E BUENA VISTA 39.55N 82.64W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH HOCKING OH PUBLIC

&&

$$

HATZOS

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KMQT [061704]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 061704
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1204 PM EST TUE NOV 06 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY SNOW CHAMPION 46.52N 87.97W
11/06/2007 M12.0 INCH MARQUETTE MI CO-OP OBSERVER

9 INCHES IN 12 HOURS, 12 INCHES IN 24 HOURS.

0700 AM HEAVY SNOW 1 S WATTON 46.52N 88.60W
11/06/2007 M5.8 INCH BARAGA MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN 24 HOURS.

0700 AM HEAVY SNOW 8 W MARQUETTE 46.55N 87.56W
11/06/2007 M6.7 INCH MARQUETTE MI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

IN 24 HOURS, 5.7 INCHES IN 12 HOURS.

0730 AM HEAVY SNOW 5 W ISHPEMING 46.49N 87.77W
11/06/2007 E6.0 INCH MARQUETTE MI PUBLIC

IN 24 HOURS. DRIFTS UP TO 8 TO 9 INCHES DEEP.

0800 AM HEAVY SNOW NEGAUNEE 46.50N 87.60W
11/06/2007 M9.8 INCH MARQUETTE MI PUBLIC

IN 24 HOURS.

0910 AM HEAVY SNOW 13 S KENTON 46.29N 88.88W
11/06/2007 M7.8 INCH IRON MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN 24 HOURS.

1145 AM HEAVY SNOW N ROCKLAND 46.73N 89.18W
11/06/2007 M9.5 INCH ONTONAGON MI TRAINED SPOTTER

IN 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

MRC

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 061623
SWODY2
SPC AC 061622

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1022 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2007

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

..NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
MODELS INDICATE THAT A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED NEGATIVELY TILTED
LARGE-SCALE UPPER TROUGH WILL PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN STATES
THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THE PRIMARY EMBEDDED IMPULSE...IN THE
FORM OF A CLOSED LOW...IS PROGGED TO LIFT AWAY FROM THE NORTHEASTERN
STATES AND WEAKEN. AS THIS OCCURS...THE CENTER OF A LARGE COLD
SURFACE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST OF THE OZARK
PLATEAU INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS BY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT/EARLY
THURSDAY. BUT...RIDGING IS PROGGED TO LINGER ACROSS MUCH OF THE
GULF COAST...AND SIGNIFICANT GULF OF MEXICO AIR MASS
MODIFICATION/RETURN FLOW IS NOT LIKELY. WITH THE ENVIRONMENT ALSO
REMAINING GENERALLY DRY/STABLE BENEATH AN UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE
WESTERN STATES...POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE U.S. APPEARS
NEGLIGIBLE THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY AND BEYOND.

.KERR.. 11/06/2007

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