Sunday, October 3, 2010

DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 030819
SWOD48
SPC AC 030818

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0318 AM CDT SUN OCT 03 2010

VALID 061200Z - 111200Z

...SEVERE POTENTIAL TOO LOW TO DELINEATE A SEVERE RISK AREA...

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE SIGNIFICANT AMPLIFICATION
WITHIN THE WESTERLIES DURING THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF THE COMING
WORK WEEK. WHILE UPPER RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL
CANADA...AN UPPER TROUGH IS PROGGED TO DIG ACROSS EASTERN
CANADA...THE NORTHEASTERN U.S...AND ADJACENT WESTERN ATLANTIC...
WHICH LIKELY WILL FINALLY CONTRIBUTE TO THE ACCELERATION OF THE
EASTERN U.S. CLOSED LOW...AWAY FROM NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC COASTAL
AREAS. THE WESTERN CUT-OFF LOW WILL BE SLOWER TO ACCELERATE
EASTWARD...AND THE MANNER IN WHICH THIS OCCURS IS STILL HIGHLY
UNCERTAIN. BUT GUIDANCE GENERALLY INDICATES THAT POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS TO THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES...AND THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SUBSTANTIVE INLAND RETURN FLOW OF MOISTURE OFF THE
GULF OF MEXICO...ARE LOW INTO AND THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
CORRESPONDINGLY...DESTABILIZATION SUPPORTIVE OF A REGIONAL SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM THREAT IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

..KERR.. 10/03/2010

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

No comments: