Friday, November 14, 2008

WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 931

WWUS20 KWNS 150038
SEL1
SPC WW 150038
ALZ000-FLZ000-GAZ000-CWZ000-150800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 931
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
735 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND NORTHERN FLORIDA
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 735 PM
UNTIL 300 AM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
ALBANY GEORGIA TO 10 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA
FLORIDA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE INCREASED IN NUMBER/STRENGTH DURING THE PAST
90 MINS OVER THE NERN GULF OF MEX...AHEAD OF EJECTING/DEAMPLIFYING
UPR VORT. DESPITE APPROACH OF THE VORT...LOW LVL WIND FIELDS ACROSS
WW AREA HAVE SHOWN SOME TEMPORAL VEERING IN THE PAST 2-3
HRS...LIKELY IN RESPONSE TO PASSAGE OF DOWNSTREAM UPR IMPULSE NOW IN
UPSTATE GA/SC. NEVERTHELESS...GIVEN STRENGTH OF DEEP
SHEAR...PRESENCE OF APPRECIABLE SFC-BASED INSTABILITY...AND PRESENCE
OF EXISTING ORGANIZED STORMS IN THE GULF...IT APPEARS THAT SOME
THREAT WILL EXIST FOR SUPERCELLS AND POSSIBLY ISOLD TORNADOES ACROSS
WW AS THE VORT CONTINUES ENE ACROSS REGION LATER THIS EVE.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.


...CORFIDI

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